Tour Championship 2025 Golf Odds, Preview And Picks

Just 30 PGA pros remain in the quest for the FedExCup in the PGA Tour playoff final event. The Donald Ross-designed East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta plays to 7,440 yards and Par 70, and has served as the host course of the Tour Championship playoff finale since 2004. See the 2024 course renovation video below.

The Tour removed the modified and staggered strokes-based scoring system this year, so the player posting the lowest score like a regular tournament event wins the TOUR Championship and $10 million from a record $40 million prize pool.

Additionally, all 30 players earn bonus money from the FedExCup bonus pool of $100 million.

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the prohibitive favorite again after rallying to win last week’s BMW Championship playoff event. Scheffler won last year’s Tour Championship, and we cashed in as well on another tournament matchup on runner-up Collin Morikawa. Scottie Scheffler is not priced at less than 2/1 to win the Tour Championship – record low odds.

Tour Championship 2025 Field, Starting Strokes and Odds

The 2025 Tour Championship Odds at leading U.S. Sportsbooks including FanDuel below. Tournament event Aug. 21-24.

• +150: Scheffler
• +800: McIlroy
• +1600: Aberg, Fleetwood
• +2200: Thomas
• +2500: Cantlay
• +2700: Spaun, Henley
• +3000: Hovland, Burns, Morikawa, Young
• +3300: Straka
• +3500: Griffin
• +4000: Matsuyama
• +4500: Bradley
• +5000: English, Conners, Hall
• +5500: Rose, Gotterup
• +6000: Bhatia
• +7500: Harman
• +8000: Lowry, Taylor, Sungjae Im
• +10000: Novak, Bridgeman

72-Hole Winning Score: 263.5 (Par 70)

Key Stats And Form

I evaluate strokes gained data to assist with my research and handicapping, along with additional tools and sources below.

The past stats from players is not your guide any longer with the course restoration by Andrew Green. But strokes gained Off the Tee is a signficant stat to focus on as players strategize and take aim at the newer fairways and bermuda greens. Faster-rolling fairways and strategically placed bunkers put more strategy and placement in play for the players shooting for the pot of gold at the Tour Championship and redesign of East Lake Golf Club. This year’s course has an additional 94 yards in length.

Tour Championship Picks

Fairway’s Favorites: McIlroy, Aberg, Fleetwood, Hovland
Fairway’s Longshots: Morikawa, Griffin, Burns. Lowry, Im

Tournament Match-ups: McIlroy (+250) over Scheffler (-300) – Superbook

Chip-in for additional tournament match-up picks, and email me for added direct picks and updates: FairwayJay@gmail.com.

PGA tournament matchups winners posted in Forbes from Jan-April include 2-0 in the Pebble Beach Pro-Am with tournament winner Rory McIlroy over Scottie Scheffler. Phoenix Open followers of FairwayJay went 1-0 with Justin Thomas (T6) over Hideki Matsuyama plus Justin Thomas over Xander Schauffele in The Players Championship, 1-0 in the Mexico Open at VidantaWorld and Houston Open winner Min Woo Lee also a tournament matchup winner. The Masters outright winner Rory McIlroy was another matchup winner over Scottie Scheffler as a big plus underdog again. Daniel Berger was the winner (1-0) in our RBC Heritage matchup at Harbour Town. A 2-0 tournament matchup result in the Truist Championship with both picks Mitchell and Cantlay winning easily and performing very well with top 10 finishes. Canadian Open winner (1-0) on Burns as underdog, and he finished runner-up in a playoff behind our outright winner on big longshot Ryan Fox. The 2025 U.S. Open included a 4-0-1 result on Tournament matchups at OSGA, and 4-2-1 on these pages including a big ‘Dog (+180) first round winner on Morikawa over Scheffler. Last week’s FedExCup Playoff was another (margin) matchup winner on Fleetwood at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

Golf Betting Notes and History from FairwayJay

My golf coverage and research includes use and references from sites at Golf Stats along with Fantasy National and Data Golf. I gain added information and betting news with fantasy golf insight from FanShare Sports and other sites and golf analysts. That includes top golf insider Justin Ray Golf, who contributes to PGA Tour (dot com) and The Athletic with insightful stats. The site GolfStats has also has player performance charts and a player competitor tool plus added stats and previews.