College Basketball Last Home Games With Betting Profiles And Picks

March tips off the final two weekends of the college basketball regular season and start of small  college conference tournaments (CCT’s). The opening weekend of March 2-3 is filled with more meaningful games and the biggest betting weekend of the regular season. I provide a preview of the key basketball games including Top 25 teams on March 2nd in my NCAA basketball coverage at Off Shore Gaming Association. Additional betting insight and picks for college basketball Last Home Games (LHG’s) is provided at OSGA with more smaller conference teams LHG’s. Then next week it’s more major conferences LHG’s and conference titles decided along with NCAA Tournament positioning ahead of our March Madness profiles and picks.

Key College Basketball Games

Odds and betting lines from DraftKings and leading online sportsbooks are subject to change

Sat., March 2

12 pm – No. 24 Florida at No. 18 South Carolina (-1.5), Total 145 – SC wins 82-76
12 pm – Villanova at Providence (-2.5), 133 – Villanova wins 71-60
1 pm – No. 7 Kansas at No. 15 Baylor (-6), 145 – Baylor wins 82-74
1 pm – No. 13 Illinois at No. 31 Wisconsin (-3), 154 – Illinois wins 91-83
1:30 pm – Arkansas at No. 16 Kentucky (-13.5), 166.5 – Kentucky wins 111-102
2 pm – Oregon at No. 6 Arizona (-13.5), 159 – Arizona wins 103-83
2:30 pm – No. 5 Marquette at No. 12 Creighton (-4.5), 155 – Creighton wins 89-75
4 pm – NC State at No. 9 North Carolina (-10.5), 153 – North Carolina wins 79-70
4 pm – Mississippi State at No. 11 Auburn (-9.5), 146 – Auburn wins 78-63
5:30 pm – Iowa at Northwestern (3.5), 152.5 – Iowa wins 87-80
6 pm – VCU at Richmond (-2), 133.5 – Richmond wins 79-76
6 pm – Virginia at No. 10 Duke (-9), 124 – Duke wins 73-48
7 pm – Cornell at Princeton – Princeton wins 69-67
7 pm – UCLA at No. 19 Washington State (-5), 127 – Washington State wins 77-65
8 pm – Michigan State at No. 2 Purdue (-10.5), 145 – Purdue wins 80-74
8 pm – No. 1 Houston (-6.5) at Oklahoma, 130 – Houston wins 87-85
8 pm – No. 4 Tennessee at No. 14 Alabama (-2.5), 170.5 – Tennessee wins 81-74
8 pm – No. 34 New Mexico at No. 40 Boise State (-3.5), 154.5 – Boise State wins 89-79
9 pm – No. 28 TCU at BYU (-65), 157.5 – BYU wins 87-75
10 pm – No. 23 Gonzaga at No. 17 St. Mary’s (-2.5), 141 – Gonzaga wins 70-57

I’ve been providing daily updates of key matchups, betting lines and results ahead of the college basketball Last Home Games.

College Basketball Last Home Games

Be sure to check out my Sat., March 2 college basketball Last Home Games update at OSGA with specific parameters and situations to use with proven handicapping tools for success that produce profit.

I’ll update more as the games are completed, and add more major conference teams Last Home Games next week.

Update: 

Play on any team that is .500 or better in their Last Home Game (LHG) that fit these parameters. The more situations (1-6) that meet the parameters and scenario’s, the stronger percentage play.

1. Home team is an underdog or up to a -2 point favorite
2. Home team is playing with same season revenge (lost to opponent)
3. Home team has won at least 75% of their games on home court
4. Home team is 8 games or better above .500 this season
5. Home team is off consecutive losses
6. Away team (opponent) is coming off a win last game

• 2 pm: Northeast – Merrimack (-3.5) at Sacred Heart (1,2,6) – Sacred Heart won 89-85
• 2 pm: Coastal (CAA) – Hofstra at Charleston (-5.5) – (3,4,6) – Charleston won 87-76
• 2 pm: Coastal (CAA) – Towson at UNC Wilmington (-3.5) – (2,3,4,5,6) – UNCW won 75-64
• 2:30 pm: Big East – Marquette at Creighton (-4.5) – (2,3,4,6) – Creighton won 89-75
• 4 pm: Southern – UNC Greensboro (-1.5) at East Tennessee State (1,2,6) – East Tennessee State won 66-65
• 4 pm: Coastal (CAA) – Delaware at Stony Brook (-1.5) – (1,2,3,6) – Stony Brook won 79-56
• 6 pm: Horizon – Green Bay at UW Milwaukee (-5.5) – (2,6) – UW Milwaukee won 90-69
• 8 pm: Summit – Denver at St. Thomas (-8.5) – (2,3) – St. Thomas won 83-58

The Sacred Heart Pioneers (15-15) lost to league-leader Merrimack 82-58 as a 5-point underdog on Jan. 6. The Merrimack Warriors have won 10-straight games starting on Jan. 21. Who the fk is going to want to bet on Sacred Heart (or this game!)? Did you know that in Northeast conference games, Sacred Heart leads the league in scoring at 75.6 points per game (5+ PPG more than Merrimack? I didn’t think so. Merrimack does have the NE conference No. 1 scoring defense (60.7) and No. 1 FG% defense (40.0), including stifling 28.4% from 3-point line. But Sacred Heart shoots a league-high 47.2% from the floor and league-best 39.0% from the 3-point arc. What gives? While I prefer defense, note too that Merrimack is dead last in the league in rebounding margin (-5.5), and Sacred Heart is No. 1 in blocked shots (5.0), No. 2 in Assist/Turnover ratio (Merrimack No. 6). Sacred Heart is still 11-4 at home and won’t get much betting support – although this game won’t get much action. Pointing out how we evaluate the situations and incorporate some stats.

The UNC Wilmington Seahawks (20-9) fit 5-of-6 parameters noted above, and also play with motivational redemption off back-to-back losses. The Towson Tigers (18-12) are tied with UNCW at 11-6 in Coastal Conference play, cut UNCW is No. 2 in league scoring at 76.5 PPG (8 PPG more than Towson). Sure the Tigers are allowing a league-low 62.6 PPG but No. 4 in FG% defense. Wilmington still has a better scoring margin at +6.6 per game and the Seahawks shoot the ball better (45.6) from the field than Towson (42.6%). Neither team shoots or defends the 3-point line too well, but if this game is mildly close, then note that UNCW leads the league in free throw shooting (78.0%) and Towson is dead last (67.3%). Towson does have a rebounding advantage, but UNCW has a league-best turnover margin (+2.53) while Towson is negative, and the Seahawks are No. 2 in Assist/TO ratio while Towson is No. 9. Wilmington also leads the Coastal in home attendance averaging 5,000 fans per game, and this is a very positive profile across the board in UNCW’s Last Home Game. Finally, these two teams are tied for 4th in the CAA, and the top-4 seeds in next week’s Coastal Conference Tournament get bye’s into the quarterfinals on March 10. So the winner will get a bye and the No. 3 or 4 seed, while the loser falls to No. 5 or 6 and plays an extra CCT game starting on Sat., March 9 at the Entertainment & Sports Arena – Washington, D.C.

You can bet on it.