Evaluating NFL Week 12 Lookahead Lines And Week 11 Market Moves
Each week during the NFL season, the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, FanDuel, PointsBet, William Hill and other selected sportsbooks release the betting lines for the following week’s games. These lines offer a glimpse at the projected betting lines up to 10 days in advance of the games. This week we provide and evaulate the Week 12 lookahead lines and some selected match-ups.
I update these NFL Week 12 lookahead lines and current week market moves initially each week in the Recency Report at TheLines. I also review weekly stats and provide information you can bet on in reports and Inside the Numbers updates. I contribute sports betting industry updates at TheLines and chip-in information you can bet on. I’ll update a bit more here each week with links to other NFL team info and tools you can use for your own handicapping and betting.
NFL WEEK 11 ODDS
Check out the NFL Week 11 Odds with sides, totals and moneylines provided and some of the selected match-ups and market moves I chip-in with at TheLines.
NFL WEEK 11 MARKET MOVEMENT
The biggest Week 11 market moves and adjustments from last week’s lookahead lines include:
- Cincinnati at Washington: Bengals from -1 to +1.5 at Washington
- Detroit at Carolina: Lions from +2.5 to -2.5 at Carolina
- Atlanta at New Orleans: Saints from -6.5 to -4.5 vs Falcons
- New England at Houston: Patriots from +2.5 to -1.5 at Houston
- Tennessee at Baltimore: Ravens from -6.5 to -5 vs Titans
- Miami at Denver: Dolphins from -1.5 to -3.5 at Denver
Two primetime games feature top teams and playoff contenders. Sunday night in Las Vegas, the Raiders (6-3) host the Chiefs (8-1) and Kansas City enters off its bye week looking for redemption for their only loss of the season to the Raiders, 40-32 in Week 5.
The Monday Night Football marquee match-up is the Rams (6-3) and Buccaneers (7-3) at Tampa Bay. Two elite defenses with the Rams allowing 296 yards per game and league-low 4.8 yards per play including just 252 yards per game over their last three contests. The Bucs defense is No. 2 in the league in sacks and allows 300 yards per game at 4.9 yards per play.
The most popular teams and spread bets at DraftKings Sportsbook in Week 11 includes: (As of Friday, subject to change)
- Bengals 73% of bets and 79% of money (handle) over Washington
- Patriots 79% of bets and 89% of money over Texans
- Titans 74% of bets and 79% of money over Ravens
- Dolphins 94% of bets and 97% of money over Broncos
- Packers 81% of bets and 83% of money over Colts
- Chiefs 70% of bets and 84% of money over Raiders
NFL WEEK 12 LOOKAHEAD LINES AND MARKET MOVEMENT
NFL Week 12 lookahead lines from FanDuel Sportsbook.
| Matchup | Lookahead line | Current spread | Moneyline |
|---|
| Houston at Detroit | Lions -1.5 | Lions -1.5 | Lions -132, Texans +112 |
| Washington at Dallas | Cowboys -1.5 | Cowboys -1.5 | Cowboys -124, Washington +106 |
| Baltimore at Pittsburgh | Steelers -2.5 | Steelers -2.5 | Steelers -126, Ravens +108 |
| Arizona at New England | Cardinals -2.5 | Cardinals -2.5 | Cardinals -134, Patriots +114 |
| Carolina at Minnesota | Vikings -3.5 | Vikings -3.5 | Vikings -184, Panthers +154 |
| Cleveland at Jacksonville | Browns -6 | Browns -6 | Browns -250, Jaguars +205 |
| LA Chargers at Buffalo | Bills -5 | Bills -5 | Bills -220, Chargers +184 |
| Miami at New York Jets | Dolphins -7 | Dolphins -7 | Dolphins -270, Jets +220 |
| New York Giants at Cincinnati | Bengals -2.5 | Bengals -2.5 | Bengals -118, Giants +100 |
| Tennessee at Indianapolis | Colts -3.5 | Colts -3.5 | Colts -186, Titans +156 |
| New Orleans at Denver | Saints -6.5 | Saints -6.5 | Saints -290, Broncos +235 |
| San Francisco at LA Rams | Rams -7 | Rams -7 | Rams -295, 49ers +240 |
| Kansas City at Tampa Bay | Chiefs -2.5 | Chiefs -2.5 | Chiefs -134, Buccaneers +114 |
| Chicago at Green Bay | Packers -7 | Packers -7 | Packers -300, Bears +245 |
| Seattle at Philadelphia | Seahawks -4.5 | Seahawks -4.5 | Seahawks -198, Eagles +166 |
WEEK 12 BETTING BREAKDOWN
Some key Week 12 games between top teams that should generate major betting action include:
Baltimore at Pittsburgh: A rematch of the Week 8 division duel which the Steelers won 28-24 as a 4-point underdog. But the Ravens were on the wrong end of a 4-1 turnover margin and Baltimore out-gained Pittsburgh 457 to 221.
Tennessee at Indianapolis: The Titans (6-3) and Colts (6-3) are tied for the AFC South lead heading into Week 11, so this will be a key first place showdown. The Colts buried the Titans 34-17 on Thursday night in Week 10 and outscored Tennessee 21-0 in the second half.
Kansas City at Tampa Bay: A potential Super Bowl preview? The AFC’s No. 1 offense against the NFC’s No. 2 defense in total yards. Both the Chiefs (8-1) and Buccaneers (7-3) will enter off key primetime games with the Bucs fresh off a Monday night contest at home. It’ll be six-time Super Bowl champion QB Tom Brady and his trio of top wide receivers against the defending Super Bowl champs in Kansas City and MVP quarterback Patrick Mahomes – with his arsenal of dangerous receivers and weapons. It will most certainly be one of the most watched and most wagered-on games of the season with in-play betting another popular option for bettors. .
Read more early analysis on those games and more information you can bet on in my reporting at TheLines.
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