PGA Odds, Picks And Props For 2025 The American Express

Following two events in Hawaii including last week’s Sony Open that saw longshot Nick Taylor make a chip-in eagle on No. 18 in the final round before winning in a playoff, the PGA Tour West Coast swing heads to La Quinta, CA for 2025 The American Express. I chip-in more extensive coverage in Forbes with added information you can bet on, and add picks below for our weekly PGA Tour betting coverage.

Golf Courses and Odds to Win 2025 The American Express

• Pete Dye Stadium Course – 7,187 yards, Par 72 (2 rounds including Sunday)
• Jack Nicklaus Tournament Course – 7,147 yards, Par 72
• La Quinta Country Club – 7,060 yards, Par 72

Winning score: over/under 259.5

Last year 1,128 birdies, 24 eagles on the Stadium Course (2 rounds), 803 birdies, 25 eagles on the Nicklaus Course and 713 birides and 29 eagles at La Quinta.

A total of 19 of the top-50 players in the OWGR are in the field, and they will produce birdies in bunches across the three courses. The Stadium Course at PGA West has new Tif-Eagle Bermuda greens that are 20-30% larger averaging about 7,000 square feet. Restored greenside bunkers are closer to the putting surfaces.

But before you fire in your outright win bets or top finishing position plays on the top players, know that Nick Dunlap won last year’s American Express tournament at odds of 400/1 at select sportsbooks – while becoming the first amateur to win on the PGA Tour since Phil Mickelson in 1991. Dunlap’s 29-under-par finish was the lowest winning score since the event went to 72 holes in 2012.

Golf odds from Circa Sports in Las Vegas here each Wednesday with initial coverage Monday and Tuesday in Forbes using FanDuel and other leading online sportsbooks odds. Check out my advance coverage each week as I add my picks and other bets of consideration on Wednesday’s.

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Tournament Winner

For more of our #AmericanExpress menu including Matchups, Make The Cut, and Top 10/20 check the @CircaSports app.#TheAmexGolf | #PGATour pic.twitter.com/LpfoM3Sl5l

— Circa Sports (@CircaSports) January 15, 2025

Last year’s top-10 finishers at The American Express: Dunlap (1), C. Bezuidenhout (2) Thomas (T3), Yu (T3), Burns (T6), Hadwin (T6), M. Kim (T6), Griffin (T9), Mitchell (T9).

2025 The American Express Picks

Fairway’s Favorites: Burns, Greyserman, Thompson, Griffin
Fairway’s Longshots: Cole, Hadwin, Spaun, J. Suber

Tournament Matchups: Greyserman (-110) over Clark (FanDuel)

Check back for more including final round on the Stadium Course.

There may be fewer tournament matchup picks posted in 2025 with coverage across various platforms. I’ll try to add more picks and props and update more coverage as time allows and I dig deeper into strokes gained stats and weekly tournaments. Reach me directly at [email protected] for questions and select picks I bet on beyond what’s posted here.

The American Express ⛳️️‍♂️
Tournament Matchups

For more of our #AmericanExpress menu including Make The Cut, Top 10, and Top 20 check the @CircaSports app.#TheAmexGolf | #PGATour pic.twitter.com/3ffzTwvBvb

— Circa Sports (@CircaSports) January 14, 2025

Next week it’s the Farmers Insurance Open in La Jolla, CA, where the top PGA pros fire for pars and birdies on the Torrey Pines North Course and very long South Course.

Golf Betting Notes and History from FairwayJay

My golf coverage and research includes use and references from sites at Golf Stats along with Fantasy National, and Data Golf. I gain added information and betting news with fantasy golf insight from FanShare Sports and other sites and golf analysts. That includes top golf insider Justin Ray Golf, who contributes to PGA Tour (dot com) and The Athletic with insightful stats. The site GolfStats has also has player performance charts and a player competitor tool plus added stats and previews.

2022 PGA Tour tournament match-up picks finished 20-12 and concluded with the TOUR Championship.

The 2021 tournament match-ups finished 21-15 following a 17-5 start January through May.