Super Bowl LX Picks And Props Patriots-Seahawks

It’s Super Bowl week, and Big Game betting is kicking into high gear with millions of fans and bettors making their Super Bowl LX picks. The Patriots-Seahawks showdown in Santa Clara will see billions of dollars bet worldwide with the media frenzy surrounding the Big Game adding to the rush of the most bet game of the year. Along with our weekly picks, props, parlays and tips, totals, teasers and trends each week during the season, we finish the NFL playoffs and the Super Bowl covering the annual smorgasbord of prop bets.

More coverage in my Super Bowl LX picks and updates at Off Shore Gaming Assocation, along with BetOnline, where I post the top 10 popular props and exotic bets for Super Bowl LX along with Super Bowl tips and trends.

Super Bowl Picks and Props

Action Network research team reports that since 2004, the underdog is 15-7 against the spread (ATS) in the Super Bowl and the ‘Dog has covered the spread in each of the last five Super Bowls. Big Game underdogs of 3+ points are are 13-4 ATS since 2002.

Still, after cashing in easily in last year’s Super Bowl LIX blowout of the Eagles over Chiefs 40-22, and the Eagles over the Chiefs in the 2023 Super Bowl, I’m riding the NFC again with the Seahawks to roll to another double-digit victory. I mentioned previously on OSGA Week 15 picks to bet the NFC -2.5 and moneyline (-140), which is now Seahawks -4.5, moneyline -235 and total 45.5.

Looking ahead to the Super Bowl on Feb. 8, leading online sportsbooks have adjusted the advance betting line to NFC -2.5, and that’s a bet looking at the strength of the NFC versus more pretenders in the AFC. Look no further than this week’s Packers-Broncos matchup this week in Denver to see Green Bay a 2-point road favorite. On a neutral field like Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, the Packers would be a bigger favorite closer to 4+ points, and especially if they beat the Broncos Sunday. So the Rams or Seahawks would be a bigger favorite over all AFC teams in Super Bowl LX.

The Patriots 18 points per game average in this year’s three playoff games is the fewest for a Super Bowl team since the 1979 Rams. That included one defensive touchdown, so the Patriots offense has averaged just 16 points per game in three playoff games this year. Not only did the Patriots play the easiest schedule in the NFL this season, but New England caught breaks in the playoff with opponent injuries an very untimely turnovers.

See more in OSGA Super Bowl LX picks and coverage and BetOnline including the 15 biggest point spread in Super Bowl history.

Updated Props: See analysis and more information you can bet on at OSGA.

Patriots Team Total – Under 20.5 points
First Half Total – Under 21.5 points
Total penalties both teams (accepted) – Under 9.5
Running Backs Player Props – See my player props coverage at BetOnline

The Seahawks had the league’s best DVOA this season, and an elite defense against a stronger schedule ranking No. 1 in EPA per play allowed, No. 3 in success rate allowed, No. 4 in passing success rate allowed and No. 1 in rushing success rate allowed. Seattle has the 5th highest DVOA ever behind the dominant 1991 Redskins, 2007 Patriots, 1985 Bears and 1989 Niners – four of those teams won the Super Bowl and only the undefeated 2007 Patriots team lost. The 2025 New England Patriots made a massive turnaround from last year’s 4-13 team to post a 14-3 record this season and now 3-straight playoff wins in inclement weather.

The Seahawks are 8-2 SU/ATS against fellow playoff teams this season, and Patriots 5-2/4-3 benefitting from turnovers. Against five common opponents this season, the Seahawks are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS and outgained all five (+241 yards), while the Patriots are 4-1/3-2 and +186.

Additional trends and data from Playbook Sports and Vegas Stats & Information Network show No. 1 seeds in the Super Bowl (Seahawks) are 15-21 SU and 12-22-2 ATS since 1990, including 7-22 SU and 4-14-2 ATS versus non-No.1 seeds.

The straight up winner of the Super Bowl is 50-7-2 ATS.

The teams that have failed to score 20 points in the Super Bowl have been 2-25 SU and 4-22-1 ATS since 1980. Teams that score 27 or more points in the Super Bowl are 32-5 SU and 29-7-1 ATS since 1980.

In the last 24 Super Bowl, no player has hit 200+ receiving yards, or returned a punt for a touchdown.

Since the Super Bowl era began, 16 teams reached the Big Game after allowing fewer than 10 points per game during their playoff run. Those teams are 14-2 ATS in the Super Bowl, and the 2025 Patriots fit the profile. Still, we bet the Seahawks and NFC earlier and believe our eyes and stats more. The Patriots good fortune and struggling offense includes facing a weakened Chargers offensive line in wintery weather, completely clueless bumbling QB C.J. Stroud (5 turnovers) and the Texans when Patriots QB Drake Maye also had too many turnovers, and a backup QB in Denver who also gifted the Patriots a TD off turnover in 10-7 final.

The Seattle Seahawks are this year’s Super Bowl LX  champions.

You can bet on it.