Fairway’s Football Forecast – NFL Week 5 Underdog Picks And Preview
Our fourth straight winning week to start the season on NFL underdog only picks including a 2-1 result in Week 4 with our sixth outright underdog winner on the NY Giants (+7). We just missed with the Patriots (+7) in an easy cover against Tampa Bay on a last second ‘doink; off the upright as Brady and the Buccaneers escaped Foxboro with a 19=17 win. More than 93% of the spread bets were on Tampa Bay at most leading online sportsbooks. The NFL underdog record is now 8-2 ATS as we move onto NFL Week 5 underdog picks.
Ahead of this week’s NFL games, be sure to check out the NFL Week 6 lookahead lines. I provide a weekly update with key game analysis at TheLines. Also, check out the most impactful and key injuries heading into this week’s games.
NFL underdogs are now 36-38 ATS this season heading into Week 5, and we’re right there with the barking dogs and have added two more this week. Check out my Week 5 underdog picks and added stats and insight on Offshore Gaming Association. I’ve been posting picks the past 4+ seasons, and the record on these pages picking only underdogs is now 110-81 (57.5%) with 54 outright underdog winners.
Strategies and Sports Betting Stories
Turnovers the Most Important Stat in NFL Winners and ATS Decisions
Teams that are +2 in the turnover column in a game this season are 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS. Teams that are +3 or better in turnovers are 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS. As you watch and wager on games, and consider in-play betting, pay closer attention to turnovers as the ultimate key stat in determining winning results and point spread success.
NFL Week 5 Underdog Picks
Washington (+2.5) vs New Orleans – WFT Moneyline +115 at Caesars
Buffalo (+3) at Kansas City – Bills Moneyline +125 at WynnBet
See osga for full game analysis.
FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper and is recognized as one of the sports industry’s most insightful analysts. Reach him as interested with comments, suggestions or chip-ins along with inquiries for contract work and media inquiries at FairwayJay@gmail.com