Keep in mind that over the last 17 years, there have been 10 horses win this race with Belmont Stakes odds of 6/1 or greater, and eight of the winners were double-digit odds at post time.
Belmont Stakes Day 2023 Betting Includes 9 Grades Stakes
The biggest day of racing at Belmont Park is Saturday, June 10 with nine graded stakes including six Grade I races headlined by the 155th running of the Belmont Stakes. I chip-in Belmont Stakes Day 2023 coverage from gate-to-wire in Forbes with added best bets including from horse racing colleagues on all 9 graded stakes.
I also chip in extensive Belmont Stakes coverage and horse analysis for the Belmont Stakes for FanDuel and its affiliates from The Duel Sports. My Catena Media coverage for the Belmont Stakes Day 2023 betting is posted on NJ.com. I add additional Belmont Stakes bets and strategy on Front Page Bets, Buffalo News and other affiliates.
There are six main contenders and all are legit win contenders.
- Forte (5/2)
- Tapit Trice (3/1)
- Angel of Empire (7/2)
- National Treasure (5/1)
- Arcangelo (8/1)
- Hit Show (10/1)
Last year’s Belmont Stakes winner was the third straight favorite to win as 2022 winner Mo Donegal followed 2021 winner Essential Quality and 2020 winner Tiz the Law. Two Triple Crown champions won the Belmont Stakes the past 10 years to make history with Justify (2018) and American Pharoah (2015).
2023 Belmont Stakes betting strategy
Handicapping and evaluating the horses for the 1 ½ mile “Test of the Champion” involves more factors including pedigree. FanDuel Racing adds some key pointers when making your Belmont Stakes picks.
- Don’t look exclusively at the speed figures
The 3-year-olds are gaining strength, maturing and improving if healthy. We may not see a horse’s best race until later this year. But how they handle the 1 ½ mile marathon along with the surface at ‘Big Sandy’ and it’s big sweeping turns makes for more evaluation than just speed figures.
- Get a visual clue
Expert handicappers evaluate more video replays, training patterns and information while determining how a horse runs and not just the finishing position, distance or track.
- Stamina and class counts
The Kentucky Derby is often the best gauge when evaluating horses for the Belmont Stakes. The local prep Peter Pan Stakes is next with some later developing horses that missed or didn’t qualify for the Kentucky Derby as one’s to watch and not just dismiss. If they have quality breeding and class, it’s proven to matter more based on some of the longshot winners over the past 17-20 years.
- Look for and identify value
Don’t go chasing longshots with bigger odds without reason. Understand and evaluate the risk/reward on contenders and potential longshots.
As you dig deeper into past performance and anticipate improvement from horses, you’ll learn to “buy low and sell high” on more runners and identify value while including those runners in other bets like exotics for a bigger payoff.
In the end, remember it’s a horse race with often unexplained results. Betting on horses and the races is a risk with more entertainment value than profit potential for a vast majority of fans and bettors.
Post race update: Top pick Arcangelo wins at 8/1 odds and returns $17.80 on a $2 Win bet and $7.20 and $4.90 to Place and Show. Exacta with Forte returns $68 and Tapit Trice finishes 3rd by a nose and the $1 Trifecta pays $133.
Comments from Fairway Followers and others who sent messages.
“I followed your picks, and your numbers for the horses, the picks won!! Thank you, great picks!
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