College Basketball Handicapping – Late Season Situations

Handicapping Late Season Situations, Stats and Proven Profiles

This is the time of the college basketball season when many of our long term positive profiles and strong situations develop. Second meets, qualified revenge situations, last home games and additional profiles and parameters produce profit year after year. Tonight and in the closing weeks of the regular season and college conference tournaments we have some situations in play that fit our proven profiles with additional subsets and parameters that guide us to our selections. When we combine some of these late season situations with positive statistical parameters in our match-up evaluation, we have a play worth full support.

As you look over a college card and dig deeper into the surrounding situations and match-up, here’s something to guide you for future winners. Keep in mind some of the information I discuss is proprietary, so I don’t give out all the details in regards to exact ATS results or perhaps a specific subset or situation in addition to our base premise and profile.

At this time of the season, teams are playing second meets or opponents for the second time. Winning teams playing on their home court off back-to-back losses are often discussed by the media, handicappers and others as struggling a bit. Two or more consecutive losses and questions arise about the team and their current play, especially if they are a winning team and NCAA tournament worthy or on the bubble. Yet winning teams often respond in these situations with strong performance on their home court, and especially if they are a top defensive team. Texas A&M did just that February 16 with a 15-point home win over Ole Miss following four straight losses. The Aggies were 13-1 at home and still in the SEC title chase. They were focused and ready for a good effort and game. While this was the first meeting of the season, the Aggies did lose to the Rebels in last year’s lone match-up.

At this time of the season I go through the college card and look for winning teams playing at home. As I go through the entire card February 18 and this upcoming weekend, I see our base situation and positive profile pop again. And this time it’s an even stronger situation as our winning home teams are playing with same season revenge.  So we have a winning team off back-to-back losses, playing at home, on a strong home court with single season revenge. A subset may also apply when playing with last season redemption and/or conference tournament knockout. A focused favorite at a short or mid-range and fair price is always worth consideration, and when you combine it with the motivational situation it becomes a play with a historical profile of positive results. Know too that underdogs fit the profile also, and season sweep situations may apply. That’s such the case in a few games February 18.  Clearly you must evaluate the injury situations for teams, like North Dakota State now without their leading scorer with a knee injury, or Louisville and SMU, who are playing with no postseason possibility due to NCAA infractions.

But I don’t argue with my late season situational profiles that have produced profit season after season. I research the information and situations, dig deeper into stats, match-ups, injuries and other situations and scheduling that impact outcomes, analyze the betting line and adjustments and bet it and deliver it to members. Not all of these situational plays make my card, and game selection management can be a struggle at times with so many games to analyze and consider. However having some proven, positive profiles and situations to evaluate this time of year allows us to produce more profit and winners; and that’s the name of the game.

If you don’t have the time, energy or ability to research stats, situations and understand proven profiles used for profit, then join a proven pro as we shoot for more winners on the college court.

Best wishes in your pursuit of profit the rest of the season and throughout postseason play.