NFL Rushing Stats To Produce Profit

Using Rushing Statistics As An NFL Betting Tool

Each week during the NFL season, I provide my NFL underdog picks on these pages with a focus only on underdogs. Often our NFL rushing stats and guidelines are included in the analysis. Now in our 8th year posting those complimentary NFL picks at Off Shore Gaming Association and adding to Vegas Sports Zone, the record is 199-147 for a 57.5% ATS success rate and more than 110 outright winners as Fairways followers continue to profit from the experience. Those top of the leaderboard results include 9-3 ATS this season following a 3-1 ATS ‘Dog log in Week 1, and 4-1-1 ATS in Week 2 and then 2-1 ATS in Week 3 where rushing game dominance prevailed.

One of our edges in handicapping while picking and betting NFL point spread winners has been the ability to isolate and interpret data using running game stats that have helped us rush to the window wagering.

Week 3 Rushing Dominance Leads To 14-1 SU/ATS Results 

My weekly #NFL boxscore data & notes SU/ATS. Rushing stats includes tracking for 20+ yrs & consistent results. Must interpret data & have ability to protect matchups, edges & apply. Record Week 3 rushing w/30+ yds edge & those teams going 14-1 SU/ATS. 30+ rushes/game 10-1 SU/ATS pic.twitter.com/KrhcvYTXeB

— Fairway Jay (@FairwayJay) September 25, 2024

Another key indicator to winning and cashing in ATS is how many times a team runs the football. The more the better for NFL rushing stats, which usually implies controlling the line of scrimmage, ball and clock, and better down and distance to create more play calling options. Teams that run the ball (rushing attempts) at least 30 times in a NFL game are 26-5 SU and 23-7-1 ATS (77%) this season, including 10-1 SU/ATS in Week 3 as running games dominated the results. That 77% ATS success rate is right at last year’s results over 18 weeks in the regular season, but historically greater than 80% ATS including 82% the past 6 years. Teams that run the ball less than 23 times per game are 4-27 SU and 6-27 ATS after Week 3 saw these poor rushing teams go 0-12 SU/ATS.

Read more of this article and NFL rushing stats at Off Shore Gaming Association. I’ll add more in days ahead.