College Football September 28 Bye Week Schedule
September Bye Weeks And College Football Situations You Can Bet On
I previously outlined the early September bye week schedule, along with the full September bye week schedule in my article at osga.com.
In college football, this can be a real benefit to the rested and prepared team, especially later in the season as teams deal with more fatigue, injuries and pressure to perform in a conference title run or bowl game bid.
Teams with a bye this week on Sept. 28, and opponents on deck the following week.
Top 25 teams Georgia (3), LSU (4) and Oregon (13) have a bye this week.
28-Sep | LSU | SEC | at Vanderbilt | Utah State | Did not play LY |
28-Sep | Georgia | SEC | Notre Dame | at Tennessee | Beat Tennessee 38-12 LY |
28-Sep | Missouri | SEC | South Carolina | Troy | Did not play LY |
28-Sep | Tennessee | SEC | at Florida | Georgia | Lost to #2 Georgia 38-12 LY |
28-Sep | Illinois | Big Ten | Nebraska | at Minnesota | Lost to MN 55-31 LY |
28-Sep | Louisville | ACC | at Florida State | Boston College | Lost to BC 38-20 LY |
28-Sep | Miami | ACC | Central Michigan | Virginia Tech | Beat VT 38-14 LY, 7-1 in ACC home openers |
28-Sep | Texas | Big 12 | Oklahoma State | at West Virginia | Lost to West Virginia 42-41 LY |
28-Sep | West Virginia | Big 12 | at Kansas | Texas | Beat #15 Texas 42-41 LY |
28-Sep | Colorado | Pac 12 | at Arizona State | Arizona | Lost to AZ 42-34 LY |
28-Sep | Oregon | Pac 12 | at Stanford | California | Beat Cal 42-24 LY |
28-Sep | Tulane | AAC | Houston | at Army | Did not play LY |
28-Sep | Tulsa | AAC | Wyoming | at SMU | Beat SMU 27-24 LY |
28-Sep | Boise State | MW | Air Force | at UNLV | Did not play LY |
28-Sep | San Diego State | MW | Utah State | at Colorado State | Did not play LY |
28-Sep | Florida International | Conf USA | at Lousiana Tech | Massachusetts | Beat UMASS 63-24 LY |
28-Sep | UTSA | Conf USA | at North Texas | at UTEP | Beat UTEP 30-21 LY |
28-Sep | Ohio | MAC | Louisiana | at Buffalo | Beat BUF 52-17 LY |
28-Sep | Kent State | MAC | Bowling Green | at Wisconsin | First meeting |
28-Sep | Bowling Green | MAC | at Kent State | at Notre Dame | Did not play last year |
28-Sep | Eastern Michigan | MAC | Central Conn State | at Central Michigan | Beat CMU 17-7 LY |
28-Sep | Ball State | MAC | at NC State | at Northern Illinois | Lost to NIU 24-16 LY |
28-Sep | Georgia State | Sun Belt | at Texas State | Arkansas State | Lost 51-35 to Ark State LY |
In addition, these teams in bold play on Saturday, Sept. 28 following a bye last week:
No. Illinois (+6) at Vanderbilt
UAB at Western Kentucky (+3)
UL Lafayette at Georgia Southern (+3.5)
MTSU (+24) at Iowa
UNLV (+9.5) at Wyoming
Cincinnati (-3.5) at Marshall
SMU at South Florida (+8)
Navy (+10.5) at Memphis – Thurs
Georgia Tech (+9.5) at Temple
Kansas State (+4.5) at Oklahoma State
Stanford at Oregon State (+4.5)
UCLA at Arizona (-7.5)
These games feature both teams playing off a bye
Minnesota (-1) at Purdue
Penn State (-6.5) at Maryland – Friday
Duke at Virginia Tech (-3) – Friday
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-27)
These coaches and teams are ones to watch, as the coaches ATS record off a regular season bye is noteworthy.
Justin Fuente, Virginia Tech (6-1 ATS) – VT off a bye vs Duke Sept 27
Matt Wells, Texas Tech (6-1 ATS) – TT off a bye at Oklahoma Sept 28
A little more on Matt Wells and his intensity taking over Texas Tech this year after success at Utah State.
Other bad situational spots include teams playing back-to-back road games against home teams off a bye. This is a positive and profitable profile for the rested and ready home team.
If you follow my weekly Top 25 report in Forbes, know that BetLabs reports that Ranked teams at home following a bye have covered the spread nearly 59% of the time since 2005 (sample size nearly 200 games).
Also, Top 25 teams that lost their previous game before the bye, have covered the spread nearly 66% of the time in their next game.
I’ve outlined the early Oct. 5 bye week teams below as you look ahead to October college football. Teams in bold are currently ranked in the AP Top 25.
SEC
Alabama, Texas A&M, Mississippi State, Arkansas, South Carolina, Kentucky
ACC
Clemson, Syracuse, Florida State, NC State, Wake Forest, Virginia
Big Ten
Indiana,
Pac 12
Utah, USC, Arizona, Washington
AAC
Houston
Mountain West
Wyoming, Hawaii, Nevada
Conference USA
Florida Atlantic, Charlotte, Southern Miss, North Texas, Louisiana Tech
MAC
Miami (OH), Akron
Sun Belt
Coastal Carolina, Louisiana, Texas State
Independent
BYU
Plenty of situations and profiles to consider as you evaluate these teams off a bye, and we’ll review more as the season moves along. But recognize scheduling situations and take note of teams off a bye, and those playing at home that may also have additional motivation that includes significant redemption (Arizona Sept. 28).
These are additional pieces to add to your handicapping arsenal, but know that you still must evaluate the match-ups, motivation, injuries, statistical profiles and betting lines. The linemaker makes adjustments to early season results, power ratings and to the bye week situation, and especially to rested and ready teams playing with redemption.