NFC East Commanders and Giants 2024 NFL Schedules, Odds and Picks

Previews and betting tips for the 2024 NFL season – Eagles and Cowboys

The 2024 NFL season kicks off with a Thursday/Friday doubleheader starting Sept. 5 with the full Week 1 Sunday schedule Sept. 8. The two-time defending Super Bowl champions Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 46.5) host the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday, Sept. 5 in an AFC playoff rematch with those two teams the AFC favorites to reach Super Bowl LIX on Feb. 9, 2025 in New Orleans. The NFC East Commanders and Giants are projected to battle to stay out of the basement in the NFC East for the second straight season. NFC East Commanders and Giants schedules, odds and futures to guide you for the 2024 season.

NFL Week 1 Matchups And Odds – My update in Forbes

But with training camp and NFLX finished and the season set to start, football and fantasy fans are anxious to get the season started. So too are sports bettors, who have been pouring through the teams schedules, rosters, stats, odds, futures and props and making bets at leading online sportsbooks. That includes on the AFC and NFC teams with the NFC East Washington Commanders and New York Giants among the betting favorites to win the NFC.

NFC West – 49ers and Rams
NFC West – Seahawks and Cardinals
NFC East – Eagles and Cowboys
NFC North – Lions and Packers
NFC North – Vikings and Bears
NFC South – Falcons and Buccaneers
NFC South – Saints and Panthers

Football odds from leading online sportsbooks fresh periodically and are subject to change, including on NFC East Commanders and Giants props and live betting.

Washington Commanders 

Season Win Total: 6.5 (Under -125) – Bet Under 
Division Odds: +1000 / NFC Odds: +6600 / Super Bowl Odds: +15000
Record Last 2 Years: 4-13, 8-8-1
Head Coach: Dan Quinn (1st season)

Commanders Schedule, Odds and Props

Division games and advance point spreads (DraftKings)

Week 2 New York Giants (WSH -3 / 42.5)
Week 9 at New York Giants (WSH +2 / 4)
Week 11 at Philadelphia Eagles (WSH +7  / 45.5) Thurs
Week 12 Dallas Cowboys (WSH +3.5/ 46)
Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles (WSH +3 / 45)
Week 18 at Dallas Cowboys (WSH +5.5 / 46.5)

Other Key Games
Week 3 at Cincinnati Bengals (WSH +7 / 48) MNF
Week 5 Cleveland Browns (WSH +3 / 43.5)
Week 6 at Baltimore Ravens (WSH +8.5 / 46.5)
Week 7 Carolina Panthers (WSH -3 / 42)
Week 8 Chicago Bears (WSH +2 / 44.5)
Week 10 Pittsburgh Steelers (WSH +1.5 / 43.5)
Week 17 Atlanta Falcons  (WSH +2.5 / 46)

Bye: Week 14

Key Player Props (regular season at BetOnline and BetUS)

QB Jayden Daniels – O/U 3,100.5 Passing Yards / 17.5 Passing TD’s / 13.5 INT / 550 Rush Yds / 4.5 Rush TD’s
RB Brian Robinson, Jr – O/U 775.5 Rushing Yards / 4.5 Rush TD’s / 275.5 Rec Yds / 30.5 Receptions
RB A. Ekeler – O/U 450.5 Rush Yards / 3.5 TD’s / 400 Rec Yds / 50.5 Receptn
WR Terry McLaurin – O/U 900.5 Rec Yards, .5 Receptions /  Rec TD’s

Stats and Notes (check back ahead of season for more betting notes). NFC East Commanders and Giants Handicapping and research includes sources and stats from beat writers, team sites and press notes, bettors and newsletters or betting guides like VSiN, Sharp Football, Playbook, CleveAnalytics, ESPN Stats & Info and more including FairwayJay’s proprietary data base and stats.

The Commanders start a new era with rookie QB Jayden Daniels becoming the face of the franchise and take them from last to first of the playoffs. A big reach in former HC and DC Dan Quinn’s first season in Washington, but Jayden Daniels was one of the most successful duel threat QB’s in college football history while finishing his final season with the highest passer efficiency rating (209.0) in a season in FBS history while leading CFB in total yards per game (412) and total TD’s per game (4.2). We’ve seen the Bro duel threat hype before, including with new backup QB Marcus Mariota, who was a former No. 2 overall pick and a quality backup option. But Daniels appears ready to become greater over time than Randall Cunningham, Michael Vick, Donovan McNabb, Lamar Jackson or Russell Wilson, who is the only Super Bowl winner. His color counterpart duel threats Steve Young and John Elway both won Super Bowls, and Josh Allen is working on his as today’s modern duel threat along with Lamar Jackson. How important is a quality backup NFL quarterback? Only eight QB’s started every game for their team last season. Former Commanders QB Sam Howell was one of them, but he was not the real trouble spot last season. But he’s the only one on those eight QB’s on a new team (Seattle) after taking a league-high 64 sacks and 21 INT’s last season.

The Commanders had the worst point differential (-181) in the NFL last season, and the worst defense by EPA. They also tied with the Cardinals for worst EPA per play allowed. Losing 11 of their final 12 games and trading away their two best defenders in DE Chase Young and DE Montez Sweat sealed the fate of former HC Ron Rivera. This defense has a long ways to go after ranking 30th or worse in every major metric last season including yards per play allowed, EPA per snap allowed, total yards, and total EPA allowed. They also ranked 30th in 20+ yard play margin and last in the league in 30+ yard play margin. No unit allowed more plays of 15+ yards last season. Quinn turned around the Cowboys defense as Dallas’ defensive coordinator, but there are so many holes on this roster and none of the seven positional units rank in the top half of the NFL, according to Sharp Football. Speaking of Cardinals, former Arizona HC Kliff Kingsbury is the new offensive coordinator for the Commanders after taking over for OC Eric Bienemy, who didn’t pan out and is now OC in college at UCLA. No team passed the ball more than Washington last season (69.4% of plays!). Now Kingsbury gets to work with another duel threat Bro top QB pick in Daniels after dealing with Kyler Murray previously. Safe to say he’s been overrated, and injured. Hopefully, the skinny LSU kid Daniels can stay healthy and on the field for the Commanders.

Pro Football Focus Offensive Line Rankings Entering 2024 Season (Commanders No. 27, Giants No. 29)

Betting: The Commanders play  NFL teams coached by Dan Quinn are 4-17 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 0-11 ATS when coming off B2B losses. Washington lost five games by 20 or more points last season including three by 30+. That’s notable in the NFL, and hard to see significant improvement in HC Quinn’s first season with a rookie QB, poor offensive line and below average defensive line and linebackers (improved). The Commanders have winnable games to start the 2024 season at Tampa Bay and home vs. NY Giants. Then a Monday Night-Sunday afternoon back-to-back road scenario in Weeks 3-4. Teams are 44% ATS in this spot since 2000. The Cowboys-Commanders game total is 8-1 in last last nine meetings when played in Dallas. But team trends are mostly meaningless with changing personnel, and especially at QB with a new rookie quarterback and new head coach. Regarding season wins, since 2000, there have been 10 teams with a new head coach and a top-5 rookie QB starting at least half of their games. The over win total has hit six times, with three unders and a push. I’m still not betting the over, but would consider an alternate win total option ‘over’ if they lose early and hope for improvement as a team, defense and quarterback. The Washington Franchise has started 25 different quarterbacks since 2002. Only 3 of those 25 QBs had an above .500 record. Ineptitude has been in play in Washington for most of the past 20 years with dipsh* owner Dan Snyder on the steering wheel. Fortunately he’s gone, and the future will be better and brighter in D.C., just not likely this season.

FairwayJay has been a top of the leaderboard point spread prognosticator with 57% ATS success posting his NFL underdog picks weekly the past 7 years. That includes an unmatched 70% season in 2021 going 28-12 ATS. His previous NFL handicapping, strategics and sports betting success included 8 straight winning NFL seasons (57.3% ATS) starting in 2003 while independently documented and a professional handicapper including 52-28 ATS (65%) bursting onto the national scene his rookie year (feature Las Vegas Sun). FairwayJay provided weekly insight on a most popular daily sports betting and handicapping radio show heard in Las Vegas and nationwide on SiriusXM radio.

FairwayJay’s NFL handicapping contest success includes back-t0-back 60% seasons and top 6% finishes in the Westgate SuperContest.

New York Giants 

Season Win Total: 6.5 (Under -150)
Division Odds: +1400 / NFC Odds: +6600 / Super Bowl Odds: +15000
Record Last 2 Years: 6-11, 9-7-1
Head Coach: Brian Daboll (3rd year)

Giants Schedule, Odds and Props

Division games 
Week 2 at Washington Commanders (NYG +3/ 42.5)
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys (NYG +4 / 44.5) Thurs
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles (NYG +4.5/ 44)
Week 9 Washington Commanders (NYG -1.5 / 42)
Week 13 at Dallas Cowboys (NYG +2.5 / 4) Thurs
Week 18 at Philadelphia Eagles (NYG +5/ 43)

Other Key Games
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings (NYG +1 / 41)
Week 3 at Cleveland Browns (NYG +6.5 / 42.5)
Week 5 at Seattle Seahawks (NYG +3.5 / 43)
Week 6 Cincinnati Bengals (NYG +4.5 / 45) SNF
Week 8 at Pittsburgh Steelers  (NYG +4 / 42.5) MNF
Week 10 at Carolina Panthers (NYG -1 / 42.5) Germany
Week 14 New Orleans Saints (NYG +1 / 41)
Week 15 Baltimore Ravens (NYG +6.5/ 44)
Week 16 at Atlanta Falcons (NYG +4.5 / 44.5 )
Week 17 Indianapolis Colts (NYG +2 / 43.5)

Bye: Week 11

Key Player Props (BetOnline and BetUS)

QB Daniel Jones – O/U 2,750.5 Passing Yards / 15.5 Passing TD’s
RB Devin Singletary – O/U 750.5 Rush Yards / 4.5 Rushing TD’s
LB  – NT Dexter Lawrence O/U 4.5 Sacks / LB Kayvon Thibodeaux 9.5 Sacks
LB Brian Burns O/U 8.5 Sacks / LB Bobby Okereke 140.5 Tackles & Assists

Stats and Notes – The Giants went 9-7-1 and won a playoff game in HC Brian Daboll‘s first season of 2022. The organization rewarded QB Daniel Jones with a massive contract, and must now be regretting it with a sub-par quarterback and his performances, which ended last season with a torn ACL in early November after he missed Weeks 5-8 with a neck injury. Drew Lock could get the call at QB if Jones struggles again, and the former Seahawks and Broncos QB would have new rookie WR Malik Nabers to help an offense that was 30th in the NFL in DVOA last year. Gone is RB Saquon Barkely to the Eagles, and new RB is Devin Singletary from the Texans, via Bills. The offensive line ranks No. 29 by PFF to start the season, so there are further concerns. New York’s defense was just 21st in the league in Defensive DVOA last season, and they were also just 22nd in EPA per play allowed. But they will be better with the addition of LB Brian Burns and the front DL/LBs with Dexter Lawrence, Kayvon Thibodeaux and Bobby Okereke forming a fiercesome foursome that is among the very best in the NFL. Plenty of pressure on opposing QB’s again this season from the G-men, even with new defensive coordinator Shane Bowen likely calling less blitzes this season. Recall the Giants defense finished No. 1 in the NFL last season (full season and one score situations) in EPA created from a league-high 31 forced turnovers. Based on point differential, they overachieved at the 5th highest rate in the NFL and were really a 4.5-win team. Can the Giants make the jump to 7 wins, or even a playoff potential 9-10 win team? I wouldn’t bet on it, but the schedule is managable and New York gets nine home games plus a neutral contest in Germany vs. the lowly Panthers. Last year, when the Giants played seven of their first 11 games on the road and started 3-8. This year seven road games includes just two against teams that made it to the playoffs last season. The Giants two games against the Cowboys are both on a Thursday, including Thanksgiving.

There is potential here, but the offense has to be better and more efficient after averaging just 15.6 points per game (No. 30) last season. That resulted in a -141 point differential to rank No. 30 and the Giants ended the season last (No. 32) in both net success rate and net yards per play. Jones lacked protection last year, but the 2023 Giants were -51 in sack margin, easily the worst mark since 2000. This is the least explosive offense in the NFL the past two years. Also, the Giants own the longest drought (2011) of winning a division title among NFC East teams. Fortunately, rookie WR Malik Nabers looks like a special talent with size and sensational speed to be a go-to offensive weapon on the Giants offense.

Betting: The Giants are 22-13 ATS under HC Brian Daboll, who has proven he can get the most out of his team. The 2022 Giants were given 27% odds to make the playoffs before the season started, and they not only made it and won on the road as underdog, but the Giants covered the spread in an NFL-best 13 of 17 games while leading the NFL in red zone offensive production. Then the massive mistake and contract to QB Daniel Jones. Daboll’s team then regressed last year as expected after overachiving, but they finished 6-1 ATS in their final seven games winning four of them outright as underdog of a touchdown or more with third string QB Tommy DeVito and Tyrod Taylor at quarterback. Now they retool with an offense lacking offensive playmakers and a bottom-5 offensive line to start the season but reinforcements added. The opening two games vs. Minnesota and Washington are winnable at +3 or less odds, but the next 5 games are all tough as underdogs of +3.5 to +6 before four winnable games around the Week 11 bye. Little is expected of the Giants again this season, but I would still lean with an opinion on over 6.5 wins.

You can bet on it.

NFC East Commanders and Giants originally posted at OSGA on Aug. 26.