Evaluating NFL Week 9 Lookahead Lines And Week 8 Market Moves
Each week during the NFL season, the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, FanDuel, PointsBet, William Hill and other selected sportsbooks release the betting lines for the following week’s games. These lines offer a glimpse at the projected betting lines up to 10 days in advance of the games. This week we provide and evaulate the Week 9 lookahead lines and some selected match-ups.
I update these NFL Week 9 lookahead lines and current week market moves initially each week in the Recency Report at TheLines. I also review weekly stats and provide information you can bet on in reports and Inside the Numbers updates. I contribute sports betting industry updates at TheLines and chip-in information you can bet on. I’ll update a bit more here each week with links to other NFL team info and tools you can use for your own handicapping and betting.
NFL WEEK 8 ODDS
Check out the NFL Week 8 Odds with sides, totals and moneylines provided and some of the selected match-ups and market moves I chip-in with at TheLines.
NFL WEEK 8 MARKET MOVEMENT
Some of the biggest moves this week are taking place in the over/under market with several totals moving lower than they were initially. Part of this could be due to wind speeds and weather changes at a number of stadiums.
- Pittsburgh at Baltimore – 49 down to 46.5
- Tennessee at Cincinnati – 55.5 down to 52.5
- New England at Buffalo – 44 down to 41
- Las Vegas at Cleveland – 55.5 down to 50.5
- Minnesota at Green Bay – 55.5 down to 50.5
- New Orleans at Chicago – 45 down to 43.5
The Monday Night Football contest between the Buccaneers and Giants at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey has also seen the total drop from 48 to 45.
After going 7-6-1 in Week 7, unders have now cashed in the majority of Pro 🏈 games in two consecutive weeks.
Check out the current total trends & notable wagers at William Hill for Week 8 ⬇️
— William Hill US (@WilliamHillUS) October 29, 2020
WEEK 9 LOOKAHEAD LINES AND BETTING BREAKDOWN
| Week 9 Games – Lookahead Lines | FanDuel |
| Baltimore at Indianapolis | BAL -4 |
| Carolina at Kansas City | KC -10 |
| Chicago at Tennessee | TEN -6.5 |
| Denver at Atlanta | ATL -4 |
| Detroit at Minnesota | MIN -2 |
| Houston at Jacksonville | HOU -4 |
| NY Giants at Washington | WASH -3.5 |
| Seattle at Buffalo | SEA -1.5 |
| Green Bay at San Francisco | SF -1 |
| Miami at Arizona | AZ -6 |
| Pittsburgh at Dallas | PIT -9.5 |
| New Orleans at Tampa Bay | TB -4.5 |
| New England at NY Jets | NE -7 |
Some key Week 9 games between top teams that should generate major betting action include:
Seattle at Buffalo: The Bills () are a slight home underdog on the lookahead line, and both teams will be coming off key division games while looking to stay in first place. Statistically, the Seahawks () have the league’s worst defense in total yards, allowing 479 yards per game. That’s more than 50 yards per game worse than the next two teams. The Seahawks and Bills rarely meet, and Seattle has won the last two meetings in 2016 and 2012 – which was Russell Wilson‘s rookie season. Wilson passed for one touchdown and rushed for three TDs in a 50-17 Seahawks beatdown of the Bills.
New Orleans at Tampa Bay: This key NFC South game will be for first place as the Saints () offense and QB Drew Brees try to move the ball on the NFC’s No. 1 defense of the Buccaneers (). The Buccaneers are 3-0 at home and the defense is allowing a NFC-low 291 yards per game and 4.8 yards per play. Tampa’s defense has been even better over its last three games, allowing 263 yards per game and 4.3 yards per play. Two of those showings came against top-10 offenses in the Raiders and Packers. Buccaneers QB Tom Brady’s 18 touchdown passes are second in the league behind Russell Wilson. The Saints are 2-0 in the division, and the Buccaneers are 1-1 as New Orleans beat Tampa Bay 34-23 in Week 1 thanks to a 3-0 turnover advantage. With no preseason games, neither team was efficient on offense in the season opener, with the Bucs putting up 310 yards and the Saints producing 271 yards. Each team also had more than 100 penalty yards. All six Saints games have gone Over the total this season, but that likely changes in this big game with both teams hitting their defensive stride the last three games.
Green Bay at San Francisco: This is a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship game when the 49ers buried the Packers, 37-20. Both teams will be coming off division games, and the lookahead line has the 49ers (-1) favored over the first place Packers (+1). San Francisco is in last place in the toughest division in football, but after suffering through more injuries than most teams, the 49ers played their best two games the last two weeks in beating the Patriots and Rams. Still, if the playoffs started this week, the 49ers would not be participating. The new expanded playoff format has seven teams in each conference making the postseason, and the top seed getting a bye. Green Bay is still a leading contender for that honor.
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