NFL Picks Week 3 Odds And 2024 Underdog Winners

Fairways Football Forecast and NFL Underdog Picks are 7-2 ATS in 2024 and > 57% ATS last 7+ years

A strong start to the 2024 NFL season shows our NFL picks 7-2 ATS selecting only underdogs. That included a 3-0 Sunday sweep on our  Week 1 NFL underdog picks and a huge Week 2 card that went 4-1-1 on underdog picks plus another 4-1 ATS on Opinions that are provided by mid-week at OSGA before final selections Friday and over the weekend. NFL picks Week 3 are posted with analysis at Off Shore Gaming Association, and added below with more being considered after reviewing Friday injury reports and more matchups, stats and information you can bet on.

Now in my 8th year posting NFL underdog picks at OSGA and Vegas Sports Zone, our picks have hit at greater than 57% ATS (197-146 ATS) with 114 outright winners while also providing additional information you can bet on to assist you to learn as you earn.

Last season was a small winnning one that included a strong 11-1 ATS finish in December which was part of a 7-0 ATS result in Week 14 with seven outright winners. Recall Fairways Football Forecast had an unprecedented 70% season (28-12 ATS) in 2021 picking only NFL underdogs.

Stategies and Sports Betting Stories

My labor of love continues for an eighth straight NFL season providing Fairway’s Football Forecast with no tout talk or selling plays through companies which I have turned down numerous times since producing top of the leaderboard results over a decade ago with 8 straight winning NFL seasons. I provided picks and analysis on a popular daily sports betting radio show out of Las Vegas before U.S. legalization in 2018 forever changed the sports betting landscape, which is now legal in 38 states plus D.C.

Check out more NFL 2024 Week 3 odds and coverage as I update at Forbes.

NFL Week 3 Odds

The contest card at the SuperBook in Las Vegas provides midweek odds, and the betting lines and totals are subject to change. I’m not in the big NFL contests this year at SuperBook or Circa Sports, which I featured in Forbes. But I’ve had top-5% finishes in the big NFL contests in seasons past.

NFL Week 3 injury reports 

Week 3 of the SuperContest is HERE! What are you thinking?

Take a good look at the contest card and make sure you get your picks in by 11:59 pm this Saturday (9/21). Mobile Picks must be in by 9 pm Saturday (9/21). pic.twitter.com/WYyIy81oYs

— SuperBook Nevada (@SuperBookNV) September 18, 2024

Fairway’s Forecast – NFL Week 3 Underdog Picks

Los Angeles (+1.5) at Pittsburgh – Chargers Moneyline +105
Minnesota (+2.5) vs. Houston – Vikings Moneyline +115
Philadelphia (+3) at New Orleans – Eagles Moneyline +130

The Vikings were +3.5 and even +4 last week on the lookahead line and offered for early bettors which I also noted and suggested betting last week. See if +3 pops, and it will if WR Justin Jefferson (quad) doesn’t play. But clearly Vikings are another bet and moneyline to add to your wagers, which I did last week both ATS and ML last week vs. the 49ers in a Minnesota right side winner, 23-17. See Week 2 CHI at HOU game analysis, BTW, next week’s Week 3 lookahead line of Houston -3.5 AT Minnesota is an even greater mispricing making the Vikings an advance bet.

The Chargers and Steelers are both 2-0 with the winner moving to a surprising 3-0 with Pittsburgh winning both their games on the road. The Chargers were a Week 1 opinion winner over the Las Vegas Raiders, who I posted Picks and Opinions on each game during the season. The Steelers also lead the league in rushing attempts per game (38.5) through two games, and the Chargers are also among the leaders at 35 rushing attempts per game. Los Angeles is No. 2 in the NFL in rushing at 197 yards per game with Justin Herbert a top-tier premier passer in a coach Harbaugh run-heavy scheme so far while the Steelers and their dumbo duel threat QB Justin Fields averages 139 rushing YPG with Fields contributing 42 rushing YPG but poor passing at 136 YPG. Surprisingly, no INT’s yet but as expected, Fields has fumbled twice but been fortunate the Steelers recovered both. Oh, and Fields has led the Steelers offense to ONE (1) touchdown in two games. Add in that the Chargers revamped defense has allowed a total of 13 points so far through two games, and we have ourselves a bet on the better team as ‘Dog with Harbaugh and Herbert against Tomlin and Fields only adding to our belief and support of additional teasers bets including the Chargers. One of these teams will make the playoffs and the other will not, thus we’re counting on a Chargers victory.

Note: Chargers QB Justin Herbert suffered an ankle injury in last week’s game, and x-rays were negative. He’ll practice later this week, but if he’s ruled out and doesn’t start, this does not become a play until we evaluate any potential line change and backup quarterback status.

See my Eagles-Saints betting preview with stats, analysis and ATS notes with information you can bet on in Forbes, along with Ravens-Cowboys and NFL Week 3 odds. The Eagles are now taking +3 (or +3, -120) on Saturday at leading online sportsbooks. The Week 3 lookahead line on this contest was Eagles -3.5, and now we’ve seen the biggest swing of the season without an injured QB as Philly is now a +3 underdog. The Eagles have rushed the ball for 144 yards and 186 yards (37 carries) in two games. Last week they lost to the Falcons 22-21 in the closing seconds of Monday Night Football (Fairway feature in Forbes) after Philly’s coaches messed up some late game decisions and the Eagles had a 95% probability of winning with 2 minutes remaining. Let’s take the value on #FlyEaglesFly and sell high on the Saints.

Speaking of teasers, I’ll be adding the Cincinnati Bengals to my teaser card with the Bengals a -7.5 point favorite on Monday Night Football, which was an Opinion winner in Week 2 and I added the Atlanta Falcons to complete betting winners including a parlay (posted). Cincinnati fits some other matchups strengths and solid angles as a winless team, and I’ll update more on that later. The Browns are a favorite to tease as well with edges at the point of attack and rushing, noted below.

Check back Friday and into the weekend for additional picks, ATS notes and stats plus information you can bet on.