$1,000 Pro Football Challenge
Fairway’s Football Forecast Shoots for Profits and Parlays in the $1,000 Pro Football Challenge.
Each week during the NFL season, I post four (4) pro football underdog picks and plays. I came up with a fun idea and decided to post plays and provide NFL fans and bettors of all levels some selections and additional ways to bet these underdogs. Straight wagers, money line, and a money line parlay and straight parlay are part of our Pro Football Challenge.
We’ll use a $1,000 bankroll each week, and keep a running tab going throughout the season. The weekly links below will take you to our selections posted initially at the Offshore Gaming Association (osga.com), and can also be found on VegasSportsZone.com. Our goal is to provide winning selections and show a profit, knowing that it’s very difficult to hit a money-line underdog parlay, or even a straight 4-team parlay.
While straight wagers are a more prudent play, and we’ll document those results as well, I know from experience that bettors like a bigger score (like this one) with less risk. So I’ve included a pair of parlay for profit plays and a money-line wager on each of these underdogs. With fewer games each week in pro football, we’ll consider some very short favorites and include in our parlays and plays along the way.
Here’s how it works. We’ll use widely available lines and money-lines from both leading offshore sports books and Las Vegas sports books at time of post the end of each week.
FairwayJay’s $1,000 Pro Football Challenge – 4 Underdog Plays
A $200 wager on each team to cover the point spread ($800). A $40 wager on the money line for each underdog to win the game outright ($160).
A $20 wager on a 4-team Money Line Parlay ($20)
A $20 wager on a 4-team Parlay ($20)
Week 1: +$253 (3-1 week – 1 outright winner). 3-1 side plays +$380
Week 2: -$240…YTD +$13 (2-2 week – just missed 2 outright ‘Dogs including SF +14). 2-2 side plays -$40…YTD 5-3 = +$340
Week 3: -$34…YTD $-21 (2-2 week with 2 outright underdog winners). 2-2 side plays $-40…YTD 7-5 = +$300
Follow along each week as we shoot for more Winners and Green and Parlays for Profit.
NFL Week 3 betting review
Matchup | Open/Close | Score | Point-spread highlights |
Ravens vs. Jaguars | Ravens -4.5/-3 (38) | Jaguars, 44-7 | Blake Bortles threw four TDs, three to Marcedes Lewis. |
Browns at Colts | Browns -2.5/-1 (42.5) | Colts, 31-28 | Jacoby Brissett accounted for three TDs as Colts took 28-7 lead. |
Steelers at Bears | Steelers -7.5/-7 (43) | Bears, 23-17 (OT) | Jordan Howard scored on 19-yard run in OT and Chicago never trailed. |
Dolphins at Jets | Dolphins -6.5/-5.5 (43) | Jets, 20-6 | Josh McCown threw for 249 yards and a TD and New York’s defense dominated. |
Broncos at Bills | Broncos -1.5/3.5 (39.5 | Bills, 26-16 | Tyrod Taylor threw two TDs and Trevor Siemian threw two second-half INTs. |
Texans at Patriots | Patriots -12.5/-13.5 (44.5) | Patriots, 36-33 | Tom Brady threw fifth TD of game to Brandin Cooks with 23 seconds left. |
Saints at Panthers | Panthers -6/-5.5 (46.5) | Saints, 34-13 | Drew Brees threw three TDs and Cam Newton threw three INTs. |
Buccaneers at Vikings | Buccaneers -2/-1.5 (40) | Vikings, 34-17 | Case Keenum threw for 369 yards and three TDs, two to Stefon Diggs. |
Falcons at Lions | Falcons -3/-3 (50) | Falcons, 30-26 | Matthew Stafford’s apparent winning TD to Golden Tate overturned. |
Giants at Eagles | Eagles -3.5/-5 (42.5) | Eagles, 27-24 | Jake Elliott kicked 61-yard FG as time expired for Eagles, which led 14-0 early in fourth. |
Seahawks at Titans | Titans -2/-2.5 (42) | Titans, 33-27 | Tennessee scored 21 straight points in the third quarter to go ahead 30-14. |
Chiefs at Chargers | Chiefs -2.5/-3 (47.5) | Chiefs, 24-10 | Alex Smith threw two TDs in first quarter and Philip Rivers threw three INTs. |
Bengals at Packers | Packers -9.5/-7 (48) | Packers, 27-24 (OT) | Mason Crosby kicked 27-yard field goal in OT to cap Green Bay’s comeback. |
Raiders at Redskins | Raiders -3.5/-3.5 (53.5) | Redskins, 27-10 | Kirk Cousins threw for 365 yards and three TDs. Raiders held to 128 total yards. |
Thursday – Rams at 49ers (+3) – Rams won 41-39
Monday – Cowboys at Cardinals (+3) – Cowboys won 28-17