NFL Week 3 Play of the Day – Dallas Cowboys
I do have some favorites of interest this week but still like the Dallas Cowboys as our Sunday NFL Week 3 Play of the Day.
Updates: Cowboys offensive tackle Tyron Smith (neck) is out and will not play.
There are a number of totals tips available suggesting a shootout in Seattle with scoring to go over the high, rising posted total (56). I’ve added one of the situations below the game analysis.
Despite more than 60% of the bets and 70% of the money on the Seattle Seahawks at William Hill Sportsbooks, we side with Dallas to deliver.
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Dallas (+5) at Seattle
Both teams escaped with high-scoring wins last week, and each offense is among the early season leaders with QB’s Dak Prescott and Russell Wilson leading the way. A look inside the numbers shows the Cowboys average 475 YPG on offense which is 70 yards per game more than Seattle, but Russell Wilson’s sensational play and efficiency has the Seahawks offense humming at 6.9 yards per play to rank No. 2 in the league. But Seattle’s defense has been a sieve so far, allowing a league worst 485 yards per game and 75 plays per game to opposing offenses at 6.6 yards per play to rank No. 30 in the league. Seattle’s defense has gotten worse each season since the Seahawks hired Ken Norton Jr. as its defensive coordinator in 2018 after the Raiders unloaded him.
The Cowboys defense is allowing 5.6 yards per play, and Dallas holds a 0.8 to 0.3 net yards per play advantage over the Seahawks. Last week’s remarkable Cowboys comeback was in part due to a 3-0 turnover deficit that put them in a hole. Dallas trailed 20-0 after the first quarter. But the Cowboys still held Atlanta and QB Matt Ryan to 5.3 yards per play and 370 yards while piling up 570 yards themselves at 7.0 yards per play. The Seahawks allowed the Falcons to rack up 506 yards at 6.6 yards per play in Week 1 with most of it passing as Atlanta kept shooting themselves in the foot. No 12th man for the Seahawks without their loud hometown fans in the stands, and the Cowboys offense can win a shootout again as the total is up to 56 at William Hill
Following this Week 3 match-up, the Cowboys host the Cleveland Browns and the Week 4 lookahead lines is Dallas -5. The Seahawks travel to Miami with an advance line of Seattle -7.
Totals tips: In non-conference NFC games from Weeks 1-6, the OVER is 8-0 the last three seasons when the total is higher than 49 points and the home team is favored by -2 or more points. Situation applies to Dallas at Seattle and Detroit at Arizona – both are currently at 55.5 or 56 points.