3M Open 2026 Golf Betting Preview And Picks

The eighth edition of the 3M Open 2026 tees off at TPC Twin Cities with 8 of the top 50 and 36 of the top 100 golfers in the world rankings in the 144 player field this week. The 3M Open follows last week’s Open Championship, where we picked and bet longshot winner Ryan Fox (175/1) with unique bets to payoff at 400/1 odds. Our key player, pick and most bet Tommy Fleetwood finished T4 to cash in top finishing position bets, and matchups. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler also finished T4 at The Open Championship, and he headlines this week’s field as the prohibitive favorite at the 3M Open 2026 tournament.

We’ve made more birdies on our 3M open bets in recent years including last year’s outrigh winner Kurt Kitayama. I’ve chipped in picks and props below along with a Round 1 pick and finishing position prop. Passing on tournament matchups this week, and those are 23-13 this year on our PGA Tour matchup picks.

Read more past coverage of the 3M Open  when I provided in Forbes for additional course info, stats and information you can bet on.

3M OPEN BETTING ODDS

Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Odds below courtesy of Circa Sports Las Vegas, which most often has the best futures odds, and allows futures parlays and more as we cashed in a four-figure score on The Open Championship 2026 winner Ryan Fox (175/1), and 2025 3M Open winner Kurt Kitayama (35/1).  

  • +265: Scheffler
  • +2250: McNealy
  • +2800: Kitayama
  • +3200: Tom Kim
  • +3300: Matusyama, Conners
  • +3600: Koivun, Mitchell
  • +4000: Knapp, Homa
  • +4500: Suber
  • +4800: Ghim
  • +5000: Ben Jamnes,
  • +5500: Coody, J. Smith, Meissner, Kholes, Jarvis
  • +6000: Sunjae Im, Keefer, Grillo
  • +6400: Mouw
  • +6800: Brennan, Stevens, Woodland

72-hole winning score: O/U 263.5 (Par 71)

Six players shot -20 under par or better last year, including 3M Open winner Kurt Kitayama (-23).

3M Open 2026

  • Course: TPC Twin Cities
  • Location: Blaine, MN
  • Date: July 23-26, 2026
  • Par: 71 / Yardage 7,431
  • Purse: $8.8 Million / Winner $1.6 Million
  • Fairways/Rough: Bentgrass with Bluegrass/Fescue at 4”
  • Greens: Bentgrass
  • Water in play in 15 holes
  • TV: Golf Channel (Thurs-Sun) and CBS (Sat-Sun 3-6pm ET). Streaming ESPN+ and Paramount+.
  • X: @3MOpen
  • The 2018 renovation at TPC Twin Cities included narrowing of fairways, addition of bunkers and tees and repositioning tee complexes

More strokes gained golf stats explained, noting bigger hitters have had more success since the remodel of TPC Twin Cities. Scottie Scheffler played the pro-am this week with NFL Minnesota Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell. Scheffler commented on the ‘Minnesota Nice’ he’s noticed being at the tournament and in the Minneapolis area, along with the course and conversation with O’Connell.

While I do bet outrights, finish position and more match-ups, I don’t always bet every player in my picks. But I do bet others that may be after I post and dig into more stats and other performance indicators and players. It may be due to low odds, adjusted odds and I missed best number, or just trying to find other options in finishing position, match-ups and props. As I’m able to dig deeper and research and handicap more, I add others, including match-ups. Time constraints factor in, along with odds and value, which you should always be shooting for in your pursuit of profit, fairways and greens.

3M Open 2026

3M Open 2026 Picks

Fairway’s Favorites: Kitayama, Conners, Knapp, Ghim
Fairway’s Longshots: J. Smith, Meissner, Stevens, Mouw, Brennan

Tournament Match-ups: Pass
Round 1 matchup: Ghim (-113) over Koivun
Top 20: Ghim (+200)

Kitayama (1st), Stevens (2nd), Knapp (T3), Mouw (T7) and Meissner (T14) all had success at last year’s 3M Open.

Since going 1-1 in tournament matchups on two underdogs at The U.S. Open, our weekly PGA Tournament picks went 1-0 at both the Travelers Championship and John Deere Classic , and then 0-1 at The Open Championship with top player profiles, but had the outright winner Ryan Fox (175/1) bet at 400/1, and also top finishing position winners on Tommy Fleetwood (T4). Tournament matchups are now 23-13 YTD, including 11-10 in all Majors and Signature Events posted at Off Shore Gaming Association in addition to Vegas Sports Zone. Additional props went 4-1 in both the Travelers and John Deere tournaments recently.

Golf Betting Notes and History from FairwayJay

FairwayJay 2026 tournament matchups 23-13 through the Open Championship in July.

My golf coverage and research includes use and references from sites at Data Golf along with Fantasy National, and others. I gain added information from handicappers, analysts, colleagues and media members while researching course stats and previews with previous weekly coverage in my PGA tournament updates in Forbes. That includes top golf insider Justin Ray Golf, who contributes to PGA Tour (dot com) and The Athletic with insightful stats. The site GolfStats has also has player performance charts and a player competitor tool plus added stats and previews.

I’ve added my own player profiles pieces for select majors and events including 2026 Masters, 2026 Players Championship,  2025 Masters, 2025 Players Championship and trends. You can review those along with others from 2024 in Forbes for The Player Championship and Masters top 9 and top 18 golfers plus 12 top golfers at the Open Championship at Royal Troon.

More than a decade ago I was a lead golf handicapper and analyst on a popular sports handicapping radio show out of Las Vegas whose picks were provided to a betting syndicate. I continue my golf coverage in a different format, and provide my experience and intuitive feel for the game and betting acumen to provide golf picks and chip-in added insight with information you can bet on.

This season, I’ll again shoot to add select Round 1 matchup bets. I may limit tournament matchups posted on these pages, but have more available to those bettors that chip-in and wish to correspond with me directly. You can email me at FairwayJay@gmail.com for more picks and information you can bet on. Having been a proven performer for decades, I’ve posted picks in 2021 and 2022 on Vegas Sports Zone and tournament match-ups were 41-27.

2022 PGA Tour tournament match-up picks finished 20-12 and concluded with the TOUR Championship.

The 2021 tournament match-ups finished 21-15 following a 17-5 start January through May.

Author: FairwayJay is a leading national sports betting analyst, writer, handicapper and sports betting insider providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. He chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events for leading media and sports betting sites and companies. Follow him on X (Twitter): @FairwayJay