Match-ups and Longshots To Target at WGC FedEx St. Jude
The World Golf Championship event this week drew 78 players to TPC Southwind in Memphis for the WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational. We’re shooting for our 7th straight tournament match-up winner on these pages and you can read more below.
A longshot cashed in at the 3M Open last week when Michael Thompson (+12500) put his game together over four straight rounds to come out on top. We chipped in some longshots to consider and a few cashed in with top-10 finishes at long odds.
Along with my WGC FedEx St. Jude betting preview at TheLines, I also chipped in a piece on longshots to consider when wagering to win and top-5, 10 or 20 finishes. Read more at TheLines and I’ve added one of the players with insight and analysis below.
Corey Connors (+12500 at DraftKings): Connors has the same odds as Oosthuizen to win and to finish top 10. Look at the SG: Tee-to-Green stats and you’ll see many of the top of the market players in the top 20. Connors is in there too, and that stat has been significant towards winning and success at TPC Southwind. Six of the last eight winners at TPC Southwind led the field that week in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green. Connors also ranks top 15 on Tour in SG: Approach and top 5 in SG: Ball Striking, which is significant this week with more water in play and narrower fairways. The Canadian T27 in this event last year and he’s playing even better now while also ranking No. 2 on Tour in Greens-in-Regulation. Connors T22 in his recent event at The Memorial, and he’s on the cusp of contending soon. Connors is a worthy tournament match-up play over fellow Canadian Adam Hadwin and also as underdog against Sergio Garcia.
Fairway’s Foursome: Favorites – Schauffele (+2000), Hovland (+3200), Hatton (+3300), Horschel (+5000)
Fairway’s Foursome: Longshots – Wallace (+15000), Connors (+12500), Oosthuizen (+12500), Scheffler (+9000)
Tournament Match-up: Corey Connors (-130) over Adam Hadwin
Six straight tournament match-up winners over the past four PGA Tour events after last week’s 3m Open winner Finau over Fleetwood (cut). That followed a 3-0 sweep at The Memorial and match-up winners at the Workday Charity Open and Rocket Mortgage Classic. We passed at the Travelers Championship.
Good luck as you shoot for birdies, avoid the hazards, rough and bogeys, and stay on course in search of the green.
The PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park is next week in San Francisco.