NFL Week 9 Lookahead Lines And 2024 Market Moves
Some adjustments from the Week 8 lookahead lines to this week’s NFL Week 9 lookahead lines, odds and matchups includes the Lions (-11) move up vs. the Titans, the Texans (-5) move down vs. Colts, and the line flipping from Buccaneers favored to Falcons (-2.5) now favored on the road with Tampa Bay’s mounting injuries including to both WR’s Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. The line has also flipped from the Commanders favored to Bears (-2.5) favored on the road at Washington with Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels (ribs) likely missing this week’s game. The other notable line moves includes the Broncos (-10) up from -4.5 on the loakeahd line, Chargers -6 to -7.5 vs. the Saints, 49ers -6.5 to -4 vs. Cowboys and MNF Steelers from -4 to -6.5 vs. the New York Giants.
Referencing weekly NFL lookahead lines can help you in identifying potential value in the betting market while not overreacting to recent results or any NFL teams good or bad performance in a particular week. That is fairly common in the betting marketplace, as many bettors often fall victim to ‘recency bias’, and recall and react to what they saw most recently.
Our NFL Week 1 underdog picks produced a 3-0 Sunday sweep to kickoff the 2024 season with winners on the Jacksonville Jaguars, Indianapolis Colts and Dallas Cowboys outright. A 4-1-1 Week 2 followed and then 2-1 in Week 3 and 1-0 in Week 4 to run our NFL Underdog Picks to 10-3 ATS heading into Week 5. But we sh*t the bed going 0-3 in Week 5 and Week 6 and are now 11-10 ATS on weekly NFL underdog picks after going 1-1 in Week 7 with a Monday Night Football outright winner on the Arizona Cardinals. Others who follow additional picks cashed in a best bet winner on MNF as well with Over the total in the Ravens 41-31 win over the Buccaneers.
NFL Week 6 was a blood bath for leading online sportsbooks and underdog bettors (13-1 SU, 11-2 ATS (or 10-2-1), and Week 7 was a slight winner for betting favorites (8-7 ATS) including AFC East leader Buffalo Bills in a 34-10 win over the Tennessee Titans (1-5), who are just slighly better than the Patriots, Panthers and Browns (1-6), who are all tied for the worst record in the NFL.
Sportsbooks Suffer Blood Bath in NFL Week 6 – Forbes
The previous NFL Week 5 saw favorites go 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS, so it’s been a tough run for underdog bettors and sportsbooks. Over the past 7+ seasons posting NFL Underdog Picks at OSGA and Vegas Sports Zone, we’ve hit nearly 57% ATS (201-154 ATS). That includes a record 70% season going 28-12 ATS in 2021.
Handicapping Success, Strategies and Sports Betting Stories – 8 straight winning NFL seasons
Follow the weekly NFL Lookahead Lines posted by select sportsbooks like the SuperBook in Las Vegas or FanDuel and DraftKings.
Top Las Vegas Sportsbooks and Videos – Forbes.
After reviewing the current week’s odds, games and my NFL content and underdog picks, monitor the market moves each week and advance NFL Week 9 lookahead lines and compare as the actual week’s betting lines as provided by the leading online sportsbooks following each week’s games. For example, in Fairways Football Forecast Week 2 underdog picks, I mentioned you could and should bet the Vikings +3.5 on the lookahead line at home against the Houston Texans. It even hit +4 at the SuperBook. The Vikings went off as a +2.5 underdog and won outright as one of our Week 2 underdog picks.
The favorites continue to get bet and Week 9 features three double-digit favorites and there had been just two DD favorites the entire season heading into Week 9.
Looking at all the injuries and impact on betting each week will assist you, or perhaps confuse you as well. Three first time quarterback starters this season were in action in Week 6, and now with Jayden Daniels injury, and Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell’s injury which caused him to miss last week, we see more adjustments and changes in betting lines.
NFL Week 9 Lookahead Lines 2024
Week 9 look ahead lines includes 5 division games including the key Lions-Packers NFC North first place showdow. The NFC North has been the best division this season with all four teams sporting winning records following last week’s thrilling 31-29 win by the Lions (5-1) over the Vikings (5-1). The Packers (5-2) and Bears (4-2) are in the division race and playoff picture approaching the halfway point of the regular season.
NFL matchups and odds from top Las Vegas sportsbooks include SuperBook Las Vegas with favorites (-) listed and game total. Odds are subject to change, including on prop bets and live betting.
- Houston at New York Jets (-1.5, 42.5 (Thurs)
- New England at Tennessee (-3.5), 38.5
- Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5) at Cleveland, 39.5
- New Orleans (-4.5) at Carolina, 46
- Miami at Buffalo (-5.5), 48
- Dallas at Atlanta (-2.5), 48.5
- Denver at Baltimore (-10), 43.5
- Las Vegas at Cincinnati (-9.5), 45
- Washington (-3) at New York Giants, 44
- Chicago (-1.5) at Arizona, 46
- Los Angeles Rams at Seattle (-3), 48.5
- Detroit at Green Bay (pk), 50.5
- Jacksonville at Philadelphia (-6.5), 47.5
- Indianapolis at Minnesota (-6.5), 46.5 SNF
- Tampa Bay at Kansas City (-10), 44 MNF
The bye weeks started in Week 5. And for Week 9 the 49ers from the NFC and Steelers from the AFC have a bye.
How to use Lookahead Lines
NFL advance Lookahead Lines allow you a sneak peak at the projected lines for the following week’s games. This advance information from top online sportsbooks provides lessons in understanding lines and projections before the current week’s games are played.
The tendencies for many bettors is to over-react to previous weeks’ scores and results. The lookahead lines provide a sense of stability from the linemaker, who is unbiased in setting the lines in advance without the information from the current week’s contests.
Bettors can also gain an edge or find value in the lines once the current week’s lines are released. They do this based on not only a potential over-reaction to the recent week’s results, but by using information they have on teams including power rankings. Making adjustments is part of the process, along with formulating an opinion on certain teams. This can be based on personnel, injuries, situations and stats that come to light as the season progresses.
As you become more astue in your evaluations, betting and handicapping, you’ll be able to use your skills to project and time the market better and make more +EV bets ahead of market moves.
As you evaluate, watch, wager and live bet on the Week 1 games, be sure you review boxscores, impactful injuries, misleading stats and meaningful data from each week’s results. From there you can see where the bookmaker posts the following week’s lines on Sunday and Monday, and compare them to the lookehead lines and market moves during the week.
In the weeks ahead, we’ll compare the lookahead lines to current lines following each week’s results. We’ll shoot to chip-in added insight on key injuries, stats and situatinos that impact the market moves, and shoot for more green and profit on our NFL underdog picks.
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