NFL Week 16 Picks And Props: Saints Looking To Smash Vikings On Christmas Day

My NFL Week 16 coverage includes the Christmas Day special between the Saints and Vikings in New Orleans. Hopefully, we’re not ahead of ourselfs with the ‘Saints Win’ prediction. I chip-in some pregame coverage with insight and analysis in my recent update at Forbes. Included are Saints teaser bets and other picks and props with information you can bet on.

I added more player prop bets and stats in my Chrismas Day coverage of the Saints and Vikings game at Offshore Gaming Association.

More chip-ins and Week 16 coverage with market moves, betting data and lookahead lines to Week 17 in the weekly Recency Report I provide at TheLines.

The playoff picture is bleak for the Vikings, who have a 2% chance to make the playoffs according to data driven analysis site FiveThirtyEight and its playoff prediction model. Don’t expect a Minneapolis Miracle on Christmas Day for the Vikings, who have underachieved this season and are likely just happy to be out of town with sub-zero temperatures in Minneapolis. The cold shoulder treatment from fans and media this season is deserved at times. Minnesota has blown a number of games including in Week 5 against the Seahawks when the Vikings (+7) were our Play of the Day underdog winner but found a way to lose late 27-26 after having a greater than 98% chance to win in the closing two minutes.

Picks and Props – Saints vs Vikings

You can use the player props tool at TheLines to compare some of the player props available at leading legal online sportsbooks like FanDuel, DraftKings, William Hill and BetMGM.

I broke down some of the stats, situations and reasoning on some of the player props in my Saints and Vikings player props update at Forbes. We’ve had some success on selected player props this month and firing for more profit and green on Christmas in support of Saints running back Alvin Kamara.

Alvin Kamara – OVER 45.5 receiving yards and OVER 5.5 receptions.

Other player prop bets and recommendations are available in my update at osga.

Alvin Kamar’s rushing yards prop is over/under 65.5 at William Hill. I can see him going over that total, and he’s in for a big game against the Vikings.

One under-the-radar player to add to your prop bets this week is Vikings TE Tyler Conklin over 1.5 receptions. I would also include over 15.5 receiving yards. I listened to a pre and post game comments from Vikings players and head coach Mike Zimmer in recent weeks, and they rave about Tyler Conklin and his work in practice. The 2018 fifth round pick is making the most of his opportunity with TE Kyle Rudolph hampered and now sidelined for the third straight game this week with a foot injury. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has full confidence in Conklin, who scored his first touchdown last week on a short pass and catch for 20 yards. Conklin has caught 3 and 5 passes the past two games for 57 and 40 yards

The Vikings have surrended 33, 26, 27, 28 and 28 points over their last five games. That includes to sub-par below league average offenses of Chicago, Jacksonville, Carolina and Dallas. I bet ‘over’ 50.5 even with the Saints stronger defense, as I expect New Orleans to keep firing and its offense to move the ball while the Vikings hold nothing back even if playing from behind in the second half.

I’ll chip in a first leg teaser bet on the Saints -1, and let you determine which team to complete your teaser with on Saturday or Sunday. We’re all OVER it as part of our Saints and Vikings bets on Christmas Day.