1245 Results for author: FairwayJay
College Football Pac-12 Plays Part of Saturday Doubleheader
The parity of the Pac-12 will cost the conference a shot at the college football playoff unless Washington (6-0) can run the table. They have a shot following their bye this week with key games at home and a season finale at state-rival Washington State.
We’ll analyze the Washing State Cougars game as they try to bury the Bruins on Saturday, Oct. 15. UCLA visits Pullman to try and slow the Puma’s and the Bruins defense will ...
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NFL Week 5 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats
Week 5 started with an ugly prime time game last Thursday when the Cardinals beat the 49ers in San Francisco 33-21. I highlighted this game in a prime time preview, noting the Cardinals would out-rush the 49ers and a big game was likely for RB David Johnson. Arizona did rush for 172 yards, but their offense was still mostly inefficient with 288 yards and 4.4 yards per play. But the 49ers were an embarrassment on national TV, totaling just 286 yards ...
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NFL Week 4 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats
Week 4 was pretty even across the betting board, as favorites went 8-7 SU and 8-7 ATS. The sports books got hurt in the prime time games, as Thursday, Sunday and Monday night favorites all rolled to easy wins (Bengals, Steelers and Vikings). Home underdogs had their first losing week of the season going 2-3 SU/ATS, and home ‘Dogs are not 13-6-1 ATS this season.
Close Calls and Point Spread Plays of the Week
I had a very good week betting ...
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NFL Week 3 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats
Week 3 was another winner for the underdogs players and sports books, as 'Dogs went 10-6 ATS. In fact, favorites won the game straight up in just 8 of the 16 games. Home underdogs were strong again going 4-1 ATS, and for the season, home 'Dogs are 11-3-1 ATS.
Close Calls and Point Spread Plays of the Week
Some close calls with line moves impacted betting results, and I had a top play and bet on the Jaguars and won taking 2.5 and also buying it ...
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Evaluating Early Season Line Moves and Adjustments and Applying a Contrary Approach
Every week the college football handicapper looks at the card and makes adjustments to power ratings and opinions on teams. As we dig through the stats, box scores, misleading info and results along with injury information, we anticipate and adjust to the games ahead. Coaching, schemes and scheduling are factored into the upcoming match-ups and the situations of momentum or letdown are factored in.
With ...
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NFL Week 2 Handicapping and Analyzing Stats
Week 2 saw more underdogs deliver, with home 'Dogs taking the biggest bites. The Vikings and Rams won outright as home 'Dogs while the Browns lost but covered, making it a 3-0 ATS week for home underdogs. Home underdogs are now 7-2-1 ATS this season. For calculations, I rated the Texans as a slight favorite as they were favored until early game day before the Chiefs took the money with Kansas City closing a 1-point road favorite.
Like week 1, ...
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10-0 Week 2 was a historic week in NFL Handicapping for @
FairwayJay
Week 2 of the NFL season invariably brings back great memories, as I’m reminded by clients and ‘Fairway Followers’ about my good fortune in week 2 of the 2009 season. At that time I was a regular guest on a weekly radio show in Las Vegas providing insight and analysis, and heard nationwide on SiriusXM Radio and 50 top Arbitron markets for NFL handicapping and betting discussion.
That particular week, I ...
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Handicapping and Analyzing Stats – NFL Inside the Numbers Week 1
Throughout the NFL season, I go inside the numbers and review weekly box scores, stats, game recaps and more after watching many of the NFL games. For over a decade, I have kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers, statistical guidelines and situations to better assist me in sports investing and providing point spread winners. Week 2 provides great opportunities as often ...
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