Valero Texas Open 2026 Golf Odds, Preview, Picks And Props

The first major of the year at The Masters is just one week away, but some top PGA Tour pros are tuning up for the first major of the year by playing in this week’s Valero Texas Open 2026 event. A total of 13 of the top 40 players in the Official World Golf Rankings will tee it up at the Greg Norman-designed Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio starting April 2. The golf tournament also runs alongside the NCAA Tournament Final Four starting Saturday, April 4 in Indianpolis.

TPC San Antonio – Oaks Course

• 7,438 yards
• Par 72

A strong tee-to-green game sets players up for success at the TPC San Antonio Oaks Course, and oak trees heavily-line the fairway’s. But it’s the irons that are most vital, expecially mid-to-long irons from 150-200 yards. The last three winners of the Valero Texas Open ranked 2nd, 1st and 1st in strokes gained Approach – Brian Harman (-9), Akshay Bhatia (-20) and Corey Conners (-15) with the latter two also ranking 1st in Greens in Regulation. Jordan Spieth ranked 4th in Approach when the Dallas native and Univ. of Texas golfer won the event in 2021. Each of the other top 3 finishers the last three years have also ranked among the leadersin Approach and GIR, including Maverick McNealy and Denny McCarthy.  Harman’s win last year with a single-digit under par score had windier conditions, and wind will play a factor again this year in the forecast, along with a greater than 60% chance of rain Saturday.

Valero Texas Open winners the last 10 years have gained 45.8% of their strokes gained total with approach shots.

The PGA Tour average for winners in that same time span is 35.4%.

— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) March 31, 2026

A look at my preview of the 2025 Valero Texas Open showed Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood as favorites, and those two top the odds board again this year.

Odds to Win 2026 Valero Texas Open

Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from Westgage SuperBook in Las Vegas and other leading online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live/in-game betting. Odds adjust during and following rounds.

• +1400: Ludvig Aberg
• +1600: Tommy Fleetwood, Jordan Spieth, Russell Henley
• +1800: Robert MacIntyre
• +2000: Si Woo Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, Sepp Straka
• +2500: Maverick McNealy
• +3000: Rickie Fowler, Michael Thorbjornsen, Keith Mitchell, Alex Noren
• +3500: Johnny Keefer, Ryo Hisatsune
• +4000: Denny McCarthy
• +4500: J.J. Spaun
• +5000: S. Yellamaraju, T. Olesen, Rico Hoey
• +6000: Nick Taylor, Marco Penge, Tony Finau
• +6500: Brian Harman, Will Zalatoris, Alex Smalley, Jordan Smith, C. Benzuidenhout
• +7000: J.T. Poston, Max McGreevy, Mac Meissner
• +8000: Davis Thompson, Austin Smotherman, Andrew Novak, , Stephan Jaeger
• +8000: Matt Wallace, William Mouw, AD De Chassart
• +9000: Matt McCarty, Tom Kim, Chris Kirk, Eric Cole

72-Hole Winning Score: Over/Under 272.5 (Par 72)

Valero Texas Open 2026 Golf Picks

Fairway’s Favorites: Fleetwood, Spieth, Straka, McNealy
Fairway’s Longshots: Mitchell, Keefer, McCarthy, Meissner

Tournament Match-ups: (Pass)

Late start this week with some personal commitments, so no tournament matchups or first round picks. I’ll review more and consider posting alternate round matchups into the weekend.

Tournament matchup posted this year are 11-3 following The Players Championship winner, and includes a 4-0 sweep at the Cognizant Classic on our biggest card of the season.

Next week it’s The Masters, where Rory McIlroy won his first green jacket last year in a playoff over Justin Rose. I’m working on more Masters player profiles, like I provided last year in Forbes and other outlets.

Golf Betting Notes and History from FairwayJay

My golf coverage and research includes use and references from sites at Data Golf along with Fantasy National, and others. I gain added information from handicappers, analysts, colleagues and media members while researching course stats and previews with previous weekly coverage in my PGA tournament updates in Forbes. That includes top golf insider Justin Ray Golf, who contributes to PGA Tour (dot com) and The Athletic with insightful stats. The site GolfStats has also has player performance charts and a player competitor tool plus added stats and previews.

I’ve added my own player profiles pieces for select majors and events including 2025 Masters, 2025 Players Championship and trends. You can review those alogn with others from 2024 in Forbes for The Player Championship and Masters top 9 and top 18 golfers plus 12 top golfers at the Open Championship at Royal Troon.