Fairway’s Football Forecast – Thanksgiving And NFL Week 12 Underdog Picks And Preview
Another winning week and three more outright underdog winners in Week 11 runs the ‘Dog log to 19-8 ATS with 15 outright winners this season. The past five seasons posting underdogs only on these pages is now 121-87 ATS (58.2%) with 63 outright underdog winners. On to NFL Week 12 underdog picks and preview with our first slight favorite of the season (2 points or less at home).
There have been a handful of times where we include a short home favorite of 2-points or less with line moves or noting that those teams are priced like an underdog at home without homefield edge. We’re betting on Washington (-1) to get a win on Monday Night Football.
NFL Week 12 Odds and Betting Data
“The NFL is the NFL, and it’s tradition to bet Thanksgiving football. I think you’ll actually see the handle as big as ever despite the matchups." – Adam Pullen, Asst Director of Trading at #CaesarsSportsbook
See the latest odds & trends for every Week 12 spread and read more ⬇️
— Caesars Sportsbook (@CaesarsSports) November 24, 2021
For full analysis of my NFL Week 12 picks and added information you can bet on, check out my Week 12 update at osga.com. More Thanksgiving Day match-ups, odds and information you can bet on at TheLines.com.
NFL Week 12 Underdog Picks
Detroit (+3) vs Chicago – Lions moneyline +125 at Caesars Sportsbook
Washington (-1) vs Seattle – WFT moneyline -116 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Chicago at Detroit
“I’m sure there are people who consider me too conservative, but you’ve got to be careful and you’ve got to be smart. We’re trying to win games 14-13 or 16-13.” – Lions head coach Dan Campbell after Detroit lost to Cleveland last week 13-10. A bonehead unsportsmanlike penalty (calling out a players mother) to start the fourth quarter proved costly in defeat.
Head coach Dan Campbell took over play calling duties the past two weeks from clueless coordinator Anthony Lynn. The running game has improved and RB D’Andre Swift will be the focus again as the Lions (0-9-1) try to avoid being a turkey again and get their first win of the season…read more.
The Lions (-26.9 points) and Bears (-26.7 points) are 32nd and 31st in the league in expected points added via their passing offense this season.
Monday night match-up and pick on WFT with analysis is also posted with additional rushing stats to note. We’re reviewing more to consider an underdog pick for Sunday. Check back over the weekend and follow FairwayJay on Twitter.