Fairway’s Football Forecast – NFL Week 2 Underdog Picks And Preview

Strong start to the NFL season with a 4-0 ATS sweep on our NFL Week 1 underdog picks. That included an outright winner on San Francisco, and three others that were right there for victory in the closing minute and overtime with all three at least a +6.5 underdog or more – Colts, Bengals and Texans on Monday night losing on a last second 58-yard field goal at New Orleans.

With the growing interest in the NFL and betting, many bettors are (over) reacting to Week 1 results, and that provides plenty of opportunities in Week 2 as one of the best weeks of the season to wager on NFL games. The linemaker also adjusts, and will sometimes protect itself from being overexposed in teasers, providing even more value on underdogs as we noted in our analysis last week on the Bengals (up to +9.5 instead of +8.5).

My perfection reflection shows why I look forward to NFL Week 2, as a decade ago I went 10-0 on my point spread prognosis picks documented publicly.

Read the rest of my article and insight along with Week 2 underog picks at Offshore Gaming Association.

I chip in more NFL Week 2 insight and analysis, along with college football and other sports betting news and information in a weekly Podcast at The Lines.

I’ve added a NFL Week 2 article at Forbes noting 8 home underdogs this week.  More insight, analysis, ATS info and information you can bet on.

To keep you grounded in your evaluation of lines, I provide the look ahead lines for Week 3 NFL games along with market moves for this weeks games and other sports betting information.

Selected bookmakers provide advance lines for the following weeks games prior to that week’s NFL games being played. It’s worth reviewing each week, and then breaking down the match-ups, fundamentals and situations to support your plays. On Thursday, the Panthers closed a 6.5-point favorite this week and the look ahead line was -4.5 at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas. Bettors liked the Panthers, but took a bath when Tampa Bay won outright 20-14; failing to head my warning on Twitter.

NFL:Laying 7-points with CAR is not prudent play v TB; +6.5 no good either. Newton not right. Risky teaser too. Bucs TOs a real issue last wk, but even short week travel on Thur, Bucs are a better bet. Even w/TO risk QB Winston & questionable OC Leftowich https://t.co/bafKpHXi7e

— Fairway Jay (@FairwayJay) September 12, 2019

Here is a recency report I provide each week with current week market moves and the NFL Week 3 look ahead lines. I hope this information helps you in your pursuit of profit, as I try to provide added insights beyond just the picks with the proverbial wisdom, “give a man a fish and you feed him for a day, teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime.”

With eight (8…!) home underdogs in Week 2, the NFL card is ripe with potential upsets. Competitively-priced underdogs are 6-points or less, and playing a smaller percentage of your point spread wager on the money line is a prudent play when wagering on NFL underdogs. Over the past 2+ seasons, our NFL record on these pages is 55-27 ATS (67%) including 38 outright underdog winners. As mentioned previously, our ‘Dog log will once in awhile (rarely) include a very slight favorite of 2 points or less, as these teams at home are considered underdogs based on the line, and this week Cincinnati was an underdog on the opening line that has now flipped to a slight favorite.

If you like tracking NFL odds and percentages of bets on teams each week from a consensus of 7 leading online sportsbooks that includes BookMaker and 5Dimes, then check out Sports Insights Live NFL odds for Week 2.

This week’s picks and plays – review lines at Las Vegas sportsbooks.

264 Detroit (+2.5) vs LA Chargers – Lions Money Line +115
273 Cincinnati (-1 or -1.5) vs San Francisco – Bengals Money Line -115
286 Denver (+2.5) vs Chicago – Broncos Money Line +115
290 NY Jets (+6.5) vs Cleveland – Jets Money Line +245

More thoughts and analysis on these teams and others in my NFL Week 2 article at Forbes.

Plenty of value and buy low, sell high opportunities this week and in early season NFL match-ups as the linemaker and sportsbooks adjust. Many bettors over-react to the NFL scores and results, media hype and noise that surrounds the most popular sport to bet on. Hazards and things out of your control during a game including turnovers and a bad bounce of the ball can turn winning bets into losing ones. But if you stay grounded in your approach, study and review relevant stats and insightful information, evaluate and understand the fundamental match-ups, you’ll find the endzone and cashiers cage more often.

You can bet on it.