Analysis of Winning Wagers and Outright Underdog Winners
Saturday College Football Underdog Winners and Parlays for Profit
September 16 was another good one for FairwayJay, as he nailed 3 more college football barking ‘Dogs that won outright. All of them were at least a 6-point underdog. In addition, a colleague sent over his 3-team money line parlay ticket that turned $25 into $716. We received six other emails 
thanking FairwayJay for his forecasts and winners, and it’s always a compliment and rewarding to receive feedback that the work and results are providing others profit.
“Fairway, I hit a 3 team money-line parlay and straight parlay. Decided to skip the double-digit underdog, but nailed the other three, awesome! Here’s my internet ticket. Thanks for posting!”
“Thank you for the winners FairwayJay. I bet all of them the last two weeks and crushed it.”
“Are you kidding me? 3 outright winners, and I wish I would have tied them all up! I bet all four, and had Purdue early parlayed to San Diego State late. Congratulations, Fairway Jay!”
“Fairway, just a great job in college football the opening month. I’ve been with you for the past four seasons, and win or lose, I like your approach, process and insight into the games. Keep up the great work and thanks again!”
Here is the recap of the three outright underdog winners with analysis that FairwayJay posts initially at Off Shore Gaming Association (osga.com). The parlay winning ticket was bet Saturday morning after the lines had dropped along with money line. The difference getting the posted money-lines would have been an additional $56 to $770, but a small difference and at least some followers made the money line and parlay bets and profited from the experience even more than straight/flat betting.
It’s difficult to hit this many outright underdog winners at these prices, but FairwayJay has sure striped it down the Fairway and hit the Green in September.
111 Kentucky (+6.5/7) at South Carolina – Wildcats Money Line +215
155 Purdue (+7/7.5) at Missouri – Boilermakers Money Line +230
210 San Diego State (+9.5) vs Stanford – Aztecs Money Line +280
Kentucky at South Carolina. SEC opener for Kentucky, and both teams enter 2-0. The ‘Cocks have hardly been game while getting out-gained by both their opponents including 504-246 in their opening game phony win at NC State. Last week lowly Missouri outgained them but SC won again, and the Gamecocks have been better on special teams with 2 KO return TD’s while also taking advantage of turnovers. In 
the process, South Carolina has significantly out-performed the linesmaker’s expectations. Many have given the ‘Cocks a rise in their power ratings, but this is still an impotent offense that will try to rise up in their home opener. Kentucky has not performed too well in their opening two games while going 0-2 ATS, but they didn’t want to show their hand in victory last week yet still rushed and passed for more than 200 yards each in a balanced attack. That’s good enough for us, as is the hidden and strong special team’s advantage for Kentucky. We don’t anticipate the SC offense to put up too many points against the more experienced Wildcats that have 17 starters back from last year. Kentucky won last year’s meeting for their 3rd straight over South Carolina, and this line would have been closer to 3 if played opening week. Kentucky knows they can beat this team, and we’ll take the value and count on the ‘Cats to fight and claw their way to their first money-making victory with a solid shot to win outright.
Purdue at Missouri – Here is an upwardly mobile Purdue team that finally got rid of a crappy coach, and the Boilers have quickly bought into new coach Brohm’s beliefs. Purdue is 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS after battling tough against Louisville in their neutral field opener and them impressively dispatching Ohio, one of the MAC’s top teams 44-21 with a very strong, balanced offensive attack. We’ll ride the momentum of the Boilermakers improved offense against a bottom-tier SEC team that had turnover troubles in last week’s loss to South Carolina. Missouri head coach Odom fired his defensive coordinator following that defeat, only adding more troubling signs and potential chemistry issues early in the season.
Stanford at San Diego State – Another outright ‘Dog we supported last week in victory but not on these pages was San Diego State, who went on the road and beat Arizona State 30-20 with 279 rushing yards at 6.5 yards per pop. Now the Aztecs take aim at home against a stronger Pac-12 entrant Stanford, who got buried at the point of attack last week. In what could be a defensive duel, we like the points and defensive guru Rocky Long. We don’t like Stanford coming off a beating by USC in which the Trojans both rushed and passed for over 300 yards in a 42-24 crushing of the Cardinal. Many probably like a Stanford bounce back, but San Diego State fits a very strong ATS situation as undefeated home ‘Dog off a SU/ATS win. Combined with Stanford’s loss and poor point-of-attack showing last week against Pac-12 power USC, we back the big home ‘Dog with some bite.
