NFL Handicapping – Using Yards-Per-Play And Yards-Per-Point

Yards-Per-Play And Yards-Per-Point

As the season continues in December contending teams push for the playoffs and higher seeding. Other teams work through discontent of a disappointing season. Here are two other offensive categories that may assist you in you handicapping and understanding of offensive efficiency. Use this in conjunction with current form, injuries and my weekly Inside the Numbers articles to better understand and project positive and poor performances.  Know for certain that the poor performing  teams will be getting plenty of points with limited support in the betting marketplace.

Yards-per-point ( YPPT ) is a simple efficiency calculation where you just divide total yards by points scored, and the lower the result, the better the number. The average YPPT for all NFL teams is approx. 15.3 yards

Top offensive teams in yards-per-point ( YPPT ) – average distance/yards a team travels

11.9 – Packers

12.4 – Patriots

13.2 – Eagles

13.7 – Broncos

13.7 – Ravens

13.8 – Colts

13.8 – Dolphins

Worst offensive teams in YPPT

19.4 – NY Jets

19.4 – Jaguars

19.0 – Redskins

18.4 – Raiders

18.0 – Titans

17.1 – Lions

17.0 – 49ers, Bucs

Top offensive teams in yards production and yards-per-play ( YPPL ) efficiency

432/6.1  –  Colts

427/6.2 – Steelers

421/6.1 – Saints

405 /6.1 Broncos

395/5.6 – Eagles

387/6.3 – Packers

381/5.6 – Patriots

381/5.8 – Falcons

378/6.0 – Cowboys

376/5.9 – Ravens

Worst offensive teams in yards production and YPPL efficiency

284/4.7 – Raiders

287/4.8 – Jaguars

305/5.4 – Titans

307/5.2 – Buccaneers

309/5.1 – Vikings

314/5.2 – Rams

318/5.3 – Chiefs

319/4.8 – NY Jets

319/5.0 – 49ers

321/5.2 – Cardinals

Strength of schedule, home/road schedule, injuries, fundamental match-ups, special teams, coaching, running and passing yards and of course the betting lines all factor into the handicap. However, if you would like to learn how to use some of these statistics to determine potential positive plays against the point spread, then sign up and we’ll win together.  Members have enjoyed a 17-4 run the last 3 weeks on rated plays including 5-0 on Sunday, Week 14.

Author: FairwayJay

FairwayJay is a leading national sports analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful handicappers and professionals. Follow him on Twitter: @FairwayJay