NBA Handicapping – Betting the Playoffs

NBA Handicapping – Conference Semifinals

Our NBA handicapping has moved into round 2 and the conference semifinals, and our prepping for the playoffs has paid off thus far as members have enjoyed our 7-4 ATS start including 2-0 in the conference semifinals. That includes a Top Play winner on the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 Saturday as they crushed the Oklahoma City Thunder 124-93. We came right back with the top seeded Golden State Warriors Sunday and they delivered a double-digit win for their betting backers as well.

The remaining teams and match-ups for the conference semifinals are:

West

#1 Golden State vs. #5 Portland

#2 San Antonio vs #3 Oklahoma City

East

#1 Cleveland vs #4 Atlanta

#2 Toronto vs #3 Miami

Round 2 of the conference semifinals is where home court has shown to be strongest in the NBA playoffs, and the Spurs and Warriors continued their dominance after going 40-1 and 39-2 at home during the regular season.

With the players and teams focus more intense and the energy level increased during the playoffs, we also see heightened defensive effort. This is especially true when Class A teams meet in the playoffs, and our proven profiles, situations and match-up analysis has allowed us to profit season after season using situations that have developed further since the NBA playoffs moved to a 7-game format for all series since 2002.

As we evaluate and provide some proven and profitable situations and technical analysis below, note that injuries impact the analysis and match-ups especially when key players like the Warriors Stephen Curry and LA Clippers Chris Paul are injured and lost for weeks and/or the rest of the postseason.

What has proven to be a very positive and profitable situation in the conference semifinals since 2002 should make bettors who like favorites quite pleased.

Conference semifinal (second round) home favorites of -5 or more points have posted better than a 60% ATS mark since 2002. This situation has a solid sample size of greater than 150 games.

That should show you some of the strength of these stronger teams playing at home, especially when the point spreads may be slightly inflated at times on these top-tier teams playing at home.

We have some situational ‘tighteners’ and subsets that can make these NBA handicapping profiles pop even stronger, and when we combine our fundamental match-up analysis with situations, we can put the percentages and edges in our favor as we evaluate impact injuries, coaching and the betting line in our handicapping processes.

Our NBA handicapping also includes some solid totals situations that we use with even stronger results in the conference semifinal round forward. That’s especially true when Class A teams meet. Class A teams remaining in the playoffs include the Warriors, Spurs, Thunder, Cavaliers and Raptors.

If you don’t have the time, energy or ability to research information, stats and use prove handicapping processes to beat the bookmaker more consistently, then join other members who rely on a proven pro to carry the bag and make key shots more consistently.

 

Author: FairwayJay is a leading national sports betting analyst, writer, handicapper and sports betting insider providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. He chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events for leading media and sports betting sites and companies. Follow him on X (Twitter): @FairwayJay