NBA Playoff Player Props for First Round Games
Let’s take a look and shoot for more green with player props on Friday, May 28.
Nets vs Celtics Player Props
Marcus Smart – Points: Over 13.5 (-122)
The Brooklyn Nets are rolling with a 2-0 series lead, and the Boston Celtics try to regroup back home as an 8.5-point underdog in Game 3. An SDQL search at Killer Sports notes that since 2012, home underdogs of more than 4.5 points are just 24-59 ATS. Still, don’t lay the points like 90% of the public, even with Jaylen Brown already out for the rest of the season, and Jayson Tatum and Kemba Walker dealing with injuries for Boston. Marcus Smart eclipsed his points prop in Game 2 with 19 points, and he’s taken eight three-pointers in each contest and made eight for a 50% strike rate. Smart scored 17 points in Game 1, and remains a key scoring option from the perimeter.
Clippers vs Mavericks Player Props
Kawhi Leonard – Rebounds: Under 8.5 (-122)
The Dallas Mavericks won the first two games in Los Angeles as sizable underdogs, and now return home with more momentum and confidence. The coaching has clearly favored Dallas, and LA Clippers coach Lue is lost while taking tons of criticism. Kawhi Leonard scored 41 points in Game 2, and it still wasn’t enough for the Clippers in a 127-121 defeat. Leonard may reach his points prop (30.5) again, but not counting on nearly double-digit rebounds as he’s only eclipsed eight rebounds once in his last eight games and averages 6.5 per contest – fourth best on the team.
Recent 2021 NBA player prop winners I provided for FanDuel Sportsbook and bettors.
Game 2 – Nets vs Celtics, 2-0
Game 1 – Nuggets vs Trail Blazers, 2-1
Game 2 – Nuggets vs Trail Blazers, 2-1
Game 2 – Lakers vs Suns
Chris Paul – Under 13.5 Points (-110)
Point guard Chris Paul is a warrior. He came back in Game 1 to give his team an emotional boost after suffering a right shoulder contusion. He scored seven poings and had eight assists in 36 minutes. But clearly he was unable to use his right arm in the ways he normally would for passing, dribbling and shooting the basketball. He’s less than 100%, and we’ll count on him setting up the offense and passing more than shooting in Game 2. (Paul scored 6 points)
Game 2 – Clippers vs Mavericks
Kawhi Leonard – Over 33.5 Points + Assists (-111)
Kawhi Leonard had 26 points and 5 assists in Game 1 making 9-of-22 shots and just 1-of-6 three pointers. That included 13 points in the opening quarter. He’s a popular prop bet to go over his point total in victory, and he can get there while adding more assists if he can reserve energy later after guarding Doncic more in Game 2. (Leonard scored 41 points and added 4 assists)
Friday, June 4.
Clippers vs Mavericks Player Props
Game 6 – Mavericks vs Clippers. More chips-ins for FanDuel.
Kristaps Porzingis – Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)
Kristaps Porzingis averaged 23.7 points and 8.7 rebounds in last year’s playoff series against the Clippers before injury knocked him out after three games. This year he’s averaging 13.8 points and 4.4 rebounds. The Clippers continue to drape players over Porzingis as he hangs out in the corners most of the game. In Game 5, he had few touches and took just six shots and scored a series-low 8 points. In Game 4, Porzingis scored just 9 points with 4 rebounds while playing 34 minutes. He’s sacrificing for the team, and bettors can cash in again on less production.
Luka Doncic – Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds (-113)
Luka Doncic is averaging a series-high 35 points per game against the LA Clippers. At some point, Clippers coach Tyronn Lue will figure out how to slow the Mavericks star. In Game 6, fatigue will be a factor and start to settle in. Doncic comes off a 42-point performance while playing more than 42 minutes in Game 5. He took an amazing 37 shots from the field in the 105-100 victory. After Doncic went off for 44 points in Game 3, he scored just 19 points with 6 rebounds in Game 4 at home. Doncic is carrying an enormous load, and he wore down during the fourth quarter of Game 5 after scoring 40 points through the first three quarters. Los Angeles needs to ramp up the defensive pressure with smaller, more switchable lineups.
Page updated as props posted and available.