NFL 2026 Raiders-Seahawks Week 10 Preview And Picks

Rookie No. 1 Pick Fernando Mendoza makes his NFL starting QB debut

A new era of Raiders football begins in the Raiders-Seahawks Week 10 game in Las Vegas. Rookie No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza makes his starting debut at quarterback after the Raiders traded QB Kirk Cousins to the Minnesota Vikings. Our weekly Raiders report is included with insight, analysis, picks and opinions with information you can bet on.

Our NFL Week 10 picks are separate from our NFL 2026 Raiders-Seahawks Week 10 report, and you can review those along with our Week 9 tips, totals, teasers and trends here at Vegas Sports Zone and initially provided at Off Shore Gaming Association.

I include select Raiders picks with additional stats, insight, team news and information you can bet on during the season. Additional AFC West division profiles, teams schedules, odds, season wins and information you can bet on is provided as you follow the Raiders and watch and wager on the NFL again this season here at Vegas Sports Zone.

You can follow various sites for Raiders news beyond betting including Silver and Black Pride along with Raiders.com. Other sources include my friend and colleague JT The Brick, the Raiders pre and post game host, analyst and national/Las Vegas radio voice.

Another colleague I correspond with is Case Keefer of the Las Vegas Sun, who covers the Raiders and other Las Vegas sports teams. As a columnist and reporter, Case is also a sharp handicapper who provides weekly betting picks along with Raiders Game Day coverage including Raiders-Seahawks Week 10.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Seattle Seahawks

Spread: Seahawks (-6.5), Game total 40.5 points
Pick: None
Opinions: Lean Raiders

Player props: Seahawks RB Zach Charbonnet over 14.5 rush attempts. Charbonnet returned from an ACL tear in Week 9 and had a solid game against Arizona with 16 rushes for 77 yards. Now facing the Raiders league-worst run defense that also allows the third-most rushing attempts to RB’s, Charbonnet should be the focal point to attack the Raiders weakness just as most teams lead running backs have this season including last week with McCaffrey (18) of the 49ers.

Check out my colleague’s additional bets Sunday at Las Vegas Sun following an easy player prop in the Raiders-49ers game. 

Dr. Bob Sports notes that road favorites of more than 3 points coming off 3 or more consecutive home games (and not off a bye) are just 22-50-1 ATS since 1980. That includes just 5-16 ATS in more recent years.

Mendoza’s first start is against a Super Bowl-winning defense with the Seahawks allowing a league-low 244 yards per game and 4.1 yards per play (Vikings next 280/4.6), including a league-low 155 passing yards per game. The Seahawks do allog 64% completions, which is near league average.

Reports are Mendoza is ready to go, mentally and physically capable for full playbook, but concerns remain in the Raiders running game averaging an AFC-low 71 rushing yards per game including a league-worst 55 rushing ypg over their last three contsts. The Seahawks don’t give their quarterback much help in the running game either with a slightly below average 110 ypg and backup QB Drew Lock starts again with Sam Darnold still out (quad, cracked rib).

Seattle’s offense has scored 17, 17, 20 and 14 points in their last four games going 2-2 including two contests against AFC West foes Chiefs and Broncos. The Raiders defense has not performed up to expectations, and the run defense is league-worst allowing 151 rushing yards per game. Add in the Seahawks have the edge in all four defensive categories mentioned below and it’s a tough task for the Raiders in rookie Mendoza’s starting debut. The Raiders have averaged 26.4 points per game this season (SEA 22.4), and it’s a big task to take down the Seahawks defense that ranks No. 5 in EPA per play allowed and No. 2 in success rate but will play this game without top DE Leonard Williams and his strong pressure rate.

Interesting game notes include Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak designing a game plan and offense against a Seahawks coaching staff and team that he coached as offensive coordinator last season in Seattle’s Super Bowl-winning season. Kubiak who calls the plays and has been the OC/play-caller on 4 different teams. That includes the Vikings with Kirk Cousins in Minnesota (2021), Saints (2024) with Derrick Carr, Seahawks last season with Sam Darnold and this season with Cousins. The starting QB’s on all four of those teams were better than their career averages by 0.6 yards per pass play (+0.5 median) while taking 1.7% fewer sacks and throwing 0.2% fewer interceptions, per Dr. Bob Sports stats. Now this season, Sam Darnold and now Drew Lock and the Seahawks offense has fallen off significantly without Kubiak, ranking No. 23 in EPA and No. 24 in success rate. This week they are also missing a starting guard and tackle.

Home underdogs are just 20-30 ATS this season and winning just 15 of those games straight up. That includes 0-7-1 in Week 9 when we had a bad week in point spread prognosis, but a 7-year 57% ATS run picking only NFL underdogs at OSGA and 8-straight winning seasons at 57% previously to those OSGA reports.

Key NFL Defensive Stats

The second half of the season is a good time to apply and use our four key defensive stats when handicapping and analyzing a matchup. I’ve posted defensive stats update and note that the 49ers have the defensive stats edge in all four defensive categories that produced a 64% ATS win rate on nearly 100 games last season from Week 8 forward.

Those defensive stats to monitor and which I research, handicap and track each week include:

• Total yards
• Yards per play
• Yards per rush
• Points allowed

We still must monitor injuries, weather, QB play and point of attack play before blindly betting on those teams with 3 or 4 defensive stats edges in the matchups. So many quarterback injuries and backups in play, along with key injuries along the offensive and defensive lines must be factored into the matchups and point spread prognosis. Situations, scheduling and SOS and monitoring the betting lines and movement are in play weekly including Raiders-Seahawks Week 10 matchup.

More tips, research and handicapping tools with with additional information you can bet on and learn while you earn.

Raiders Report Recap And Season Picks

We opened the season with a winning Week 1 Raiders Report and pick over the Dolphins. Week 4 Raiders-Chiefs report included a spread winner and 2-0 player props, and a 2-0 picks and opinions Week 6 Raiders-Bills report. The Raiders-Rams Week 7 picks went 2-0 and 1-0 player props and another 2-0 side and total Week 9 Raiders-49ers report.

Now into Week 10, our Raiders picks and opinions are 9-2 ATS (4-2 leans) and 6-1 on player props. More Raiders and NFL coverage with information you can bet on.

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