NFL 2025 Week 13 Picks, Props, Parlays And Preview

The weekend of pro football kicked off with Thanksgiving Day games and some early picks and props as part of our Week 13 totals, teasers and trends. A winner for us on the  Dallas Cowboys as outright ‘Dog was part of a 3-0 sweep for NFL underdogs on Thanksgiving Day and a 4-0 SU/ATS sweep with the Chicago Bears (+7) outright road win over the Philadelphia Eagles on Friday.

The Bears completed the 4-0 SU/ATS sweep for Thanksgiving underdogs in the best matchups of Week 13 with no marquee matchups on Sunday and just two contests with winning teams – Houston at Indianapolis and Buffalo at Pittsburgh.

• Green Bay at Detroit (-3), 48 – GB wins 31-24
• Kansas City (-3.5) at Dallas, 52.5 – DAL wins 31-28
• Cincinnati at Baltimore (-7), 51.5 – CIN wins 32-14
• Chicago at Philadelphia (-7), 44  Fri – CHI wins 24-15

NFL Week 13 Odds

Betting lines and NFL odds from top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live/in-game betting. Point spread on favorites and division games in bold.

– Houston at Indianapolis (-3.5 / 4), 44
– Arizona at Tampa Bay (-3.5 / 4.5), 44.5
– Jacksonville (-6 / 6.5) at Tennessee, 41.5
– LA Rams (-10 / 10.5) at Carolina, 44.5
– New Orleans at Miami (-5.5), 41.5
– Atlanta (-2.5) at NY Jets, 39
– San Francisco (-4.5) at Cleveland, 36.5
– Minnesota at Seattle (-11.5), 41
– Buffalo (-3 / 3.5) at Pittsburgh, 45
– Las Vegas at LA Chargers (-9.5), 40.5
– Denver (-5.5 / 6) at Washington, 43 SNF
– NY Giants at New England (-7), 46.5

You can review more details, analysis and information you can bet on with player props 17-11 posted at OSGA since Week 3.

I track boxscore data each week of the NFL season with key stats, rushing, passing, yards per play, turnovers, penalties, and more including proprietary rushing stats to guide us to more winners. That’s what we did from 2017-2023 posting only NFL underdog picks at OSGA hitting 57% ATS winners including a 70% ATS season in 2021 before 2024’s record results for betting favorites from Week 11 forward.

Check out the Week 13 injury reports, and monitor the NFL weather. More quarterback news and stats along with QB’s out this week including bottom-rated J.J. McCarthy of the Vikings with undrafted rookie Max Brosmer (Univ of Minnesota) to start at Seattle.

NFL Week 13 Picks

• Picks: Cowboys (won), Texans, Panthers
• Opinions: Ravens (lost), Browns, Steelers, Commanders

 

• 3 team parlay: Browns, Steelers, Commanders
• 2-team ‘Dog parlay: Texans, Panthers

The Week 12 picks (1-0) and opinions went 3-0 with a push, and both parlays won. Picks and Opinions 7-2 last three weeks into Sunday, and player props now 17-11 since Week 3 with the 12-0 run just an * with sub-par props since.

Check out NFL Week 13 at OSGA for more analysis including player props.

NFL Player Props

Titans QB Cam Ward – Over 11.5 rushing uards (up to 14.5)

Rookie Cam Ward is still strugging pretty badly in his rookie season. He’s averaging 200 passing yards per game and less than 6 yards per pass with a 7/6 TD-to-INT ratio. Ward ranks near the very bottom for NFL quarterbacks this season in QB rating, Expected Points Added and EPA per pass. In his defense, the Titans (1-10) offensive line is bad, currently ranked No. 28 by Pro Football Focus and some potential offensive linemen missing this week with injuries suffered last week. That should have him on the move and able to run more after he rushed for his season highs the past two games against top 5 defenses of Seahawks and Texans with 37 and 33 yards on 9 total carries. The Titans (1-10) are still being considered as an underdog with more player status updates over the weekend, but nothing more than an opinion and under the total in play with situational and statistical support in our Week 13 tips, totals and teasers.

The Titans and Ward faced Seattle and Houston as top 3 yards per play defenses and top 5 rushing yards per game defenses the past two weeks. A number of situations and trends point towards more scoring than expected. Playing their third straight home game having also lost on a last second field goal to the Texans 16-13, the Titans and Ward can have more success this week.

Check back for any additions as we chip-in more NFL picks, props and parlays with information you can bet on.

Turnovers = Trouble

For those keeping score and tracking turnovers like I do, teams that are +3 or more in turnovers during a NFL game are now 22-3 SU and ATS this season and a longterm 92% ATS winning profile. The Jaguars win over the Cardinals in Week 12 with 4 turnovers to zero for Arizona for our tips and totals winner is a rare exception.

Let’s try to avoid the turnovers, hazards and rough the final weekend of football heading into the stretch drive in December as teams push towards the playoffs with college football rivalry games also part of a huge watch and wager weekend before the conference championship games and announcement of teams and bracket for the 12-team College Football Playoff.

You can bet on it.