NFL Playoffs: Wild Card Odds, Stats And Picks

The NFL Playoffs and bracket are set, and Wild Card weekend kicks off with six games Jan. 10-12, 2026. Check out my full coverage at Off Shore Gaming Association with Wild Card odds, stats, insight, analysis along with picks and opinions on the most watched and wagered games.

I add more NFL coverage and sports betting content at BetOnline, including the top NFC receivers to watch in the playoffs with stats and information you can bet on as you consider player props and more. More Wild Card odds, analysis and updates ahead of NFL Playoffs as posted.

Stats for NFL playoff teams below, courtesy of Playbook Sports. ITS = In the Stats vs playoff teams.

Denver	+12 yards	4-2 SU	4-2 ATS	4-2 ITS
New England	+39	3-1	3-1	2-2
Jacksonville	+02	5-5	5-3	4-4
Pittsburgh	-122	1-5	1-5	1-5
Houston	+47	4-4	4-4	4-4
Buffalo	+95	3-3	2-4	5-1
LA Chargers	-35	3-3	3-3	2-4
Seattle	+56	7-1	7-1	6-2
Chicago	-30	2-3	3-2	1-4
Philadelphia	-42	3-3	3-3	2-4
Carolina	-93	2-5	2-5	1-6
LA Rams	+12	4-4	4-4	6-2
San Francisco	-13	4-4	4-4	4-4
Green Bay	+65	2-4	2-4	4-2

In all NFL playoff games from 2002-2024, the better seed team (lower seed) is 117-134-4 ATS. In the Wild Card round, the better seed is 49-50-3 ATS. Home ‘Dogs in the NFL Playoffs are a very profitable play over a longterm 50 game sample at nearly 70% ATS. 

Wild Card Odds

NFL odds from leading online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting.

Sat., Jan. 10

– LA Rams (-10.5) at Carolina, game total 46.5
– Green Bay (-1.5) at Chicago, 45.5

Sun., Jan. 11

– Buffalo (-1) at Jacksonville, 51.5
– San Francisco at Philadelphia (-4.5 or 5), 44.5
– LA Chargers at New England (-3.5), 46

Mon, Jan. 12

– Houston (-3) vs. Pittsburgh, 39.5

Wild Card Odds And Picks

Early picks include the Jaguars and over the game total against the Bills, and the Chargers.

See OSGA for more opinions, leans and updates.

Defensive Stats

Four key defensive stats are often linked to SU and ATS success when a team has the edge in 3 or 4 of the stats vs. an opponent. This has proven profitable over the second half of the season in competitively-lined games (6 points or less) hitting at a 65% ATS rate since Week 8 this season in more than 80 games.

– Yards per play
– Defensive points allowed
– Yardage differential
– Defensive yards per rush

Fairway’s Forecast finished another winning NFL season with Week 18 tips, totals and teasers going 3-1 on game totals plus 2-1 ATS on NFL side opinions from our weekly picks, props and parlays and a 2-0 finish on player props in Week 18 for a winning props season. NFL side/spread picks finished the season on a 8-2 ATS run since Week 11 and 17-11 ATS all side/spread picks and opinions since Week 11.

Recall in 2023 our NFL underdog picks went 11-1 ATS with 9 outright winners in December to cap a 57% ATS run on posted NFL underdog picks at OSGA from 2017-2023, including a 70% ATS season in 2021 on all NFL underdog picks.