College Football 2023 Week 7 Picks And Top 25 Matchups
The college football 2023 Week 7 schedule includes four Top 25 matchups on Sat., Oct. 14. I cover the Top 25 action tee-to-green in my college football 2023 Week 7 betting report at Forbes. I chip-in and add my weekly Top 25 Picks and Opinions in my updates at Off Shore Gaming Association. Check out the game analysis before I post more here each week with added picks and information you can bet on.
Our Top 25 picks, matchups, games and bonus picks are producing profit through the first half of the season. .
I like to dig into stats and have provided information and insight for years looking for match-up edges, along with stats and situational plays that can often be overlooked when evaluating the games and match-ups. See my bonus pick this week below, and know there are more as we evaluate adjusted betting lines from early season, over-reactions in the market, scheduling situations, coaching and motivation that affect the outsomes beyond the stats.
We’re off to a strong start in our 2023 college football point spread prognosis and picks.
All college football 2023 Top 25 Picks and Opinions (and some bonus picks/opinions) through Week 6 are 15-9, including 12-7 ATS on sides. I focus on the Top 25 games for this weekly exercise and picks as the media coverage of the top teams and most bet games are more popular, but not necessarily the best games to bet.
Top 25 Matchup Picks: 1-2
Top 25 Matchup Opinions: 6-3
Top 25 Game Picks: 1-1
Bonus Picks: 2-0
Bonus Opinions: 1-1
Top 25 Games Opinions: 3-1
Top 25 Totals Opinions: 1-1
College Football 2023 Week 7 Top 25 Games, Odds and TV Schedule
College football odds from BetMGM refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. All times Eastern (ET).
Saturday, Oct. 14
No. 1 Georgia (-32.5) at Vanderbilt | 12 p.m. | CBS
No. 2 Michigan (-33.5) vs. Indiana | 12 p.m. | FOX
No. 3 Ohio State (-17.5) at Purdue | 12 p.m. | Peacock
No. 4 Florida State (-17.5) vs. Syracuse | 12 p.m. | ABC
No. 5 Oklahoma | Bye
No. 6 Penn State (-41.5) vs. UMass | 3:30 p.m. | Big Ten Network
No. 7 Washington (-3.5) vs. No. 8 Oregon | 3:30 p.m. | ABC
No. 9 Texas | Bye
No. 10 USC at No. 21 Notre Dame (-2.5) | 7:30 p.m. | NBC/Peacock
No. 11 Alabama (-19.5) vs. Arkansas | 12 p.m. | ESPN
No. 12 North Carolina (-3) vs. No. 25 Miami | 7:30 p.m. | ABC
No. 13 Ole Miss | Bye
No. 14 Louisville (-7.5) at Pitt | 6:30 p.m. | CW Network
No. 15 Oregon State (-3.5) vs. No. 18 UCLA | 8 p.m. | FOX
No. 16 Utah (-10.5) vs. Cal | 3 p.m. | Pac-12 Network
No. 17 Duke (-3) vs. NC State | 8 p.m. | ACC Network
No. 19 Tennessee (-3) vs. Texas A&M | 3:30 p.m. | CBS
No. 20 Washington State (-7.5) vs. Arizona | 7 p.m. | Pac-12 Network
No. 22 LSU (-10.5) vs. Auburn | 7 p.m. | ESPN
No. 23 Kansas (-3) at Oklahoma State | 3:30 p.m. | FS1
No. 24 Kentucky (-2.5) vs. Missouri | 7:30 p.m. | SEC Network
Others receiving votes: Missouri 69, Wyoming 42, Air Force 41, Wisconsin 41, Tulane 27, West Virginia 26, Clemson 17, Maryland 9, Iowa 7, James Madison 7, Texas A&M 5
Week 7 Top 25 Picks And Matchups
No. 7 Washington vs. No. 8 Oregon | 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC
Line: Washington -3.5 and Total 66.5
Opinion: Oregon
The plus 3.5 (-115) are showing, and Oregon has the strong defense and balanced 515 yards per game offense to outduel the Huskies and their No. 1 offense averaging 565 yards per game. More stats and Washington-Oregon game info in my Top 25 coverage in Forbes. (Update: Oregon lost but covered for many bettors in 36-33 loss after missing a last second field goal)
No. 10 USC at No. 21 Notre Dame | 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC
Line: Notre Dame -2.5 and Total 60.5
Pick: Notre Dame
No. 12 North Carolina vs. No. 25 Miami | 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC
Line: North Carolina -3 and Total 57.5
Opinion: Miami
No. 15 Oregon State vs. No. 16 UCLA | 8:00 p.m. ET on FOX
Line: Oregon State -3.5 and Total 54.5
Opinion: Under 54.5 and Lean Oregon State
No. 10 USC at No. 21 Notre Dame |
Heisman winning QB Caleb Williams has led USC’s elite offense and efficiency averaging 7.2 yards per rush and 9.7 yards per pass play (and 2.8 yards per play better than average). He was slowed last week vs. Arizona (219 yards passing) and the Trojans escaped at home in OT 43-41 as a 21′-point favorite. 
The Trojans offense will be tested by a Notre Dame stop unit that has been 1.1 yards per play better than average this season, per Dr. Bob Sports. In addition, an 80% chance of rain is forecast Saturday in South Bend with winds 10-20 MPH. Notre Dame top QB Sam Hartman and the Irish offense are 1.4 yards per play better than average and should move the ball well and have more success against a mediocre USC defense that’s been 0.1 YPPL worse than average. Especially on the ground as well with USC’s defense allowing 5.4 yards per rush versus less capable running teams. Note (DrBS) that the Trojans allowed a combined 6.1 YPPL and 34 points to Colorado and Arizona in their two recent wins, and the Irish have a better defense than USC by more than 125 YPG and Notre Dame is going to tackle the Trojans and hand USC their first loss of the season. (Update: Notre Dame won 48-20)
Bonus Picks
No. 14 Louisville at Pittsburgh (+7.5).
Pick: Pitt Panthers
Louisville (6-0) is one of the 14 undefeated teams and certainly one of the surprises ranked No. 14 while also sitting on top of the ACC with Florida State. The Cardinals beat Notre Dame 33-20 last week and a ‘storm the field’ celebration ensued for their signature win. Louisville gained just 330 yards, but forced 5 Irish turnovers. With Duke on deck next week, this trip to Pittsburgh (1-4) looks easy for many bettors, especially since the Pitt Panthers have yet to cover a point spread this season and have been pounded the last two weeks by 17 points against other ACC opponents. The Panthers offense is worst in the ACC at 308 YPG and 23 points per game. But the defense is top 4 allowing just 301 yards per game while holding West Virginia to 17 points and 211 yards and Cincinnati to 27 points. Pitt also held No. 12 North Carolina to 373 yards and just 77 yards rushing (39 attempts) in a misleading 41-24 final. This low total (44.5) also tells us that the Cardinals are in for a tough fight today from a underperforming Pitt team that will bring their best. (Update: Pitt won 38-21)
Check back later and Saturday morning for more updates and analysis with information you can bet on.
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