Monday Night Football Week 14: Betting the Browns vs Ravens
The Monday Night Football Week 14 match-up is a big one between the Baltimore Ravens (7-5) and Cleveland Browns (9-3). The Ravens have been taking money and are up to a 3-point favorite with a total of 45.5. Some sportsbooks like FanDuel and BetMGM are charging -120 odds to bet on the Ravens.
FanDuel’s oddsfire platform on numbeFire, where I am a contributor, shows the Browns currently taking 59% of the bets and 56% of the money, yet the line is up from -2.5 to -3 on the Ravens.
I make a case for the Browns below and did bet them and tease as well. It’s not a prime time Play of the Day like the Rams Thursday night win, but you can read more analysis below and added updates as available.
Browns and Ravens Odds, Picks and Player Prop Bets
My MNF betting update in Forbes with infomation you can bet on and prop bet on Browns RB Kareem Hunt.
Monday Night Football Week 14
Baltimore at Cleveland: Ravens (-3) and total 45.5
You can review my game analysis on the Brown vs Ravens game at Offshore Gaming Associaion and I’ll add a bit below as well. I played the Browns on the point spread, moneyline and teased the Browns to complete a number of two and three team teasers that included the Rams 24-3 winner Thursday and the Bills 26-15 Sunday night winner over the Steelers. I bet the Bills +2.5 and teased to +8.5 last week when the line was released prior to the Steelers losing to Washington. That result impacted the line when reset following last Sunday’s games as the Bills were made a 2-point favorite.
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (+3)
These are the league’s top two rushing teams with the Ravens running for 169 yards per game at 5.2 yards per rush with QB Lamar Jackson a major part of the rushing attack. The Browns average 158 rushing yards per game at 4.9 yards per rush. Both teams average 32 rushing attempts per game to rank top-3 in the league, and it’s the Browns who have the slightly better run defense. A look at my updated Inside the Numbers stats shows the importance of running the ball and stopping the run.
What many observers may be surprised to know is that the Browns now lead the league in pass blocking efficiency. The Browns’ offensive front has allowed pressure on just 12% of dropbacks since week 7, which is best in the league, and it all came together last week at Tennessee when QB Baker Mayfield passed for 290 yards and 4 touchdowns in the first half alone. Pro Football Focus notes that Mayfield finished the game against the titans with a 90% accuracy percentage – the best mark for a quarterback in a game this season.
Mayfield has gone 156 attempts without an interception, and the Browns are 5-1 in that span. He’ll be under more blitz pressure from the Ravens, who rank first in blitz rate this season (47%). But Baker is averaging 7.7 yards per pass play against the blitz, as coach Stefanski calls more play-action passes and rollout options for Mayfield.
The bet and pick – Browns +3 and Teaser to +9
Read more game analysis at osga.com.