1284 Results for author: FairwayJay
NFC South features quality teams top to bottom - by @
FairwayJay
New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+3)
The New Orleans Saints proved week 1 that they are a different team with Head Coach Sean Payton. The Saints didn't have much success on the ground but the balance that was missing last year returned as they ran the ball 29 times for 78 yards. Drew Brees used that balance to carve up the Falcons secondary for 357 yards on 35 attempts and two touchdowns.
This weekend they face a good Tampa defense ...
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Handicapping and Analyzing Stats – Inside the Numbers
Throughout the NFL season, I review weekly box scores, stats, game recaps and more after watching many of the NFL games. For over a decade, I have kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers, statistical guidelines and situations to better assist me in sports investing and providing point spread winners. Each week you can listen to my NFL Podcast where I provide insight and analysis into ...
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Week 1 NFL Handicapping: AFC East
New England at Buffalo (+10) – The Patriots have beaten the Bills 9 of last 10 meetings and 19 of last 20 overall, including a pair of wins last year while scoring 52 and 37 points. But the leagues #1 offense last year won’t be as potent (427 ypg) with some key losses at receiver. Over 80% of their receiving production has been replaced, so QB Brady will have to develop chemistry while trying to run a fast-paced offense. The Patriot’s defense is still ...
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College Football handicapping – Saturday, September 7 by @
FairwayJay
The second week of the college football season is met with cautious optimism, as line moves and adjustments can be significant and (over)reaction sometimes severe. Let's keep you grounded with some 'Fairway Fundamentals' in the running game and also some situational and technical Against the Spread (ATS) insight.
Teams that run the ball effectively and/or slow down the opponents running game continue to be profitable ...
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Adapting to linemaker adjustments in College Football Handicapping - by @
FairwayJay
Week 2 of the college football season is ‘adjustment’ week, as many lines and point spreads are significantly adjusted by the linemaker based on teams’ opening week performances. The linemaker may over-adjust for a team’s recent performance while also understanding that much of the betting public is likely to support the positive performing team. When a team performs poorly and/or the final score is not ...
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Breaking down the experience and coaching edge - College Football Handicapping
Colorado vs. Colorado State at Sports Authority Field @ Mile High Stadium
Line: Colorado State -2.5
Total: 48.5
Experience and cohesiveness edge:
Colorado has a new head coach, new offensive and defensive coordinators and new starting quarterback. Mike MacIntyre is in his fourth season overall as head coach after a positive plan and marked improvement guiding the San Jose State program for three ...
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Friday's College Football Handicapping opening week match-ups and ATS notes
Western Michigan at Michigan State
Line: MSU -28 Total 44.5
New Western Michigan head coach PJ Fleck is youngest head coach in FBS. Inflated line based on Broncos fall to 4-8 last season and MSU Spartans top-tier defense. Note Michigan State’s offense fell from 31 ppg to just 20 ppg last season, and the Spartans were 0-7 ATS as home favorite last season.
Texas Tech at SMU
Line: TT -5 Total 59.5
I ...
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Top ACC Coastal contender and more Miami wins this season
Florida Atlantic at Miami, FL
Line Miami -31.5 Total 53.5
Florida Atlantic moves to Conference USA following a 3-9 SU season in the Sun Belt. The Owls did produce profit last season at 8-4 ATS including 6-1 ATS as road ‘Dog, but they are over-matched in this contest. Still, will Miami blow through the Owls like a Hurricane with a big state rival Florida on deck next week? Miami head coach Al Golden is solid and the Hurricanes ...
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