PGA Tour Odds And Picks for 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson Shootout
The 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson has another prohibitive favorite with Scottie Scheffler at +360 to win. A vast majority of golf bettors don’t adhere to understanding value, and the sportsbooks continue to clean house on outright betting on weekly PGA Tour events.
Despite ridiculously low odds on Scheffler, who has finished T-15 and T-47 at the AT&T Byron Nelson tournament the last two years at TPC Craig Ranch, bettors are loading up on the world No. 2 golfer. As I outlined in my PGA Tour and AT&T Byron Nelson preview and tournament coverage for Forbes, Scheffler is taking an amazing 28% of the win bets and 33% of the money (handle) as of Wednesday afternoon at DraftKings Sportsbook.
No surprise, Scottie Scheffler tops the list on @DKSportsbook to win this week.
However, we do see +4000 long shot, Seamus Power tied in 2nd with +1600 Tom Kim at 12% of handle.
Is your pick on the list or are you eyeing a dark horse that no one else is? pic.twitter.com/Ghg0kbIOIc
— Golfbet (@Golfbet) May 10, 2023
I add favorites and longshots below along with a tournament match-up pick.
AT&T Byron Nelson Golf Odds
AT&T Byron Nelson 🏌️♂️
⛳️ Odds to Win (22.5% theo hold)
For app limits by golfer and to bet against golfers check the Golf Yes/No menus on the @CircaSports app. Tournament Matchups, Round 1 Matchups, Top 10, Top 20, and Make The Cut available.#ATTByronNelson | #PGATOUR pic.twitter.com/U43faidIsv
— Circa Sports (@CircaSports) May 10, 2023
In my previews and added research, I use strokes gained data to isolate more players and stats that may or may not fit for the course while also considering current form.
AT&T Byron Nelson Picks 2023
Fairway’s Favorites: Tyrrell Hatton, Si Woo Kim, Seamus Power, Davis Riley
Fairway’s Longshots: Nate Lashley, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Scott Stallings, Harry Hall
Tournament Match-ups: Seamus Power (-130) over Maverick McNealy (BetMGM)
Round 1 match-up: Scott Stallings (-120) over Aaron Wise (BetMGM)
Last year we had the Round 1 and 3 leader to win in Sebastian Munoz (+8000), but he couldn’t hold up and finished 2-shots behind winner K.H. Lee in the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson.
Next week it’s the 2023 PGA Championship at Oak Hill East Course in Rochester, New York.
You may recall last year on these pages we had 200/1 longshot Mito Pereira as one of our outright win bets in the 2022 PGA Championship, along with a bigger bet and additional potential 4-figure payday on Will Zalatoris. Pereira had a 1-shot lead standing on the 72nd hole. A par and we cash in at 200/1. A bogey and he’s in a 3-way play with Zalatoris and Justin Thomas. Pereira managed to hit his tee shot in the water on 18, make double bogey and shoot a final round of 75 to miss the playoff and his first Tour and major win. Pereira had the longest active streak on Tour with 19 rounds of par of better into Sunday’s final round. Zalatoris lost to Justin Thomas in the playoff. And you thought you took some bad beats in golf.
Golf Betting Notes and History from FairwayJay
My golf coverage and research includes use and references from sites at Golf Stats along with Fantasy National and Data Golf. I gain added information and betting news with fantasy golf insight from FanShare Sports and other sites and golf analysts. That includes top golf insider Justin Ray Golf, who contributes to PGA Tour (dot com) and The Athletic with insightful stats. The site GolfStats has also has player performance charts and a player competitor tool plus added stats and previews.
I put it all together and add my intuitive feel for the game and betting acumen to provide golf picks and chip-in added insight with information you can bet on.
More than a decade ago I was a lead golf handicapper and analyst on a popular sports handicapping radio show out of Las Vegas whose picks were provided to a betting syndicate. I continue my golf coverage in a different format, and provide my experience and intuitive feel for the game and betting acumen to provide golf picks and chip-in added insight with information you can bet on.
This season, I’ll add more Round 1 matchup bets. I will limit tournament matchups posted on these pages, but have more available to those bettors that chip-in and wish to correspond with me directly. You can email me at [email protected] for more picks and information you can bet on. Having been a proven performer for decades, I’ve posted picks the last two years on Vegas Sports Zone and tournament match-ups were 41-27.
FairwayJay’s 2022 PGA Tour tournament match-up picks finished 20-12 and concluded with the TOUR Championship.