NFL 2023 Week 6 Underdog Picks And Preview
FairwayJay’s 6 year record posting NFL Underdog Picks is nearly 58%, and previous 8-straight winning seasons greater than 57% on nearly 650 plays
I’ve posted my updated NFL 2023 Week 6 underdog picks at Off Shore Gaming Association, where I provide picks by Friday each week along with other underdogs in considertion mid-week. Full analysis of the games of interest also provided, and I chip-in more NFL Week 6 coverage in Forbes with key games and those generating the most betting intererst.
NFL Handicapping Success, Strategies and Sports Betting Stories
The line moves are always worth monitoring, and trying to get ahead of, but we don’t control market moves. You can get an early look at the Week 6 lookahead lines and compare them to the current lines.
Week 6 Odds, Lines & Matchups
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We enter Week 6 at 9-9 ATS with 6 outright winners to start the season. The 6-year record posting underdog picks is now 171-126 ATS (57.6%) with 98 outright underdog winners. That includes a 70% season in 2021 going 28-12 ATS with 21 outright winners.
Fairway’s Forecast – NFL Week 6 Underdog Picks
Also check out other NFL 2023 Week 6 underdog picks, opinions and considerations in my coverage at OSGA, along with game analysis and any additions here over the weekend. Picks below were provided and posted Wednesday, Oct. 11 at OSGA, and odds, lines and totals are subject to change.
NFL Week 6 injury reports
New York (+7) vs Philadelphia – Jets Moneyline +250
Los Angeles (+2.5) vs Dallas (FanDuel) – Chargers Moneyline +110
Philadelphia at New York – The Eagles (5-0) remain undefeated, but have not beaten a quality team yet. The Jet’s are not either with QB Zach Wilson, but the defense is formidable unit. However, on Saturday, the Jets ruled out CB Sauce Gardner. He joins fellow starting CB D.J. Reed on the sidelines for this game as both are out with concussions. Despite those players sitting this game out, there are more Eagles -6.5 than -7. It’s strength vs. strength in a number of matchups including the Eagles top offensive line, which did not allow a sack or QB hit last week, against a Jets defense that has a 41.4% pressure rate (3rd). The Eagles run defense is stout, allowing just 3.4 yards per rush (4th), while Jets RB Breece Hall is elite and is averaging more than 6.2 yards per rush in his NFL career and the second-year running back has 233 rushing yards the last two weeks at greater than 7.5 YPR. The Eagles ground game could be the difference if QB Hurts breaks from the pressure, and RB D’Andre Swift carries more than 17 times. Still, the Eagles special teams outside of their kicker rate worse, and my yardage projections are closer than most anticipate if Jets QB Wilson can continue to improve a bit and avoid key mistakes. Big home ‘Dog call.
Also, in advance of next week’s NFL games, be sure to check out the Week 7 lookahead lines.