AFC East Bills And Jets 2024 NFL Schedules, Odds And Betting Preview

Previews and betting tips for the 2024 NFL season – AFC East Bills and Jets

The 2024 NFL season kicks off with a Thursday/Friday doubleheader starting Sept. 5 with the full Week 1 Sunday schedule Sept. 8. The two-time defending Super Bowl champions Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 46.5) host the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday, Sept. 5 in an AFC playoff rematch with those two teams the AFC favorites to reach Super Bowl LIX on Feb. 9, 2025 in New Orleans. The AFC East Bills and Jets are also key AFC contenders and the Bills-Chiefs rivalry continues in Week 11 in Buffalo for a big watch and wager contest on Nov. 11. The season preview for the AFC East Bills and Jets shows a tight 3-way race with the Bills as the AFC East favorite followed closely by the dead heat for the Jets and Dolphins.

NFL Week 1 Matchups And Odds – My update in Forbes

As training camp and NFLX continues and football and fantasy fans get the juices flowing ahead of the 2024 NFL season, sports bettors are pouring through the teams schedules, rosters, stats, odds, futures and props and making bets at leading online sportsbooks. That includes on AFC teams and NFC teams with AFC East Bills and Jets popular plays led by Buffalo QB Josh Allen and 40-year-old Jets QB Aaron Rodgers returning off a season-ending Achilles injury suffered in the first quarter of Game 1 last season.

AFC East – Dolphins and Patriots
AFC West Chiefs and Chargers
AFC West Raiders and Broncos
AFC North – Ravens and Bengals
AFC North – Browns and Steelers
AFC South – Texans and Jaguars
AFC South – Titans and Colts

Football odds from top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting.

Buffalo Bills

Season Win Total: 10.5 (Under -145) – Bet Under
Division Odds: +175 / AFC Odds: +685 / Super Bowl Odds: +1250
Record Last 2 Years: 11-6, 13-3
Head Coach: Sean McDermott (8th season)

Bills Schedule, Odds and Props

Division games and advance point spreads (DraftKings)

Week 2 at Miami Dolphins (BUF +1 / 51) Thurs
Week 6 at NY Jets (BUF +1.5 / 47.5) MNF
Week 9 Miami Dolphins (BUF -3 / 51)
Week 16 New England Patriots (BUF -8.5 / 44.5)
Week 17 at NY Jets (BUF -2.5 / 45.5)
Week 18 at New England Patriots (BUF -3.5 / 44.5)

Other Key Games
Week 3 Jacksonville Jaguars (BUF -5 / 49) MNF
Week 4 at Baltimore Ravens (BUF +3 / 47.5) SNF
Week 5 at Houston Texans (BUF +1.5 / 48)
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs (BUF -1 / 48.5)
Week 13 San Francisco 49ers (BUF +2 / 47)
Week 14 at Los Angeles Rams (BUF -1 / 48)
Week 15 at Detroit Lions (BUF +2 / 50.5)

Bye: Week 12

Home: Miami, New England, NY Jets, Arizona, Jacksonville, San Francisco, Tennessee, Kansas City
Away: Miami, New England, NY Jets, Houston, Indianapolis, LA Rams, Seattle, Baltimore, Detroit

Key Player Props (regular season at BetOnline)

QB Josh Allen – O/U 3,750.5 Passing Yards / 28.5 Passing TD’s / 500 Rushing Yards / 9 Rushing TD’s / 13.5 Interceptions
RB James Cook – O/U 900.5 Rushing Yards / 4.5 Rushing TD’s / 400.5 Receiving Yards / 40.5 Receptions
WR Keon Coleman – O/U 725.5 Rec Yards / 55.5 Receptions / 4.5 Rec TD’s
WR Khalil Shakir – O/U 625.5 Rec Yards / 55.5 Receptions / 2.5 Rec TD’s
TE Dalton Kincaid – O/U 800.5 Rec Yards / 77.5 Receptions / 5.5 Rec TD’s
DT Ed Oliver – O/U 6.5 Sacks  / CB Rasul Douglas – O/U 3.5 INT’s / Terrel Bernard O/U 130.5 Tackles & Assists

Stats and Notes (check back ahead of season for more betting notes). Handicapping and research includes sources and stats from beat writers, team sites and press notes, bettors and newsletters or betting guides like VSiN, Sharp Football, Playbook, CleveAnalytics, ESPN Stats & Info and more including FairwayJay’s proprietary data base and stats. 

The Bills have won four AFC East titles and made the playoffs 6-of-7 years under head coach Sean McDermott. That includes last season when the Bills were 5-5 SU and 3-7 ATS through the first 10 games, but finished 6-1 SU (4-3 ATS) with big wins over the Cowboys and also the Chiefs during our 7-0 SU/ATS Week 14 underdog picks profit (plus a push). The Bills finished first in the AFC East and second in the conference before a 27-24 divisional playoff loss at home to the Chiefs for the second time in three seasons kept Buffalo out of the AFC Championship Game. The Bills lost to the Chiefs again despite a 37:00 to 23:00 time of possession edge, 186 rushing yards on 39 carries (both a > 75% ATS profit situation) in an overall even yardage game. Quarterback Josh Allen had the highest offensive grade among quarterbacks according to PFF (92.1), but loses leading WR Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans and No. 2 WR Gabe Davis to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Bills have won double-digit games in five straight seasons with Josh Allen at quarterback, but this looks like their most challenging season yet.

Buffalo will begin the season having lost their entire starting secondary from 2023. They face a top-5 most difficult schedule this season after facing one of the easier schedules in 2023 with only five of their opponents going over their win totals, tied for lowest in the NFL. The Bills are also projected to face the #1 most difficult schedule of offenses and a lineup of top-10 quarterbacks, including Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Tua Tagovailoa and now Aaron Rodgers, CJ Stroud, Brock Purdy, Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff. Last season, the Bills entered the season with five top-10 units (out of 7 including head coach). This year they have one (QB). The offensive line and front 7 are concerns, along with wide receiver with two key players lost. Buffalo’s offensive line allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less at a league-worst 45.9% rate in 3rd and long situations.

Pro Football Focus Offensive Line Rankings Entering 2024 Season (Bills No. 8, Jets No. 5)

Betting: The Bills lost 5 games as a favorite last season, and now face a much tougher schedule with 10 of their 13 key games above lined at 3-points or less ahead of the season. Underdogs are 9-1 ATS in last 10 meetings of BUF-NYJ series at New York (Week 6). Over the total is 8-1-1 in last 10 MIA-BUF matchups at Buffalo (Week 9).

Injuries: A concern for any team is injuries, especially to key players. For bettors, especially early season futures with less value, those injuries can impact bets and odds significantly while they also adjust during the season. A look at the Bills injuries in 2023 tells the significant story, and why a team poised to make the Super Bowl and get past the Chiefs failed to materialize. A late 4Q missed field goal from 44 yards was the final missed opportunity in the playoff loss to the Chiefs.

-Matt Milano (LB): Fractured leg against the Jaguars, out for the season
-Tre’Davious White (CB): Torn Achilles in Week 4 against the Dolphins, out for the season
-DaQuan Jones (DT): Torn pectoral muscle in Week 5, missed the remainder of the season
-Dawson Knox (TE): Wrist injury Week 5 in London, surgery and missed 5 games (8-12)
-Ed Oliver (DT): Toe injury, missed 3 games
-Micah Hyde (S): Neck injury, missed 2 games
-Jordan Poyer (S): Knee injury, missed 1 game
-Greg Rousseau (DE): Ankle injury, missed 2 games
-Von Miller (DE): Continued recovery from ACL injury

FairwayJay has been a top of the leaderboard point spread prognosticator with 57% ATS success posting his NFL underdog picks weekly the past 7 years. That includes an unmatched 70% season in 2021 going 28-12 ATS. His previous NFL handicapping, strategics and sports betting success included 8 straight winning NFL seasons (57.3% ATS) starting in 2003 while independently documented and a professional handicapper including 52-28 ATS (65%) bursting onto the national scene his rookie year (feature Las Vegas Sun). FairwayJay provided weekly insight on a most popular daily sports betting and handicapping radio show heard in Las Vegas and nationwide on SiriusXM radio.

FairwayJay’s NFL handicapping contest success includes back-t0-back 60% seasons and top 6% finishes in the Westgate SuperContest.

New York Jets

Season Win Total: (9.5 Over -140) – Bet Over
Division Odds: +185 / AFC Odds: +1150 / Super Bowl Odds: +2156
Record Last 2 Years: 7-10, 7-10
Head Coach: Robert Saleh (4th year)

Jets Schedule, Odds and Props

Division games

Week 3 New England Patriots (NYJ -7.5 / 42) Thurs
Week 6 Buffalo Bills (NYJ -1.5 / 47.5) MNF
Week 8 at New England Patriots (NYJ -4.5 / 41.5)
Week 14 at Miami Dolphins (NYJ +2 / 47.5)
Week 17 at Buffalo Bills (NYJ +2.5 / 45.5)
Week 18 Miami Dolphins (NYJ -3 / 45)

Other Key Games

Week 1 at San Francisco 49ers (NYJ -5.5 / 45.5) MNF
Week 5 vs. Minnesota Vikings (NYJ -4 / 44.5)  London
Week 7 at Pittsburgh Steelers (NYJ -1 / 43) SNF
Week 9 Houston Texans (NYJ -3 / 45) Thurs
Week 11 Indianapolis Colts (NYJ -4 / 46) SNF
Week 15 at Jacksonville Jaguars (NYJ -1 / 46)

Bye: Week 12

Key Player Props (BetOnline)

QB Aaron Rodgers – O/U 3700.5 Pass yards / 25.5 Passing TD’s / 8.5 INT
RB Breece Hall – O/U 1,025.5 Rushing Yards / 7.5 Rush TD’s / 550.5 Rec Yards / 65.6 Receptions / 3.5 Rec TD’s
WR Garrett Wilson – O/U 1,125.5 Rec Yards / 88.5 Receptions / 7.5 Rec TD’s
TE Tyler Conklin – O/U 500.5 Rec Yards / 55.5 Receptions / 3.5 Rec TD’s
DT Quinnen Williams – O/U 6.5 Sacks / CB Sauce Gardner 2.5 INT’s / LB Quincy Williams 125.5 Tackles & Assists

Stats and Notes – The Jets have missed the playoffs 13-straight years – the longest active drought in major North American professional sports. New York has the fourth-easiest strength of schedule in the league based on 2024 win totals. The Jets also have an elite-rated defense in tact that allowed just 292 yards per game last season to rank No. 2 in the league and finished top-6 by EPA for a 2nd straight season with a trio of terrific cornerbacks, and the No. 1 ranked defensive line and linebackers, according to Pro Football Focus. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is now 40 years old and the Jets are hoping for a return to top form off his season-ending Achilles injury early in Game 1 last season. New York also signed veteran QB Tyrod Taylor, but clearly need Rodgers to perform well and stay healthy – only nine quarterbacks started all 17 games last season. The Jets offense ranked #32 in pass efficiency, #32 on third downs, and #32 in the red zone, and finished last in the NFL in EPA per drop back last season. The offense failed to cover their weekly team total in at least 50% of their games. The Jets offense also finished 2023 with the 2nd most adjusted games lost to injury in the NFL while using a league-high nine different OL combinations and fumbling the ball the most times in the NFL (No. 22 in recovery rate). Somehow they won 7 games in 2023 while also having the worst penalty margin in the NFL. Now New York adds some solid offensive linemen through free agency and the NFL draft to shore up the front for QB Rodgers and running game for top RB Breece Hall while sporting an elite defense that held these leading QB’s below their averages last season.

– C.J. Stroud to 4.0 Yards per pass attempt – in all other games 8.4 YPA.
– Dak Prescott to 5.8 YPA – in all other games he averaged 7.7 YPA.
– Josh Allen to 5.8 YPA – in all other games he averaged 7.5 YPA.
– Jalen Hurts to 6.2 YPA – in all other games he averaged 7.3 YPA.
– Patrick Mahomes to 6.8 YPA – in all other games he averaged 7.0 YPA.

The Jets play six primetime games in the first 11 weeks of the season including two in a rare 3-games in 10 day stretch starting in Week 1 (Mon-Sun-Thurs). After opening with the 49ers, the Jets have an ideal schedule of teams to tackle in the Titans, Patriots and Broncos followed by the Vikings in London – potentially three rookie QB’s for the Jets dominant defense to destroy. New York has four top-10 units and coach Saleh built the defense into an elite unit after ranking No. 32 in points and yards allowed his first season. Still, Saleh likely needs a winning season and playoff berth to keep his job.

Betting: Incredibly, the Jets are just 38-59-2 (39%) ATS in games since 2018 and have gone under their win total in five of the last six seasons. Under coach Robert Saleh, the Jets are 18-33 SU and 20-30-1 ATS in three years. The Jets are on a 1-5 ATS run vs. the Dolphins playing in New York/Jersey (Week 18). Expectations are very high for the Jets this season, and the New York Jets-Jets-Jets are projected to be favored in 15 games this season.

You can bet on it.

AFC East Bills and Jets originally posted at OSGA on Aug. 5