Fairway’s Football Forecast – NFL Week 9 Underdog Picks And Preview
The Philadelphia Eagles (8-0) remained the only undefeated team when they kicked off Week 9 action Thursday with a 29-19 non-covering road win at Houston. There are three division games in Week 9 action including two first place teams – Bills and surprising Seahawks. The Jets and Lions are both part of our NFL Week 9 underdog picks in division match-ups.
- Buffalo Bills (-11.5) at New York Jets
- Green Bay Packers (-3.5) at Detroit Lions
- Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-2)
I’ve got three NFL Week 9 underdog picks below, and they are originally posted at Offshore Gaming Association with analysis and available lines when posted early Friday.
The Bills line has been dropping all week from -13 to -12, -11.5 and even some -10.5 showing on Saturday, but still -11.5 at BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook. .
NFL Week 9 Odds and Betting Splits
https://twitter.com/CircaSports/status/1589053762588418048
The most popular sides in the Circa Million NFL contest in Las Vegas this week are:
Seahawks +2, Raiders -1.5, Falcons +3, Vikings -3, Bears +5
I chip in additional game previews highlighted below for TheLines.
The Fairway Football Forecast 2022 NFL underdog record stands at 16-14 ATS with 15 outright winners. That follows last seasons 28-12 ATS (70%) record picking only underdogs. The 5+ year record posting picks at OSGA now stands at 146-105 (58.2%).
NFL Week 9 Underdog Picks
Be sure to check the NFL injury reports and monitor the betting lines and NFL weather.
The NFL Week 9 underdog picks come with full analysis at Offshore Gaming Association. I’ll update the analysis on these pages later along with any additions by Sunday morning.
Indianapolis (+5.5) at New England – Colts moneyline +200
New York (+11.5) vs Buffalo – Jets moneyline +460
Detroit (+3.5) vs Green Bay – Lions moneyline +160
Buffalo at NY Jets
This line has been dropping and was 13 early week. Now it’s +11.5 across the board. We’ll still bite, as taking double-digits on a home ‘Dog is often for the dregs of the league, like the Houston Texans Thursday in their 29-17 loss, but cover, against the undefeated Eagles. We’ve been ahead of the Jets (5-3) rise and projections most the early season, and come back on Gang Green again this week against the top team Bills (6-1). The Jets allow 311 YPG on defense and even better that past three games. The Bills are No. 3 in total defense allowing 298 yards per game but 383 YPG over their last three contests. The Jets are No. 21 in total offense DVOA and the Bills fell from No. 2 to No. 4 this week. New York’s loss last week was mostly due to QB Zack Wilson’s 3 INT’s despite 355 passing yards on just 50% completions. The Jets still buried the Dolphins and won at Green Bay, and New York also has stronger special teams. The Jets are not a bottom tier team like this line suggests, and oddsmakers know bettors are often on the Bills. The loss of RB Breece Hall (knee) and OL Alijah Vera-Tucker (triceps) hurts, but the Jets traded for Jaguars RB James Robinson to add a boost. Even without those two, New York out-gained New England by 100 yards and 6.7 to 3.8 yards per play last week in defeat.
Monday Night Football and the +3 on the Saints is no longer available at home against the Ravens. We’ll monitor more and decide on game day if we add New Orleans to the ‘Dog log.
Check back for more updates, additions and information you can bet on from a proven pro. with past NFL contest success and featured handicapper.
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