Mexico Open Golf Odds And 2025 Preview And Picks

Just four of the top 50 and 26 of the top 100 players in the world golf rankings tee it up this week at the 2025 Mexico Open. I chip in Mexico Open golf odds, picks, props and information you can bet on in my PGA Tour coverage in Forbes.

I added an intial Mexico Open article that includes more on the Greg Norman-designed Vidanta Villarta golf course at VidantaWorld, which is a fan favorite and desired destination with luxurious facilities and awesome activities similar to the Atlantis resort in the Bahamas, which I featured previously as part of my World Series of Poker Paradise coverage.

Mexico Open Golf Odds 2025

Leading favorites odds below from FanDuel and leading online sportsbooks. I’ll include a link to Circa Sports as available, which often have more favorable odds to win and especially on longshots. 

• +1400: Akshay Bhatia
• +2000: Rasmus Hojgaard
• +2200: Sam Stevens, Kurt Kitayama
• 2500: Michael Kim, Patrick Rodgers
• +2800: Harry Hall
• +3000: Taylor Moore, Stephen Jaeger
• +3300: Aaron Rai, Beau Hossler
• +3500: Ben Griffin
• +4000: Kevin Yu, Niklas Norgaard
• +4500: Alex Smalley, Jake Knapp, Thorbjorn Olesen
• +5000: C.T. Pan
• +5500: Ryan Fox, Justin Lower, Nicolai Hojgaard
• +5500: Matt Wallace, Michael Thorbjornsen
• +6000: Greyson Sigg, Adam Svensson
• +6500: Erik van Rooyen, Patrick Fishburn, Kevin Roy
• +7000: Charley Hoffman, Ryan Gerard
• +7500: J. Bridgman, A. Potgieter, Chan Kim, A. Putnam, V. Perez
• +8000: Ben Silverman, Sam Ryder, Rico Hoey
• +9000: Chris Gotterup

72-Hole Winning Score: Over/Under 264.5 (Par 71)

Biggest and Best Las Vegas Sportsbooks.

Stats

Using Data Golf’s course fit tool and favoured skill sets at Vidanta Villarta, big hitters rise to the top with driving distance a key stat. Use course fit adjustments in strokes gained per round to identify stronger long iron players and Proximity from 175+ yards. More stats and info in my coverage in Forbes.

Generous fairways and receptive Paspalum greens with little undulation should make for low scores. But watch the weather for high winds off the Pacific coastline.

Mexico Open Golf Picks

Fairway’s Favorites: Kitayama, Stevens, Norgaard, Smalley
Fairway’s Longshots: N. Hojgaard, van Rooyen, Ventura, Gotterup

Tournament Match-up: Aaron Rai (-115) over Harry Hall (-105) – SuperBook
Round 1: Pass

Check back for more Mexico Open golf odds, insight and any additional matchups.

See last year’s 2024 Mexico Open for another top finishing position winner on Stephen Jaeger (T3).

Chip-in for tournament additional match-up picks.

There may be fewer tournament matchup picks posted in 2025 with coverage across various platforms. I’ll try to add more picks and props and update more coverage as time allows and I dig deeper into strokes gained stats and weekly tournaments. Reach me directly at [email protected] for questions and select picks I bet on beyond what’s posted here.

Next week it’s the Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches (former Honda Open), and the start of the Florida Swing.

Golf Betting Notes and History from FairwayJay

My golf coverage and research includes use and references from sites at Golf Stats along with Fantasy National, and Data Golf. I gain added information and betting news with fantasy golf insight from FanShare Sports and other sites and golf analysts. That includes top golf insider Justin Ray Golf, who contributes to PGA Tour (dot com) and The Athletic with insightful stats. The site GolfStats has also has player performance charts and a player competitor tool plus added stats and previews.