NFL Picks Week 7 Odds And 2024 Underdog Winners

Fairways Football Forecast and NFL Underdog Picks are 10-9 ATS in 2024 and nearly 57% ATS last 7+ years

Fairway’s Football Forecast NFL Picks Week 7 includes NFL Underdog Picks with selections initially posted at Off Shore Gaming Association. After another bad week for our underdog picks with favorites dominating (13-1 SU and 11-2 ATS or 10-2-1). A historic week including home underdogs going 0-9 SU/ATS. Unreal. That included the NY Jets blowing it for us on Monday Night Football but managing player prop winners is minor consolation. Didn’t like much on card for ‘Dogs last week, and similar this week.

Read more of my NFL Week 7 coverage in Forbes with featured games Lions-Vikings and Chiefs-49ers., and both the Vikings and Chiefs coming off a bye week with rest advanage. The Vikings and Chiefs are both 5-0 and the only undefeated teams in the NFL, and both are underdogs this week.

San Francisco (-1) was our early ‘Dog pick, and we periodically use a home favorite priced less than 2-points who is priced like a ‘Dog factoring home field.

Fairways Football Forecast started the 2024 NFL season with four straight winning weeks until our ‘Dogs sh*t the bed in Week 5 and Week 6 going 0-3. The Raiders are stinking up their own stadium as well, and not push it this week with some of our stats and rushing numbers not lining up on more ‘Dogs.

 

WEEK 7 IS HERE!

Here’s the current @WestgateVegas SuperContest Card. Submit your picks by 11:59 pm this Saturday (10/19). Mobile Picks must be in by 9 pm Saturday (10/19) pic.twitter.com/3OCgHZP643

— SuperBook Nevada (@SuperBookNV) October 16, 2024

 

NFL Week 7 Odds

The contest card at the SuperBook in Las Vegas provides midweek odds, and the betting lines and totals are subject to change.

I’m not in the big NFL contests this year at SuperBook or Circa Sports, which I featured in Forbes. But I’ve had top-5% finishes in the big NFL contests in seasons past.

NFL Week 6 injury reports 

Now in my 8th year posting NFL underdog picks at OSGA and Vegas Sports Zone, our picks have hit at greater than 57% ATS (200-147) with 116 outright winners while also providing additional information you can bet on to assist you to learn as you earn.

Last season was a small winnning one that included a strong 11-1 ATS finish in December which was part of a 7-0 ATS result in Week 14 with seven outright winners. Recall Fairways Football Forecast had an unprecedented 70% season (28-12 ATS) in 2021 picking only NFL underdogs.

Fairway’s Forecast – NFL Week 7 Underdog Picks

See all the Week 7 underdog Opinions and Considerations at OSGA. I’ve been updating Friday and into game day with more injury review and commitments.

San Francisco (-1 to -1.5) vs. Kansas City – 49ers Moneyline -120
Arizona (+1.5) vs. LA Chargers – Cardinals Moneyline +100 MNF

Chiefs are off a bye week with a prep and rest advantage for this 2024 Super Bowl rematch. We’ve posted previously that we’ll use favorites less than 2 points a few times per year as interested, and that’s the case this week and adjust accordingly if line dips. We’re sending out now in event line moves to -2. Recall our Week 2 underdog picks (4-1-1 ATS) included the Arizona Cardinals -1, and the Cards buried the Rams 41-10 as the market was still influenced by previous years results. Our projections have the 49ers out-rushing the Chiefs by more than 30 yards, which gives us a better than 75% ATS opportunity to cash in if that plays out accordingly.

More advanced stats on Chiefs-49ers along with player prop picks in my NFL coverage in Forbes. Check back Sunday ahead of kickoffs for any additional picks including Sunday Night and Monday Night Football (doubleheader). Thought we could get the Jets as ‘Dog Sunday night, but like the Jets as slight road favorite over Steelers.

Update Monday: Considered the Buccaneers strongly and that’s the opinion with a stronger play Over 50. Can’t get over the projected rushing edge for Ravens, but matchups in passing game favorable for Bucs offense and QB Baker Mayfield. Instead, we go with other home underdog in Arizona. See more analysis and Monday Night Football coverage in Forbes.

Cardinals have the better offense (332-281 yards) and running game (145-128). The Chargers defensive stats are better, but LA has faced below average quarterbacks in 4-of-5 games this season. Arizona is also averaging 5.8 yards per play to 4.8 for the Chargers with the Cardinals sporting a slightly better net yards per play differential while also facing the best group of quarterbacks this season week after week. The Cardinals face another Monday in Justin Herbert, but Arizona has also held two division rivals to season-low yards in the 49ers and Rams. Home underdog victory on Monday Night Football.

You can bet on it.

Stategies and Sports Betting Stories

My labor of love continues for an eighth straight NFL season providing Fairway’s Football Forecast with no tout talk or selling plays through companies which I have turned down numerous times since producing top of the leaderboard results over a decade ago with 8 straight winning NFL seasons. I provided picks and analysis on a popular daily sports betting radio show out of Las Vegas before U.S. legalization in 2018 forever changed the sports betting landscape, which is now legal in 38 states plus D.C.