John Deere Classic 2022 Odds And Picks

A lighter field of top-ranked golfers tee it up this week at the John Deere Classic 2022. The odds to win are topped by world No. 58 Webb Simpson after No. 25 Daniel Berger withdrew this week. Just two golfers from the top 75 in the world rankings are playing the 7,289 yard par 71 at TPC Deere Run in Illinois. Many of the world’s top players are overseas preparing for the Scottish Open ahead of the Open Championship the following week at St. Andrews.

I’ll be reviewing more tournament match-ups and determining if we’ll post a play to bet, so check back Wed. afternoon for any updates and picks.

I’ve chipped in a few dark horses and longshots to consider for top finishing position or outrights in my update for FanDuel and The Duel Sports.

John Deere Classic 2022 Odds

SuperBook Sports Las Vegas

TPC Deere Run

Bentgrass greens and fairways, along with Kentucky bluegrass rough won’t slow the barrage of birdies and low scores. The 72-hole winning score is projecting another 20-under par score with a number of players likely going even lower.

Since last year the course underwent a comprehensive bunker renovation and competitive enhancement project. Bunkers were completely rebuilt with new grass
surrounds, drainage, liners and sand, which also included reducing overall square footage by 30% and repositioning as needed to increase course strategy.

Delayed start to growing season has challenged staff to complete grow in of areas impacted by bunker renovation, as well as prepare existing areas of the course for the tournament.

Water comes into play on just three holes, and you can take a flyover tour of TPC Deere Run and know that the toughest scoring holes are:

  • Par 4 No. 9 – 503 yards (8.7% birdies, 24.9% bogeys 2021)
  • Par 4 No. 18 – 476 yards (13% birdies, 21.2% bogeys)
  • Par 4 No. 15 – 484 yards (13.2% birdies, 19.6% bogeys)
  • Par 3 at No. 3 – 186 yards (11.2% birdies, 18% bogeys)

Power Rankings and Players

Check out this weeks power rankings at TheLines, and some of the strokes gained data. This may assist you in narrowing some of your choices for win bets or adding some to your finishing position and props wagers. I’ve chipped in a bit on a player below and a few others in my longshots for The Duel Sports.

Doug Ghim (+5500) is getting some respect in the betting market despite some struggles the past two months. He did finish T-18 at the Canadian Open recently, and T-18 at 13-under par in this event last year after opening with 66-67 with top-12 Strokes Gained stats in Approach, Ball Striking and Tee-to-Green. Over his previous 50 rounds, Ghim is also top-10 in this field in Ball Striking and Tee-to-Green and top-15 in Approach. Poor putting continues to keep Ghim from finding his groove, but he had one of his better weeks at the Canadian Open.

John Deere Classic 2022 Picks

I’ll pass on picks to win this week with no Fairway favorites. But know with more big longhots in play, there is clearly potential for a bigger score if you can identify players of interest and some stats to support. I added a some big bombs this week on Wed.

Tournament match-ups: Doug Ghim (+100) over Emiliano Grillo (BetMGM)

Tournament Match-ups last year started 17-5 and was 19-8 into July and this tournament. The 2022 tournament posted match-ups are 15-8 following last week’s winner at the Travelers Championship.

Author: FairwayJay is a leading national sports betting analyst, writer, handicapper and sports betting insider providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. He chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events for leading media and sports betting sites and companies. Follow him on X (Twitter): @FairwayJay