NFL 2025 Raiders-Chiefs Week 7 Preview And Picks

The Raiders (2-4) snapped a 4-game losing streak last week to beat the league-worst Titans 20-10. Another sloppy offensive performance, and now they travel to Kansas City for a Raiders-Chiefs Week 7 AFC West clash as the biggest underdog of the week. The Chiefs (3-3) are a 12-point favorite and scoring 31 points per game over their last three contests.

I provide more details of the Raiders-Chiefs Week 7 division duel in my NFL Week 7 picks, parlays and props coverage with insight in this contest.

You can follow various sites for Raiders news beyond betting including Silver and Black Pride along Raiders.com with other sources including my friend and colleague JT The Brick, the Raiders pre and post game host, analyst and national/Las Vegas radio voice.

Another colleague I correspond with is Case Keefer of the Las Vegas Sun, who covers the Raiders and other Las Vegas sports teams. As a columnist and reporter, Case is also a sharp handicapper who provides weekly betting picks along with Raiders team coverage including Raiders-Chiefs Week 7.

Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs

Spread: Chiefs (-12), Game total 45.5
Opinion: Chiefs and Under

The Chiefs (-12) are the biggest favorite this week at home against the Raiders. Kansas City will be a most popular NFL Survivor pick, and better than the suckers who picked the big road favorite Steelers Thursday. Now 3-3, the Chiefs offense has scored an average of 31.7 points per game over its last three contests with QB Patrick Mahomes (+225) returning to top form and now an MVP favorite with Baker Mayfield (+210) and Josh Allen (+325. In the last three games against the Ravens, Jaguars and Lions, the Chiefs’ offense ranks No. 3 in EPA per play, No. 2 in EPA per rush attempt, No. 2 in success rate and No. 2 in passing success rate. The Chiefs are averaging 0.16 EPA/play (4th) overall, and now WR Rashee Rice returns from suspension for his first action of the season. The Raiders pass defense is 1.5 yards worse than its run defense, and the Silver and Black are worse against play action, have a league-high 89% zone coverage rate and will struggle to slow the Chiefs run/pass option plays. But KC has struggled in this big favorite role, and Dr. Bob Sports points out that the Chiefs are 7-17 ATS as favorite of more than 3 points against division opponents (0-4-1 ATS last season). The last 7 times laying 10 points or more to a division rival resulted in one win by 11 points while the other 6 were all wins of 6 points or less (or losses). Kansas City is also 0-10 ATS in their last 10 when favored by 6 points or more after a double-digit victory. Still, despite the inflated spread, I note that the Chiefs only have a +0.3 yards per play differential edge in this matchup. But the Raiders key injuries and absence at OT and TE are signifcant, and most matchups are poor for the Silver and Black with a potential blowout at Arrowhead.

You can bet on it.