AFC East Dolphins And Patriots 2024 NFL Schedules, Odds And Betting Preview

Previews and betting tips for the 2024 NFL season – AFC East Bills and Jets

The 2024 NFL season kicks off with a Thursday/Friday doubleheader starting Sept. 5 with the full Week 1 Sunday schedule Sept. 8. The two-time defending Super Bowl champions Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 46.5) host the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday, Sept. 5 in an AFC playoff rematch with those two teams the AFC favorites to reach Super Bowl LIX on Feb. 9, 2025 in New Orleans. The AFC East Dolphins and Jets have gone in opposite directions the past two seasons, and the 2024-25 preview includes schedule, odds, player props and information you can bet on.

The season preview for the AFC East Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots includes schedules, weekly odds, futures odds and player props with information you can bet on.

NFL Week 1 Matchups And Odds – My update in Forbes

As training camp and NFLX continues and football and fantasy fans get the juices flowing ahead of the 2024 NFL season, sports bettors are pouring through the teams schedules, rosters, stats, odds, futures and props and making bets at leading online sportsbooks. That includes on AFC teams and NFC teams with AFC East Dolphins and Patriots.

AFC East – Bills and Jets
AFC West – Chiefs and Chargers
AFC West – Raiders and Broncos
AFC North – Ravens and Bengals 
AFC North – Browns and Steelers
AFC South – Texans and Jaguars
AFC South – Titans and Colts

Football odds from top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting.

Miami Dolphins

Season Win Total: (9.5 Over -140)
Division Odds: +190 / AFC Odds: +1150 / Super Bowl Odds: +2156
Record Last 2 Years: 11-6, 9-8
Head Coach: Mike McDaniel (3rd year)

Dolphins Schedule, Odds and Props

Division games

Week 2 Buffalo Bills (MIA -1 / 51 ) Thurs
Week 5 at New England Patriots (MIA -4.5 / 45 )
Week 9 at Buffalo Bills (MIA +3 / 51 )
Week 12 New England Patriots (MIA -7.5 / 45)
Week 14 NY Jets (MIA -2 / 47.5 )
Week 18 at NY Jets (MIA +3 / 45)

Other Key Games
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars (MIA -3.5 / 49)
Week 7 at Indianapolis (MIA -1 / 49)
Week 10 at LA Rams (MIA +1 / 47.5) MNF
Week 11 Las Vegas Raiders (MIA -6.5 / 47 )
Week 13 at Green Bay (MIA +3 / 43.5) Thurs
Week 15 at Houston Texans (MIA +2.5 / 49.5  )
Week 16 San Francisco 49ers (MIA +1 / 49  )
Week 17 at Cleveland Browns (MIA +2 / 44.5) SNF

Bye: Week 6

Home: Buffalo, New England, NY Jets, Arizona, Jacksonville, San Francisco, Tennessee, Las Vegas
Away: Buffalo, New England, NY Jets, Houston, Indianapolis, LA Rams, Seattle, Cleveland, Green Bay

Key Player Props (BetOnline)

QB Tua Tagovaila – O/U 4,050.5 Passing Yards / 25.5 Pass TD’s / 12.5 INT
RB Raheem Mostert – O/U 700.5 Rushing Yards / 7.5 Rushing TD’s
RB De’Von Achane – O/U 775.5 Rushing Yards / 7 Rushing TD’s
WR Tyreek Hill – O/U 1,375.5 Rec Yards / 105.5 Receptions / 9.5 Rec TD’s
WR Jaylen Waddle – O/U 1,005 Rec Yards / 79.5 Receptions / 5 Rec TD’s

Stats and Notes (check back ahead of season for more betting notes). Handicapping and research includes sources and stats from beat writers, team sites and press notes, bettors and newsletters or betting guides like VSiN, Sharp Football, Playbook, CleveAnalytics, ESPN Stats & Info and more including FairwayJay’s proprietary data base and stats.

The Dolphins are a legit AFC East contender this season, but looked the part early last year too starting 5-1. Miami averaged a league-high 37.1 points and 499 yards per game after the season’s first six games which included the 70-20 blowout of the Broncos gaining 726 yards. But Miami closed the season 2-4 while averaging 339 yards per game, and the Dolphins went just 1-6 SU/ATS against the seven playoff teams they faced, while being outscored 96-42 in the second half of those games. Miami did have injury issues along the OL and lost their two top pass rushers and key CB and safety and then were very shorthanded in the playoff loss to the Chiefs. The Dolphins have 114 sacks over the last 3 years – tops in the NFL. The Dolphins will face 10 teams that finished over .500 in 2023. Nine of those are projected to do the same this year. The Dolphins skill position players at WR and RB along with the defensive secondary rank among the best in the league, and the Dolphins will continue to run a high-rate of pre-snap motion. But the offensive line and defensive front seven are in the lower quartile of the league and need to improve to make the playoffs again and get their first playoff win in 24 years. Up to seven new defensive starters and a new defensive coordinator from the Ravens (Anthony Weaver) is something to watch early season with higher-scoring games more likely but also some of the highest posted totals ahead of the season. Quarterback Tua can pile up big numbers again if he and the OL stays healthy and delivers quick, timely passes like last year that led to 69% completions, 29 TD passes and league-high 4,624 passing yards.

Betting: The Dolphins open the season at home in Week 1 against in-state Jacksonville with a high game total of 49 points. The MIA-JAC games have gone Under the total in 8 of the last 9 meetings. Miami is on a 7-0 ATS run vs. New England (Week 5, 12). The Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 MIA-BUF matchups at Buffalo.

FairwayJay has been a top of the leaderboard point spread prognosticator with 57% ATS success posting his NFL underdog picks weekly the past 7 years. That includes an unmatched 70% season in 2021 going 28-12 ATS. His previous NFL handicapping, strategics and sports betting success included 8 straight winning NFL seasons (57.3% ATS) starting in 2003 while independently documented and a professional handicapper including 52-28 ATS (65%) bursting onto the national scene his rookie year (feature Las Vegas Sun). FairwayJay provided weekly insight on a most popular daily sports betting and handicapping radio show heard in Las Vegas and nationwide on SiriusXM radio.

FairwayJay’s NFL handicapping contest success includes back-t0-back 60% seasons and top 6% finishes in the Westgate SuperContest.

New England Patriots

Season Win Total: 4.5 (Over -175) – Bet Under
Division Odds: +2366 / AFC Odds: +13500 / Super Bowl Odds: +25064
Record Last 2 Years: 4-13, 8-9
Head Coach: Jarod Mayo (1st year)

Patriots Schedule, Odds and Props

Division games

Week 3 at NY Jets (NE +7.5 / 42) Thurs
Week 5 Miami Dolphins (NE +4.5 / 45)
Week 8 NY Jets  (NE +4.5 / 41.5)
Week 12 at Miami Dolphins (NE +7.5 /45)
Week 16 at Buffalo Bills (NE +8.5 / 44.5)
Week 18 Buffalo Bills (NE +3.5 / 44.5)

Other Key Games
Week 1 at Cincinnati Bengals (NE +9 / 43)
Week 4 at San Francisco 49ers (NE +11.5 / 45)
Week 6 Houston Texans (NE +4.5 / 44) MNF
Week 7 at Jacksonville Jaguars (NE +6.5 / 42.5)
Week 17 LA Chargers (NE +2.5 / 41.5)

Bye: Week 14

Home: Buffalo, Miami, NY Jets, Houston, Indianapolis, LA Rams, Seattle, LA Chargers
Away: Buffalo, Miami, NY Jets, Arizona, Jacksonville, San Francisco, Tennessee, Cincinnati, Chicago

Key Player Props (regular season at BetOnline)

RB Rhomondre Stevenson – O/U 800.5 Rushing Yards / 4.5 Rush TD’s / 40.5 Receptions
LB Matthew Judon – O/U 10.5 Sacks

Stats and Notes – A new era in Foxborough begins with Bill Belichick no longer head coach of New England. Expect lots of losing with HC Jarod Mayo and 17 new coaches on his staff. The Patriots defense kept the team competitive last season, despite by the adjusted games lost metric being the most injured team in the NFL on defense and the third most injured team on offense. The Patriots face one of the most difficult schedules in 2024 and the toughest opening six games including a brutal opening stretch of three road games in their first four contests at Cincinnati, New York Jets and San Francisco with the Jets and 49ers games likely to close with lower game totals. Home games vs. the Dolphins and Texans followed by a game in London vs. Jacksonville and no bye returning home to play the Jets. The Patriots could be winless into November unless they can steal a home win against Seattle in Week 2. Brissett won’t be the only temporary bridge at quarterback playing behind a mess along the offensive line and limited WR talent with last year’s offense No. 32 in the league in points per drive, 3-and-out rate, turnover EPA and worst-rate to reach the red zone. I anticipate head coach Mayo potentially a one-and-done coach and only extreme patience by owner Robert Kraft keeps the former Patriots player as head coach beyond 2026.

Betting: The Patriots are expected to be underdogs in all 17 games this season. The Patriots Week 3 road game against the Jets is a Thursday night contest. Rookie head coaches on Thursday Night Football for the first time in the first half of the season are just 5-18 ATS since 2000. The Patriots are just 1-10 ATS as an underdog of 3 points or less since 2021. Last year, a staggering 42% of NFL regular season games of the season (114 of 273) were decided by 6-points or fewer, the most since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002. The Patriots were involved in NFL-high 11 of those contests. The Patriots are just 2-9-1 ATS when traveling to Miami (Week 12). By then, the Patriots may have turned to rookie 1st round QB Drake Maye under new offensive coordinator Alex Van Pelt. But 31-year-old Jacoby Brissett will start the season at quarterback for his fifth team and second stint for New England after former first round pick QB Mac Jones was dealt to Jacksonville. What a mess for coach Mayo, and a slow start as expected for the Patriots will only inflate the betting lines with those home games vs. the Dolphins, Jets and Texans all rising above 4.5 points. Not sure even I will be able to stomach taking the big home ‘Dog Patriots with our proven, winning NFL underdog picks that went 11-1 ATS with 9 outright winners in December 2023.

You can bet on it.

AFC East Dolphins and Patriots originally posted at OSGA on Aug. 6.