$1,000 College Football Challenge
Fairway’s Football Forecast Shoots for Profits and Parlays in the $1,000 College Football Challenge.
Each week during the college football season, I post four college football underdog picks and plays. I came up with a fun idea and decided to post plays and provide college football fans and bettors of all levels some selections and additional ways to bet these underdogs. Straight wagers, money line, and a money line parlay and straight parlay are part of our College Football Challenge.
We’ll use a $1,000 bankroll each week, and keep a running tab going throughout the season. The weekly links below will take you to our selections posted initially at the Offshore Gaming Association (osga.com), and can also be found on VegasSportsZone.com. Our goal is to provide winning selections and show a profit, knowing that it’s very difficult to hit a money-line underdog parlay, or even a straight 4-team parlay.
While straight wagers are a more prudent play, and we’ll document those results as well, I know from experience that bettors like a bigger score with less risk. So I’ve included a pair of parlay for profit plays and a money-line wager on each of these underdogs. Perhaps a parlay profit can pay for a few more Papa Murphy take and bake pizza’s.
Here’s how it works. We’ll use widely available lines and money-lines from both leading offshore sports books and Las Vegas sports books at time of post the end of each week.
FairwayJay’s $1,000 College Football Challenge – 4 Underdog Plays
A $200 wager on each team to cover the point spread ($800).
A $40 wager on the money line for each underdog to win the game outright ($160).
A $20 wager on a 4-team Money Line Parlay ($20)
A $20 wager on a 4-team Parlay ($20)
Week 1 – Pass
Week 2: +$568 (3-1 week with three outright underdog winners). 3-1 side plays +$380
Week 3: +$590…YTD +$1,158 (3-1 week with three outright underdog winners). 3-1 side plays +$380…YTD 6-2 = +$760
Week 4: -$240…YTD +$918 (2-2 week). 2-2 side plays -$40…YTD = 8-4 +720
Week 5: -$136…YTD +$782 (2-2 week with one outright underdog winner). 2-2 side plays -$40…YTD 10-6 +680
Week 6: -$574…YTD +$208 (1-3 week with one outright underdog winner). 1-3 side plays -$460…YTD 11-9 +220
Week 7: +$+392…YTD +$600 (3-1 week with two outright underdog winners). 3-1 side plays +$380…YTD 14-10 +600
Follow along each week as we shoot for more Winners and Green and Parlay our Profit.
Week 7 was a good one as we went 3-1 ATS with two outright underdog winners on Arizona and LSU. Our lone loss was Georgia Southern (+7), who led 27-21 to start the 4th quarter at home, but was out-scored 14-0 in the final frame with a late TD the difference in a close game the entire way. As expected, Georgia Southern had a strong rushing edge (192-92), which translates to point spread winners nearly 75% of the time when a team out-rushes an opponent by at least a 2-1 margin.