College Basketball Handicapping – Late Season Situations To Support

Late Season Situations To Support And Consider In College Basketball

This is the time of the college basketball season when many of our long term positive profiles and strong situations develop. Second meets, qualified revenge situations, last home games and additional profiles and parameters produce profit year after year. Tonight and in the final two weeks of the regular season we have some situations in play that fit one of our proven profiles with additional subsets and parameters that guide us to our selections. When we combine some of these late season situations with positive statistical parameters in our match-up evaluation, we have a play worth full support.

As you look over a college card and dig deeper into the surrounding situations and match-up, here’s something to guide you for future winners. Keep in mind some of the information I discuss is proprietary, so I don’t give out all the details in regards to exact ATS results or perhaps a specific subset or situation in addition to our base premise and profile. After all, I do get paid for providing positive point spread prognosis and winning information, selections and analysis.

But here we go. At this time of the season, teams are playing second meets or opponents for the second time. Winning teams playing on their home court off back-to-back losses are often discussed by the media, handicappers and others as struggling a bit. Two or more consecutive losses and questions arise about the team and their current play, especially if they are a winning team and NCAA tournament worthy or on the bubble. Yet winning teams often respond in these situations with strong performance on their home court.

At this time of the season I go through the college card and look for winning teams playing at home. As I go through the entire card February 18 and this upcoming weekend, I see our situation and positive profile pop again. And this time it’s an even stronger situation as our winning home teams are playing with same season revenge.  So we have a winning team off back-to-back losses, playing at home, on a strong home court with single season revenge. A focused favorite at a short or mid-range and fair price is always worth consideration, and when you combine it with the motivational situation it becomes a play with a historical profile of positive results.  Know too that underdogs fit the profile also, and that’s such the case in a game February 18.  Clearly you must evaluate the injury situations for teams like Michigan or now Virginia and the suspensions surrounding Seton Hall, Washington and Louisville when you evaluate the match-ups, situations, stats and of course the adjusted betting line.

But I don’t argue with my late season situational profiles that have produced profit season after season. I research the information and situations, dig deeper into stats, match-ups, injuries and other situations that impact outcomes, analyze the betting line and adjustments and bet it and deliver it.   Not all of these situational plays make my card, and game selection management can be a struggle at times with so many games to analyze and consider. However having some proven, positive profiles and situations to evaluate this time of year allows us to produce more profit and winners; and that’s the name of the game.

We had another huge week of winners last week including 8-2 on our Top Plays Tuesday through Sunday.  For full disclosure, we suffered a tough Top Play loss on LSU ( +3 ) at Texas A&M Tuesday when the Tigers failed to make a basket in the final 5-minutes and couldn’t deliver us the win with the game tied and less than 2-minutes remaining.  That’s part of the process and disappointment of some game-ending situations, but we’ll continue to provide plenty of games and profit for those willing to follow along and earn while you learn.  If you don’t have the time, energy or ability to research stats, situations, scheduling or understand home/road dichotomy, the value of home court and the situational and motivational components in late season basketball, then join me as we fire for more victories and value and we’ll beat the bookmaker together.

@FairwayJay