Fairway’s Football Forecast – NFL Week 11 Underdog Picks And Preview
Underdogs have rolled the last two weeks, getting the money to the tune of 19-9 ATS. That includes 10-4 ATS in Week 10 when we went 2-1 ATS on our underdog picks with two more outright winners on the Vikings and Eagles. Now 16-6 ATS with 12 outright underdog winners this season, we move onto Week 11 holding nothing back with our biggest underdog card of the season. The past five seasons posting underdogs only on these pages is now 118-85 ATS (58.1%) with 60 outright underdog winners
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NFL Week 11 Odds and Betting Data
The majority of tix & dollars are on opposite sides of the spread for DAL at KC, with the home team getting 76% of the dollars
"You look and see less than a field goal, that can be very tempting for some people” – Adam Pullen
Read more on Week 11's latest odds & trends ⬇️
— Caesars Sportsbook (@CaesarsSports) November 19, 2021
Check out the Week 11 key games and analysis in my sports betting update on Forbes between the Cowboys and Chiefs along with the Packers and Vikings. Those two games are taking the most betting action at BetMGM. The Chiefs are taking more than 75% of the spread money at Caesars Sports and the Packers have taken nearly 80% of the bets (tickets), yet the line has dropped against the Vikings to -1 and hitting pick ’em at some sportsbooks.
Monitor the Week 11 injuries, and select injury reports like Pro Football Focus along with other NFL news and personnel reports.
The lines below are updated as of Saturday with the original Week 11 picks, lines and full analysis posted on Offshore Gaming Association.
NFL Week 11 Underdog Picks
New York Jets (+3.5) vs Miami – Jets moneyline +160 at SuperBook
Washington (+3.5) at Carolina – WFT moneyline +150 at Caesars Sportsbook
Houston (+10) at Tennessee – Texans moneyline +375 at PointsBet
Minnesota (+1) vs Green Bay – Vikings moneyline +100 at William Hill
Dallas (+2.5, buy +3) at Kansas City – Cowboys moneyline +120 at BetMGM
Dallas at Kansas City
Lets take +3 and buy it on Dallas with our rushing stats and guidelines clearly favoring the visiting Cowboys. Also, a high-scoring shootout to sail over this high total (56). The Chiefs broke out last week in their road route of the Raiders, 41-14 to take over the lead in the AFC West. But the NFC East-leading Cowboys lead the NFL with 434 yards per game offense and 6.3 yards per play. Averaging a league-high 31.6 points per game, the Cowboys offense should roll again against a deficient Chiefs defense allowing 373 YPG and Dallas’ top 5 rushing attack and 30 attempts per game running wild over a Chiefs run defense that has improved, but is still sub-par. Read more in my NFL Week 11 coverage at Forbes.