College Football 2023 Week 5 Picks And Top 25 Matchups
The college football 2023 Week 5 schedule includes four Top 25 matchups to close out September starting on Friday with No. 10 Utah at No. 19 Oregon State. I cover the Top 25 action tee-to-green in my college football 2023 Week 5 betting report at Forbes. I chip-in and add my weekly Top 25 Picks and Opinions in my updates at Off Shore Gaming Association. Check out the game analysis before I post more here each week with added picks and information you can bet on.
The most watched and wagered games and Top 25 action includes:
- No. 10 Utah at No. 19 Oregon State
- No. 24 Kansas at No. 3 Texas
- No. 13 LSU at No. 20 Mississippi
- No. 11 Notre Dame at No. 17 Duke
- No. 8 USC at Colorado
- No. 22 Florida at Kentucky
- No. 1 Georgia at Auburn
- No. 2 Michigan at Nebraska
We’re off to a strong start on our college football Top 25 Picks and Opinions. I will add more with some Leans as not all games are bet.
I like to dig into stats and have provided information and insight for years looking for match-up edges, along with stats and situational plays that can often be overlooked when evaluating the games and match-ups. See my bonus pick this week below, and know there are more as we evaluate adjusted betting lines from early season, over-reactions in the market, scheduling situations, coaching and motivation that affect the outsomes beyond the stats.
College football strategies and stability ratings
We’re off to a strong start in our 2023 college football point spread prognosis and picks.
All college football 2023 Top 25 Picks and Opinions (and some bonus picks/opinions) through Week 4 are 10-5, including 9-3 ATS on sides. I focus on the Top 25 games for this weekly exercise and picks as the media coverage of the top teams and most bet games are more popular, but not necessarily the best games to bet.
Top 25 Matchup Picks: 0-1 (total)
Top 25 Matchup Opinions: 4-1
Top 25 Game Picks: 1-0
Bonus Picks: 1-0
Bonus Opinions: 0-1
Top 25 Games Opinions: 3-1
Top 25 Totals Opinions: 1-1
College Football 2023 Week 5 Top 25 Games, Odds and TV Schedule
Saturday, Sept. 30
No. 1 Georgia (-14.5) at Auburn | 3:30 p.m. | CBS
No. 2 Michigan (-17) at Nebraska | 3:30 p.m. | FOX
No. 3 Texas (-16.5) vs. No. 24 Kansas | 3:30 p.m. | ABC
No. 4 Ohio State | Bye
No. 5 Florida State | Bye
No. 6 Penn State (-26.5) at Northwestern | 12 p.m. | Big Ten Network
No. 7 Washington (-18.5) at Arizona | 10 p.m. | Pac-12 Network
No. 8 USC (-21.5) at Colorado | 12 p.m. | FOX
No. 9 Oregon (-27.5) at Stanford | 6:30 p.m. | Pac-12 Network
No. 10 Utah at No. 19 Oregon State (-4.5) | 9 p.m. | FS1 (Friday)
No. 11 Notre Dame (-5.5) at No. 17 Duke | 7:30 p.m. | ABC
No. 12 Alabama (-14.5) at Mississippi State | 9 p.m. | ESPN
No. 13 LSU (-2.5) at No. 20 Ole Miss | 6 p.m. | ESPN
No. 14 Oklahoma (-19.5) vs. Iowa State | 7 p.m. | FS1
No. 15 North Carolina | Bye
No. 16 Washington State | Bye
No. 18 Miami | Bye
No. 21 Tennessee (-11.5) vs. South Carolina | 7:30 p.m. | SEC Network
No. 22 Florida at Kentucky (-1) | 12 p.m.
No. 23 Missouri (-13.5) at Vanderbilt | 4 p.m. | SEC Network
No. 25 Fresno State (-24.5) vs. Nevada | 10:30 p.m. | FS1
Others receiving votes: Kansas St. 57, Kentucky 41, Colorado 32, Louisville 32, UCLA 28, Maryland 20, TCU 17, Tulane 11, Syracuse 8, Wisconsin 6, Air Force 6, Clemson 5, Texas A&M 5.
Week 5 Top 25 Picks And Matchups
There are four NCAA Football Top 25 matchups between ranked teams in Week 5 with three of the games Saturday, Sept. 30. Analysis of the Week 5 Top 25 games plus bonus picks are at OSGA.
No. 10 Utah at No. 19 Oregon State | 9:00 p.m. ET on FS1 (Friday)
Line: Oregon State -4 and Total 44.5
Lean: Utah
No. 24 Kansas at No. 3 Texas | 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC
Line: Texas -16.5 and Total 62
Pick: Under 62 and Lean Kansas
No. 13 LSU at No. 20 Mississippi | 6:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
Line: LSU -2.5 and Total 67.5
Lean: Ole Miss
No. 11 Notre Dame at No. 17 Duke | 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC
Line: Notre Dame -5.5 and Total 52.5
Lean: Notre Dame
Bonus Pick
Baylor at Central Florida (UCF) | 3:30 p.m. ET on FS1
Line: UCF -11.5
Pick: Baylor
Huge value on Baylor in a game that would have been priced near Pk ’em to start the season. Central Florida has the better offensive and defensive stats, despite missing QB Rhys Plumlee, along with more experience. But the Knights have played a pair of patsies Kent State and Villanova. Last week, UCF was rolled by Kansas State 44-31 in a ‘welcome to the Big 12’ game that the Knights allowed 536 yards and more than 250 yards both running and passing. The Bears are 1-3 SU and 0-3 ATS after getting buried 38-6 by talented Texas last week in Waco, but also note two Baylor 2nd half drives inside the Texas 5 yard line ended on an interception and stopped on downs by Texas. The Bears have been outscored badly while losing to the pointspreads by nearly 75 points. That sets up a contrary and profitable value play on the Bears with starting QB Blake Shapen also ready to return (day to day) after missing the last 3 games with an MCL injury, along with the Bears starting safety. Recall that Baylor led Utah 13-6 late in the 4th quarter as +7 point ‘Dog in Week 2 before losing 20-13. Bears as ‘Dog is true value and opportunity to cash in for a top payout with the betting line to fall further.
Check back by Saturday morning for any additions, updates, analysis and information you can bet on.
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