BMW Championship 2025 Odds And Golf Betting Preview And Picks For FedExCup Playoffs

Just 50 golfers remain in the FedExCup Playoffs and the BMW Championship 2025 event returns to the 7,601 yard Par 70 at Caves Valley Golf Club just outside Baltimore.

The second leg of the FedExCup Playoffs is the BMW Championship, and the top 30 players in the FedExCup Standings following the event advance to the Tour Championship at East Lake in Atlanta for the FedExCup finale, where the PGA Tour has eliminated the Starting Strokes format.

Another heartbreaking loss for Tommy Fleetwood at last week’s opening playoff event FedEx St. Jude Championship. I had a pre-tournament bet on Fleetwood to win, and he lost a 2-shot lead with 3 holes to play. He actually trailed by 1-shot standing on the 18th tee, and his Ryder Cup teammate Justin Rose won over JJ Spaun to continue our ridiculous run of near misses in the outright win markets more recent years.

Fleetwood did cash our only posted tournament matchup to continue our strong season in matchup betting – the best way to win more consistently and profit from the experience of betting golf.

BMW Championship 2025 Odds

Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Odds to win from Circa Sports Las Vegas, where I’ll be this week for the BetBash conference.

  • +250: Scheffler
  • +900: McIlroy
  • +1700: Schauffele
  • +1900: Aberg
  • +2100: Fleetwood
  • +2200: Cantlay
  • +2800: Young
  • +3100: Thomas
  • +3300: Henley
  • +3600: Spaun, Morikawa
  • +3800: Matsuyama
  • +4000: Hovland
  • +4200: Griffin, Gotterup
  • +4500: Burns, Kitayama
  • +5400: Conners, McNealy
  • +5700: Rose
  • +6000: Bradley, Bhatia
  • +6500: English, Hall, SW Kim

72-Hole Winning Score: 262.5 (Par 70)

Patrick Cantlay (-27) won this event in a playoff in 2021 when played at the same course, Caves Valley. Sunjae Im and Rory McIlroy finished third and fourth.

More tournament and course preview from Caves Valley with strokes gained data and what to look for when watching and wagering on golf and the BMW Championship.

BMW Championship 2025

BWM Championship 2025 Picks

Fairway’s Favorites: Schauffele, Aberg, Thomas, Hovland
Fairway’s Longshots: Griffin, Matsuyama, Burns, Sungjae Im

  1. Tournament Match-ups: McIlroy (+200) over Scheffler – Superbook

PGA tournament matchups winners posted in Forbes from Jan-April include 2-0 in the Pebble Beach Pro-Am with tournament winner Rory McIlroy over Scottie Scheffler. Phoenix Open followers of FairwayJay went 1-0 with Justin Thomas (T6) over Hideki Matsuyama plus Justin Thomas over Xander Schauffele in The Players Championship, 1-0 in the Mexico Open at VidantaWorld and Houston Open winner Min Woo Lee also a tournament matchup winner. The Masters outright winner Rory McIlroy was another matchup winner over Scottie Scheffler as a big plus underdog again. Daniel Berger was the winner (1-0) in our RBC Heritage matchup at Harbour Town. A 2-0 tournament matchup result in the Truist Championship with both picks Mitchell and Cantlay winning easily and performing very well with top 10 finishes. Canadian Open winner (1-0) on Burns as underdog, and he finished runner-up in a playoff behind our outright winner on big longshot Ryan Fox. The 2025 U.S. Open included a 4-0-1 result on Tournament matchups at OSGA, and 4-2-1 on these pages including a big ‘Dog (+180) first round winner on Morikawa over Scheffler. Last week’s FedExCup Playoff was another (margin) matchup winner on Fleetwood at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

Chip-in for additional tournament match-up picks, and email me for additional bets, insight, updates and information you can bet on: FairwayJay@gmail.com.

Golf Betting Notes and History from FairwayJay

My golf coverage and research includes use and references from sites at Golf Stats along with Fantasy National and Data Golf. I gain added information and betting news with fantasy golf insight from FanShare Sports and other sites and golf analysts. That includes top golf insider Justin Ray Golf, who contributes to PGA Tour (dot com) and The Athletic with insightful stats. The site GolfStats has also has player performance charts and a player competitor tool plus added stats and previews.

I put it all together and add my intuitive feel for the game and betting acumen to provide golf picks and chip-in added insight with information you can bet on.

More than a decade ago I was a lead golf handicapper and analyst on a popular sports handicapping radio show out of Las Vegas whose picks were provided to a betting syndicate. I continue my golf coverage in a different format, and provide my experience and intuitive feel for the game and betting acumen to provide golf picks and chip-in added insight with information you can bet on.

This season, I’ll add more Round 1 matchup bets. I will limit tournament matchups posted on these pages, but have more available to those bettors that chip-in and wish to correspond with me directly. You can email me at FairwayJay@gmail.com for more picks and information you can bet on. Having been a proven performer for decades, I’ve posted picks the last two years on Vegas Sports Zone and tournament match-ups were 41-27.

FairwayJay’s 2022 PGA Tour tournament match-up picks finished 20-12 and concluded with the TOUR Championship.

FairwayJay’s 2021 tournament match-ups finished 21-15 following a 17-5 start January through May.

Author: FairwayJay is a leading national sports betting analyst, writer, handicapper and sports betting insider providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. He chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events for leading media and sports betting sites and companies. Follow him on X (Twitter): @FairwayJay