NFL Week 4 Lookahead Lines And 2023 Market Moves

The 2023 NFL Week 4 lookahead lines provide us an advance look at the following week’s NFL lines before the current week’s games are played. I provide an explanation and tools for using lookahead lines below. As you review my Week 3 underdog picks, which are 4-3 ATS this season and better than 58% the past six years posting weekly, take a glance at the Week 4 matchups and lookahead lines before they are posted for next week’s games. Then compare them to the actual lines following the Week 3 games.

These NFL Lookahead Lines or advance lines can be useful in not only projecting ahead to next week’s games and lines, but also to keep you from over-reacting to one game or the upcoming games results.

That can especially be the case following Week 1 results, as fans and bettors try to figure out how the 2023 Super Bowl favorites Kansas City Chiefs, Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills all lost as betting favorites in Week 1.

As I noted in my NFL Week 4 lookahead lines coverage and added stats and betting info at OSGA,  the over/under game totals went 4-12 in Week 1 with the 16 games averaging just 41.0 points per game. The oddsmakers at the leading online sportsbooks made adjustments to the Week 2 totals, and then NFL teams exploded with 16 games in Week 2 averaging 49.75 PPG and over/unders going 13-3 – the most overs in a week since 1990.

Week 3 Market Moves and Adjustments

Some of the key Week 3 spreads with notable adjustments from the Week 3 lookahead lines include:

Cleveland -4 to -3 vs TEN and total 41.5 to 39.5
– Jacksonville -7.5 to -10 vs HOU and total 45 ot 43.5
– New England -1.5 to -2.5 at NYJ and total 38 to 36.5
– Denver at Miami (-6.5) and total 45.5 to 48
– Detroit -4.5 to -3 vs ATL
– Dallas -10.5 to -12 at AZ and total 42 to 44
– Kansas City -10.5 to -12.5 vs CHI and total 50 to 47
– Las Vegas PK to -2.5 vs PIT
– Cincinnati -7 to -1.5 vs LAR and total 46 to 43

NFL Week 4 Lookahead Lines

Week 4 look ahead lines include seven division games headlined by Miami at Buffalo and Baltimore at Cleveland in the early Sunday games. The Los Angeles Chargers host Las Vegas and will be a heavily-bet late afternoon game for bettors also hitting the ‘over’ and the highest game total of the week. Over/under game totals lso included.

https://twitter.com/SuperBookSports/status/1704579551601238523

As you evaluate, watch and wager and live bet on the Week 3 games, be sure you review box scores, impactful injuries, misleading stats and meaningful data from each week’s results. From there you can see where the bookmaker posts the following week’s lines on Sunday and Monday, and compare them to the lookahead lines and market moves during the week.

For example, teams that ran the ball at least 30 times in a Week 2 game went 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS, and are now 18-3 SU and 16-4-1 ATS. Only the Browns and Eagles failed to cover despite huge rushing yards edges of 198-55 and 259-28. Running back Nick Chubb went down with a season-ending knee injury for the Browns in defeeat, and the Browns dominated the stats 408-255 and first downs 20-9, but 4 turnovers were the difference in defeat.

Teams that suffer a -3 or greater turnover differential are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS with the Vikings (4-1 TO deficit) getting the late backdoor touchdown to steal the cover over Eagles backers.

How to use Lookahead Lines

We’ll be updating the NFL advance lookahead lines each week to allow you a sneak peak at the projected lines for the following week’s games. This advance information from top online sportsbooks provides lessons in understanding lines and projections before the current week’s games are played.

The tendencies for many bettors is to over-react to previous weeks’ scores and results. The lookahead lines provide a sense of stability from the linemaker, who is unbiased in setting the lines in advance without the information from the current week’s contests.

Bettors can also gain an edge or find value in the lines once the current week’s lines are released. They do this based on not only a potential over-reaction to the recent week’s results, but by using information they have on teams including power rankings. Making adjustments is part of the process, along with formulating an opinion on certain teams. This can be based on personnel, injuries, situations and stats that come to light as the season progresses.

As you become more astue in your evaluations, betting and handicapping, you’ll be able to use your skills to project and time the market better and make more +EV bets ahead of market moves.

As you evaluate, watch, wager and live bet on the Week 1 games, be sure you review boxscores, impactful injuries, misleading stats and meaningful data from each week’s results. From there you can see where the bookmaker posts the following week’s lines on Sunday and Monday, and compare them to the lookehead lines and market moves during the week.

In the weeks ahead, we’ll compare the lookahead lines to current lines following each week’s results. We’ll shoot to chip-in added insight on key injuries, stats and situatinos that impact the market moves, and shoot for more green and profit on our NFL underdog picks.

You can bet on it.