PGA Picks And Player Profiles For Rocket Mortgage Classic
The players and fireworks are ready to launch over the Fourth of July at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit. I’ve been providing tournament updates and information you can bet on at TheLines for this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. The initial tournament preview provides tournament history, course breakdown and some information on the top-ranked players in the field.
We then add the players odds to win as they are posted Monday at FanDuel, DraftKings and BetMGM along with other props and tournament offerings. I then chip-in with some discrepancies in the odds, notable names and odds along with finishing position options. We cover some long shots, stats of interest and even evaluate how some players have performed on other Donald Ross designed courses like the golfers will play this week at Detroit Golf Club.
I’ve provided the odds to win on the top of the market players below while adding bettor-friendly Circa Sports odds in Las Vegas. Additional golf odds including longshots at the SuperBook with golf news and adjusted golf odds on Twitter.
|Player to Win||Circa Odds||FanDuel Odds||DraftKings Odds||Top-10|
Plenty of golf coverage and you can read more golf news and analyze a Rocket Mortgage Betting Guide at another site I contribute at numberFire, a FanDuel affiliate that provides next-generation sports analytics platform for Fantasy and Betting.
More things you must know to make money on golf betting.
Also, this recency bias article I chipped-in at TheLines offers a look at how to find value in golf odds, ways to exploit recency bias and a few big name players like Rickie Fowler trying to regain their best game.
We’re on the tee and chip-in Fairway’s Forecast with two foursomes below – favorites and longshots while adding Top 10 finishes as well. Top-5, Top-10 or even Top-20 finishes should be strongly considered as you bet players to win outright, with match-up wagers a vast majority of your golf betting portfolio.
Fairway’s Foursome: Favorites – Hovland, Matsuyama, Fowler, Snedeker (+4500)
Fairway’s Foursome: Longshots – Sabbatini (+5500), Hadwin (+5500), Munoz (+15000), Duncan (+20000).
Top-10: Hovland, Im, Varner, Kizzire
Tournament Match-ups: Tyler Duncan (-110) over Michael Thompson. A sharp colleague of mine ‘Sherwood‘ also likes this play.
Duncan has made three straight cuts since the PGA Tour returned from hiatus with all 12 rounds par or better and 11 under par. He’s finished Top-40 but no Top-25’s while journeyman Thompson is getting more credit for his recent Top-10 finish at Harbour Town. Look at Thompson’s game, results and profile and you’ll see plenty of flaws and missed cuts. Duncan won his first PGA Tour title in a playoff over Webb Simpson in November, but then struggled a bit earlier this year with four missed cuts. Reality is Duncan is on the rise, and as I noted in my tournament preview, SG: total driving with a focus on accuracy is a key stat this week. Duncan ranked third last week in accuracy at the Travelers Championship while still averaging over 300 yards. He ranks 7th overall on Tour this year in driving accuracy hitting better than 70% fairways. His ball striking is improving along with his game, and ball striking and driving are better than Thompson. So is SG: Approach and hitting greens and accuracy from 125-150 yards, which is another stat of significance this week which favors the diminutive Duncan. Confidence will be in Duncan’s corner this week while Thompson’s dismal SG: Approach stats will leave him wondering if he should have had a different approach to his game this week.
Winning Score: Over/Under 267.5 (-20.5) on par 72 course. Money has come in on the ‘under’ (-180) at the Westgate SuperBook. GolfStats.com and other information I have from contacts note that tournament officials for this year decided to make the course a little tougher by letting the rough grow. Missing the fairways should be more penal this year, and without rain like last year, scoring overall is not as likely to be as low.