NFL Week 4 Lookahead Lines And 2024 Market Moves
In seasons past, I’ve provided content and insight on NFL betting including NFL lookahead lines and market moves. Now the 2024 NFL Week 4 lookahead lines with matchups, schedules and odds are out to guide us to the bookmakers information ahead of the current week’s games. The odds and information can help you in identifying potential value in the betting market while not overreacting to recent results or any NFL teams good or bad performance in a particular week. That is fairly common in the betting marketplace, as many bettors often fall victim to ‘recency bias’, and recall and react to what they saw most recently.
Our NFL Week 1 underdog picks produced a 3-0 Sunday sweep to kickoff the 2024 season with winners on the Jacksonville Jaguars, Indianapolis Colts and Dallas Cowboys outright before the NY Jets lost Monday night. The Week 2 underdog picks were better going 4-1-1 ATS with another 4-1 ATS on early week opinions like the Las Vegas Raiders (+8.5) , who pulled off the biggest upset of the week winning 26-23 at Baltimore. Those are not part of the overall record, which is 7-2 ATS this season picking only NFL underdogs and greater than 57% the past 7+ seasons. That includes a record 70% season going 28-12 ATS in 2021.
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Follow the weekly NFL Lookahead Lines posted by select sportsbooks like the SuperBook in Las Vegas or FanDuel and DraftKings.
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After reviewing the current week’s odds, games and my NFL content and underdog picks, monitor the market moves each week and advance lookahead lines and compare as the actual week’s betting lines as provided by the leading online sportsbooks following each week’s games. For example, in Fairways Football Forecast Week 2 underdog picks, I mentioned you could and should bet the Vikings +3.5 on the lookahead line at home against the Houston Texans. It even hit +4 at the SuperBook. Now after last week’s results, the Vikings are +2.5 at home, which I have still made an NFL underdog pick.
NFL Week 4 Lookahead Lines 2024
Week 4 look ahead lines includes 5 division games starting with Thursday’s NFC East matchup Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants. NFL matchups and odds from top Las Vegas sportsbooks include SuperBook Las Vegas with favorites ( ) listed and game total. Odds are subject to change, including on prop bets and live betting.
Take a look ahead at week 4 of NFL action
What do you have your eye on? pic.twitter.com/R3yeNwf3Zo
— SuperBook Nevada (@SuperBookNV) September 18, 2024
Starting in Week 5 are the NFL Bye weeks, starting with AFC teams Chargers and Titans and NFC teams Lions and Eagles.
How to use Lookahead Lines
NFL advance Lookahead Lines allow you a sneak peak at the projected lines for the following week’s games. This advance information from top online sportsbooks provides lessons in understanding lines and projections before the current week’s games are played.
The tendencies for many bettors is to over-react to previous weeks’ scores and results. The lookahead lines provide a sense of stability from the linemaker, who is unbiased in setting the lines in advance without the information from the current week’s contests.
Bettors can also gain an edge or find value in the lines once the current week’s lines are released. They do this based on not only a potential over-reaction to the recent week’s results, but by using information they have on teams including power rankings. Making adjustments is part of the process, along with formulating an opinion on certain teams. This can be based on personnel, injuries, situations and stats that come to light as the season progresses.
As you become more astue in your evaluations, betting and handicapping, you’ll be able to use your skills to project and time the market better and make more +EV bets ahead of market moves.
As you evaluate, watch, wager and live bet on the Week 1 games, be sure you review boxscores, impactful injuries, misleading stats and meaningful data from each week’s results. From there you can see where the bookmaker posts the following week’s lines on Sunday and Monday, and compare them to the lookehead lines and market moves during the week.
In the weeks ahead, we’ll compare the lookahead lines to current lines following each week’s results. We’ll shoot to chip-in added insight on key injuries, stats and situatinos that impact the market moves, and shoot for more green and profit on our NFL underdog picks.
You can bet on it.